Post random maps here

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Wonder if anyone can guess this one? Hint: it involves a real presidential election and counties.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Time travel is invented and the Constitution lets you have as many VPs as you want. McGovern runs with Mondale, Cox, Muskie, Biden, Boxer, Reid, and Giffords as running mates. Lincoln is Republican candidate.

Wonder if anyone can guess this one? Hint: it involves a real presidential election and counties.

That would be... interesting to watch.

This scenario actually happened though. Just how...

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Democrat: 538 (88.63%)

Republican: 0 (10.05%)

Clinton/Schweitzer run unopposed in most states, with only perennial challengers on the ballot in several states. Polarization of the electorate prevents Clinton from hitting 60% in extreme Republican states, and reaching 90% overall.

Clinton/Schweitzer: 538 (88.63%)

Assorted Perennial Candidates/Assorted Perennial Candidates: 0 (10.05%)

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

2012 if all national demographics vote opposite of what they normally did. For example, whites vote 60-40 Democrat, instead of 60-40 Republican, while blacks vote 95-5 Republican, instead of 95-5 Democrat.

This map is a 316-222 win for Republicans.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

2012 with roughly a 32% swing towards Gary Johnson, 18% from Obama and 14% from Romney, to create a 33-33-33 popular vote.

Former Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA) / Representative Paul Ryan (R-WI) 232 electoral votes, 33% of the popular vote
President Barack Obama (D-IL) / Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE) 218 electoral votes, 33% of the popular vote
Former Governor Gary Johnson (L-NM) / Mr. James P. Gray (L-CA) 88 electoral votes, 33% of the popular vote
Others: 0 electoral votes, 1% of the popular vote

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

William Jennings Bryan vs. Barry Goldwater is all I could think of.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

A hypothetical Hoover vs. Smith rematch in 1932, based off of Smith's 1928 percentages and Hoover's 1932 percentages.

For example, Smith won 45% of the vote in Connecticut in 1928 and Hoover won 48% in 1932. Adding the sum of their vote percentages gives Hoover a 51%, so he wins that state. This is how the map turned out:

Governor Al Smith (D-NY) / Senator Joseph T. Robinson (D-AR) 321 electoral votes, 50.7% of the popular vote
President Herbert Hoover (R-CA) / Vice President Charles Curtis (R-KS) 210 electoral votes, 49.3% of the popular vote.

Many states were extremely close, Illinois, Nebraska and Kentucky being decided by a margin of less than one percent.

The results were pretty surprising, I didn't expect Hoover to lose Wisconsin, Minnesota and the Upper Plains while winning West Virginia.

Smith's best state was South Carolina, where he won 93.28% of the vote.
Hoover's best state was Vermont, where he won 63.69% of the vote.

I was surprised the popular vote was as narrow as it was, considering Smith won comfortably in the electoral vote and his massive margins in the South. However, Hoover won a lot of large industrial states by fair margins, like Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan. Many of Smith's larger states were won narrowly, like Illinois and New York.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

It was actually quite simple, and as a result most likely inaccurate. I suppose I didn't explain it well, so here's a better explanation.

Al Smith won 45.57% of the vote in Connecticut in 1928.

Herbert Hoover won 48.54% of the vote.

Adding these totals gives a "sum" of 94.11. To get Hoover's percentage I did 48.54÷94.11 to get 51.58%, which is actually closer to 52%. So that's about it.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

President Barack Obama (D-IL)/Vice-President Joe Biden (D-DE) 269 electoral votes, 48.7% of the popular vote
Fmr. Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) 269 electoral votes, 49.3% of the popular vote
Other 0 electoral votes, 2% of the popular vote

House vote:

Fmr. Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA) 30
President Barack Obama (D-IL) 17
Fmr. Gov. Gary Johnson (L-NM) 0
Abstention/No Vote 3

Senate vote:

Vice-President Joe Biden (D-DE) 51
Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) 49

*Blue means two votes for Ryan, green means one vote for each candidate, red means two votes for Biden.
*Republicans had flipped seats in MT and ND, Independent (caucusing with Democrats) Angus King voted for Ryan, Independent (caucusing with Democrats) Bernie Sanders voted for Biden.

President Barack Obama (D-IL)/Vice-President Joe Biden (D-DE)
Fmr. Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI)

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

An election based off of all presidential election results since 1856. Whichever party has had more wins in that state wins its votes. Republicans win 294-244.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

1972, not sure what this map was even supposed to be for. 271-267 Rep win.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Former Sec. of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Mark Warner (D-VA) - 40.1%, 297 EV's
Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX)/Governor Scott Walker (R-WI) - 37.6%, 237 EV's
Senator Angus King (I-ME)/Senator Greg Orman (I-KS) - 21.2%, 4 EV's
Others - 1.1%, 0 EV's

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Guess what this map is. It's about a specific presidential election.

It's 1972. In blue states, Nixon won every county. In red states, McGovern won at least one county.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

1976

Strange Man Runs Single State Campaign, Somehow Succeeds. Also Ford Reelected

Governor James Carter (D-GA)/Senator Walter Mondale (D-MN) 64 electoral votes, 38% (30,308,798) of the popular vote
President Gerald Ford (R-MI)/Senator Robert Dole (R-KS) 466 electoral votes, 43% (34,266,264) of the popular vote
Iowa Man (I-IA)/Some Dude (I-IA) 8 electoral votes, 18% (14,496,500) of the popular vote

1980

No One Is Quite Sure What To Think

The Guy (D-ME)/Frmr. Representative Some Dude (D-NJ) 161 electoral votes, 47% (47,952,984) of the popular vote
Governor Iowa Man (R-IA)/Representative Some Dude (R-IA) 377 electoral votes, 52% (52,320,672) of the popular vote
Frmr. President John F. Kennedy (I-MA)/Some Dude (I-NM) 0 electoral votes, 1% (694,347) of the popular vote

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

2016:

Fmr. Sec. of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 347 EVs, 49.7% of the PV
Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Gov. Mike Pence (R-IN) - 191 EVs, 43.2% of the PV
Fmr. Gov. Gary Johnson (L-NM)/Fmr. Gov. Bill Weld (L-MA) - 0 EVs, 6.0% of the PV

Senate: 50 D, 50 R (D+4, pickup IL, WI, NH, IN)
Governor: 33 R, 16 D, 1 I (R pickup WV, MO, VT, D pickup NC)

2017:

New Jersey: Fulop 54% Guadagno 45%
Virginia: Northam 49%, Gillespie 47%

2018:

Senate: 56 R, 44 D (R+6, pickup IN, MO, ND, VA, WV, WI)

Arizona: Flake 54%, Giffords 44%
California: Feinstein 63%, some dude 37%
Connecticut: Murphy 59%, some dude 39%
Deleware: Carper 56%, some dude 41%
Florida: Nelson 53%, Putnam 45%
Hawaii: Hirono 67%, Cavasso 29%
Indiana: Young 52%, Donnelly 45%
Maine: King 55%, LePage 41%
Maryland: Sarbanes 58%, some dude 38%
Massachusetts: Warren 60%, some dude 36%
Michigan: Stabenow 56%, Miller 43%
Minnesota: Klobuchar 58%, some dude 39%
Mississippi: Wicker 63%, some dude 37%
Missouri: Wagner 54%, McCaskill 44%
Montana: Tester 48%, Zinke 47%
Nevada: Heller 51%, Titus 45%
New Jersey: Menendez 55%, Lonegan 43%
New Mexico: Heinrich 55%, Wilson 44%
New York: Gillibrand 64%, some dude 32%
North Dakota: Cramer 50%, Heitkamp 49%
Ohio: Brown 50%, Taylor 47%
Pennsylvania: Casey 53%, Kelly 46%
Rhode Island: Whitehouse 65%, some dude 33%
Tennessee: Haslam 66%, some dude 30%
Texas: Cruz 57%, Castro 40%
Utah: Huntsman 62%, some dude 35%
Vermont: Sanders 69%, some dude 26%
Virginia: Comstock 50%, McAuliffe 47%
Washington: Cantwell 56%, Vance 40%
West Virginia: McKinley 60%, Tennant 36%
Wisconsin: Duffy 48%, Baldwin 46%
Wyoming: Barrasso 73%, some dude 24%

Governor: 30 R, 20 D, (D pickup IL, ME, MI, NM, R pickup AK, NH)

Alabama: Byrne 62%, some dude 37%
Alaska: Walker 55%, Berkowitz 42%
Arizona: Ducey 55%, DuVal 42%
Arkansas: Hutchinson 63%, some dude 36%
California: Newsom 55%, Villaraigosa 45%
Colorado: Garcia 49%, Stapleton 46%
Connecticut: Jepsen 54%, some dude 43%
Florida: Atwater 51%, Graham 48%
Georgia: Cagle 52%, Reed 44%
Hawaii: Ige 61%, some dude 37%
Idaho: Little 60%, some dude 36%
Illinois: Madigan 48%, Rauner 46%
Iowa: Reynolds 54%, Olson 43%
Kansas: Kobach 57%, some dude 40%
Maine: Pingree 52%, Mayhew 42%
Maryland: Hogan 55%, Edwards 44%
Massachusetts: Baker 58%, Grossman 41%
Michigan: Whitmer 52%, Schuette 47%
Minnesota: Swanson 54%, McFadden 44%
Nebraska: Ricketts 56%, some dude 40%
Nevada: Hutchison 53%, Miller 46%
New Hampshire: Sununu 49%, Van Ostern 47%
New Mexico: Balderas 52%, Sanchez 47%
New York: Cuomo 56%, Astorino 41%
Ohio: DeWine 55%, Pillich 43%
Oklahoma: Cornett 62%, some dude 36%
Oregon: Kate Brown 56%, Pierce 40%
Pennsylvania: Wolf 50%, Dent 48%
Rhode Island: Raimondo 55%, some dude 39%
South Carolina: McMaster 56%, some dude 40%
South Dakota: Michels 62%, Johnson 36%
Tennessee: Corker 63%, some dude 35%
Texas: Abbott 58%, some dude 40%
Vermont: Scott 57%, Dunne 40%
Wisconsin: Kleefisch 49%, Kind 48%
Wyoming: Lummis 61%, some dude 34%

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Johnson 1964 vs. Reagan 1980 using raw vote totals. Using 1970's EVs, it comes out to 283-255 Reagan, who also wins the popular vote by 0.9%.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

I found an old 2016 prediction of mine from September 30th, and compared it to the final margin in each state.

Margin of error (%):
1-2 - 30%
3-4 - 40%
5-6  - 50%
7-8 - 60%
9-10 - 70%
11-12 - 80%
>12 - 90%

This was before the McMullin surge so it skewed my numbers in Utah and Idaho.
Best states were obviously Georgia, Maryland, Nevada and Washington where I predicted the margin exactly.
Worst state was North Dakota, with an error of D+18 (!!!) - I had R+18 when it was actually R+36. Honorable mentions to NE-03 with D+15 and South Dakota with D+13. States with the largest error in the other direction were California and Massachusetts, each with R+5.