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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 980403 times)
Anti Democrat Democrat Club
SawxDem
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« on: May 28, 2013, 07:38:03 PM »

A tentative prediction of the 2016 swing states.   Any thoughts? 



No legitimate reason to believe that Michigan or Minnesota will be swing states. Also, Arizona should be a swing state. Finally, it depends on the candidates- with Hillary, Schweitzer, and Christie on the tickets, Arkansas, Montana, and New Jersey are all swing states. Without any of them, the only one that could potentially be a swing state is Montana and that's only in a race where the Dem candidate gets 350+ EVs.

I'll add Martinez and New Mexico to the category of "ticket swing states". Her approvals are very high and could flip there too. Other than that, you said everything perfectly.

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Anti Democrat Democrat Club
SawxDem
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*****
Posts: 14,095
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 31, 2013, 01:26:38 AM »


Landrieu/Freudenthal vs. Kirk/Ayotte? No real idea about this one.
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Anti Democrat Democrat Club
SawxDem
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*****
Posts: 14,095
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 29, 2013, 01:08:12 AM »


Bachmann/Dalrymple vs. Clinton/Castro? I'm thinking the VP nom might need to be Sebelius to get KS/NE, but this would work too.
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