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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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President of the civil service full of trans activists
Peebs
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« Reply #5875 on: March 10, 2017, 11:34:36 AM »

You Go, Vigo: 2000-2016




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President of the civil service full of trans activists
Peebs
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« Reply #5876 on: March 10, 2017, 12:26:56 PM »

The Valencia Equivalency: 2000-2016




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NHI
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« Reply #5877 on: March 15, 2017, 01:15:33 PM »

Senator John Kerry: 284 (49.4%)
President George W. Bush: 254 (49.3%)

Mayor Rudolph Giuliani: 415 (54.1%)
President John Kerry: 123 (44.0%)

President Rudolph Giuliani: 367 (52.0%)
Senator Hillary Clinton: 171 (46.7%)

Governor Barack Obama: 304 (50.1%)
Vice President Mitt Romney: 234 (48.4%)

President Barack Obama: 438 (55.9%)
Governor Rick Perry: 100 (42.7%)
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Beet
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« Reply #5878 on: March 16, 2017, 06:16:45 PM »

The anticipation of Beauty and the Beast...

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FEMA Camp Administrator
Cathcon
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« Reply #5879 on: March 17, 2017, 07:16:17 AM »

Whoever the chick that won Michigan is, her victories look like some weird Jesse Jackson '88 primary map.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #5880 on: March 17, 2017, 12:07:06 PM »

Whoever the chick that won Michigan is, her victories look like some weird Jesse Jackson '88 primary map.
Moana, their newest. From the Frozen people.
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msnmllr
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« Reply #5881 on: March 17, 2017, 12:17:17 PM »

Pepsi versus Coke?
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #5882 on: March 17, 2017, 04:45:54 PM »

2016 with the swing from 2000:

356 - 182

2000 with the swing from 2016:

356 - 182

Shockingly, the EV result is the exact same for both scenarios, and the only "different" state is Oregon.
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mencken
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« Reply #5883 on: March 18, 2017, 01:26:08 PM »

State correlations 2000 through 2016:

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bagelman
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« Reply #5884 on: March 19, 2017, 02:23:12 PM »

State correlations 2000 through 2016:


what
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #5885 on: March 19, 2017, 07:26:48 PM »
« Edited: March 19, 2017, 07:36:36 PM by L.D. Smith »

Governors vs Top Ticket







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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5886 on: March 19, 2017, 08:45:53 PM »

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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #5887 on: March 20, 2017, 03:41:26 AM »
« Edited: March 20, 2017, 04:02:56 AM by L.D. Smith »

1960 with 60% (roughly)



JFK/LBJ: 531 EV
Nixon/Lodge 6 EV



Nixon/Lodge: 513 EV
JFK/LBJ: 16 EV
Unpledged: 6 EV
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #5888 on: March 21, 2017, 07:07:03 AM »

What year would this be in? It seems a lot like a future scenario.
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #5889 on: March 21, 2017, 04:24:06 PM »


Only thing I really disagree with is that UT is solid red and ID/WY are swing states. Unless the Republicans go through some seismic shift and become liberal, those states are the deepest ruby red.
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Blackacre
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« Reply #5890 on: March 21, 2017, 07:01:10 PM »


Only thing I really disagree with is that UT is solid red and ID/WY are swing states. Unless the Republicans go through some seismic shift and become liberal, those states are the deepest ruby red.

I agree about Utah, but Idaho and Wyoming are small enough that a population influx could change them considerably, giving them the Colorado treatment
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
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« Reply #5891 on: March 21, 2017, 08:15:42 PM »

2020

Governor Steve Bullock /and/ Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (Democratic) 378 electors, 55% votes
President Donald Trump /and/ Vice President Mike Pence (Republican) 160 electors, 43% votes
Others (Various) 0 electors, 2% votes

2024

Senator Ron Johnson /and/ Representative Susan Brooks (Republican) 272 EV, 49% votes
President Kirsten Gillibrand /and/ Vice President Adam Schiff (Democratic) 266 EV, 49% votes
Others (Various) 2%
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President of the civil service full of trans activists
Peebs
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« Reply #5892 on: March 21, 2017, 08:21:30 PM »

What happens to Bullock?
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
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« Reply #5893 on: March 22, 2017, 12:14:34 PM »

The Curse of Tippecanoe makes a comeback.
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bagelman
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« Reply #5894 on: March 22, 2017, 07:50:24 PM »



Does Hell Exist?

Most sure it does: MS, TN (tie)

Most sure it doesn't: MA
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Former Senator Haslam2020
Haslam2020
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« Reply #5895 on: March 22, 2017, 10:24:49 PM »

Another Outsider:

2020



Mr. Jon Stewart/Sen. Elizabeth Warren : 321 Electoral Votes, 49.8%
Pres. Donald Trump/VP. Mike Pence: 217 Electoral Votes, 44.0%
Others: 4.2%

Jon Stewart surprisingly wins the Democratic Nomination, defeating Cory Booker and Andrew Cuomo. He destroys Trump in the debates using "dirty humor", Trump is very unpopular headed into Election Night, but keeps it surprisingly close. His roots' to the "Bernie wing" give him a very comfortable victory.

2024:



Sen. Ted Cruz/Gov. Justin Amash: 280ish Electoral Votes, 49.5%
Pres. Jon Stewart/VP Elizabeth Warren: 250ish Electoral Votes, 49.4%

Though Stewart is a popular President, the "Generation Z" voters came out to vote in droves for Cruz, due to the interesting GOP Primary. The GOP Convention was brokered in between three candidates: Senator Ted Cruz, Senator Marco Rubio, and Senator Tom Cotton. A former candidate who won a few states, Justin Amash, the Newly sworn in Governor of Michigan becomes the kingmaker for Cruz, who in exchange, gets the VP Slot. 2024 ends up a victory for the GOP, and their first popular vote victory since 2004.

2028:



Sen. Tulsi Gabbard/Sen. Jared Polis: 330ish Electoral Votes, 51.0%
Pres. Ted Cruz/VP. Justin Amash: 210ish Electoral Votes, 48.1%
Mr. Bob Iger/Fmr. Sec. Elaine Chao: 0 EV, 1.5%

Senator Gabbard narrowly wins the Democratic Nomination against Former Louisiana Governor John Bel Edwards, and Missouri Senator Jason Kander. The Convention ends up being brokered and nasty, with Gabbard winning on the 5th ballot, by a couple delegates. Ted Cruz, though unpopular originally, was leading Gabbard by ten points. Ted Cruz ended up getting clobbered in the debates, feeling uncomfortable to attack Gabbard. The CEO of Disney and former Secretary Elaine Chao attempt to run a third party ticket. Initially polling at 6%, they lost their steam. This was the first election Puerto Rico was allowed to participate in. It officially became the 51st state on October 8th, 2028. All 3 Electoral Votes went to Gabbard.

The End.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5896 on: March 23, 2017, 05:24:12 PM »



No points for those who correctly guess this
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mencken
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« Reply #5897 on: March 23, 2017, 05:31:04 PM »

I did not know Nevada was now majority minority?
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President of the civil service full of trans activists
Peebs
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« Reply #5898 on: March 24, 2017, 08:24:18 AM »


305-226
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5899 on: March 25, 2017, 01:12:08 PM »





271-267
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