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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 990759 times)
NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5625 on: December 06, 2016, 09:25:32 PM »

The Success of Triangulation
Clinton: 413 (51.0%)
Dole: 125 (40.2%)

Clinton's Heir
Gore: 343 (50.2%)
Bush: 195 (46.9%)

Gore Loses His Way
McCain: 337 (51.8%)
Gore: 201 (46.7%)

The Maverick
McCain: 447 (56.9%)
Dean: 91 (41.6%)
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5626 on: December 06, 2016, 10:19:42 PM »

the firewall defended: 2016 and 2012 averaged out



278-260

Make America Hope Again: 2008 averaged with 2016



315-223

Average for Obama



332-206
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5627 on: December 06, 2016, 10:35:36 PM »

IIRC, neither McCain or Romney cracked 60% in ND.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5628 on: December 06, 2016, 10:52:42 PM »

kerry and obama



the unpopular victory



296-242


I'm not sure why ND keeps coming out 60% but I'm posting these maps anyway
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5629 on: December 08, 2016, 12:30:14 PM »

Chris Sununu/Ann Wagner vs John Bel Edwards/David Freudenthal?
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Vosem
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« Reply #5630 on: December 08, 2016, 07:14:03 PM »



The Republican wins in this version of 2016, 306-232 (coincidentally also the real figure from that election). Of course, the map is not random at all...what does it depict?
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5631 on: December 08, 2016, 10:23:37 PM »
« Edited: December 09, 2016, 01:35:35 PM by bagelman »

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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5632 on: December 09, 2016, 06:34:52 PM »

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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #5633 on: December 09, 2016, 08:08:14 PM »

2016 at different PV margins:

Clinton +30:

504-34
Last Clinton Win: Alabama
First Trump Win: South Dakota

Clinton +20:

437-101
Last Clinton Win: Utah
Last Trump Win: Missouri

Clinton +15:

413-125
Last Clinton Win: Maine's 2nd District (WOW!)
Last Trump Win: South Carolina

Clinton +10:

350-188
Last Clinton Win: Georgia
Last Trump Win: Ohio

Clinton +5

308-230
Last Clinton Win: Nebraska's 2nd District
Last Trump Win: Arizona

Clinton +3:

278-260 Clinton
Last Clinton Win: Wisconsin
Last Trump Win: Florida

Tipping Point (Clinton +2.79):

270-268 Trump win
Last Clinton Win: Pennsylvania (WI edged out PA late)
Last Trump Win: Wisconsin

Clinton +2:

306-232 (real map)
Last Clinton Win: New Hampshire
Last Trump Win: Michigan

Clinton +1:

310-228
Last Clinton Win: Minnesota
Last Trump Win: New Hampshire
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #5634 on: December 09, 2016, 08:19:35 PM »

TIE:

320-218
Last Clinton Win: Nevada
Last Trump Win: Minnesota

Trump +1:

328-210
Last Clinton Win: Colorado
Last Trump Win: Maine AL

Trump +3:

337-201
Last Clinton Win: Virginia
Last Trump Win: Colorado

Trump +5

350-188
Last Clinton Win: New Mexico
Last Trump Win: Virginia

Trump +10:

365-173
Last Clinton Win: Connecticut
Last Trump Win: Delaware

Trump +15:

423-115
Last Clinton Win: New York
Last Trump Win: Illinois (+0.01)

Trump +20:

452-86
Last Clinton Win: Vermont
Last Trump Win: New York

Trump +30:

531-7
Last Clinton Win: Hawaii (Trump comes up 0.22% short of a 50-state landslide- let's also ignore that Trump gets over 100% of NE-3's vote)
Last Trump Win: California
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Maxwell
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« Reply #5635 on: December 09, 2016, 08:45:42 PM »

2020 Presidential Election - The TRUMPslide
On the outset, the first President Trump term didn't go very well - allegations of cronyism, widespread corruption, and incompetence flung from every corner, and several people close to the administration were hauled off to jail. The economy fell into stagnation and the world place became unruly. Nevertheless, Trump had an audience that clung on to, enough to warrant mid 30% approval ratings. But Democrats were so bitterly divided on the prospect of who to face him, that it was utter chaos. Andrew Cuomo had enough resources to pocked a solid 24-25% of the vote, just below the first place challenger, Elizabeth Warren, and enough support from super delegates to just barely cling to the nomination after a few ballots. Out-raged, liberals booed most of the convention, and Tom Steyer ran on a closer to a socialist platform, with him picking Jayapal to be his VP. Candidates this year faced un precedent unpopularity, with many Americans chiming for the days of 2016 (no, really). Trump, concerned with a potential loss even with the liberal divide, ordered administration officials to flood the economy with development projects, boosting his approvals to mid 40s, enough to squash the challenge to him.



President Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) - 46.9%, 356 EV's
Governor Andrew Cuomo (D-NY)/Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) - 40.4%, 182 EV's
Businessman Tom Steyer (I-CA)/Congresswoman Pramila Jayapal (I-WA) - 10.5%, 0 EV's
Others - 2.2%, 0 EV's
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Make My Bank Account Great Again
KingCharles
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« Reply #5636 on: December 10, 2016, 04:15:13 AM »

(Dem win 282-256) If Democrats won the states with the highest population density:

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DPKdebator
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« Reply #5637 on: December 10, 2016, 01:02:50 PM »


Here's a map which gerrymanders as many Democrats as possible into states that have (at least somewhat) plausible borders.
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #5638 on: December 10, 2016, 03:23:24 PM »

Here's some even more extreme gerrymandering:



This time, I used really awkward borders to eliminate as many blue areas as possible. The count for Republicans should be even higher, but I forgot to make a replacement OR and I couldn't kill tiny rump RI.
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Bigby
Mod_Libertarian_GOPer
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« Reply #5639 on: December 10, 2016, 04:29:07 PM »


Been too long since I've seen anything Kaiserreich-related. Noice. I love playing the AUS.
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5640 on: December 10, 2016, 04:31:13 PM »

2020 Presidential Election - The TRUMPslide
On the outset, the first President Trump term didn't go very well - allegations of cronyism, widespread corruption, and incompetence flung from every corner, and several people close to the administration were hauled off to jail. The economy fell into stagnation and the world place became unruly. Nevertheless, Trump had an audience that clung on to, enough to warrant mid 30% approval ratings. But Democrats were so bitterly divided on the prospect of who to face him, that it was utter chaos. Andrew Cuomo had enough resources to pocked a solid 24-25% of the vote, just below the first place challenger, Elizabeth Warren, and enough support from super delegates to just barely cling to the nomination after a few ballots. Out-raged, liberals booed most of the convention, and Tom Steyer ran on a closer to a socialist platform, with him picking Jayapal to be his VP. Candidates this year faced un precedent unpopularity, with many Americans chiming for the days of 2016 (no, really). Trump, concerned with a potential loss even with the liberal divide, ordered administration officials to flood the economy with development projects, boosting his approvals to mid 40s, enough to squash the challenge to him.



President Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) - 46.9%, 356 EV's
Governor Andrew Cuomo (D-NY)/Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) - 40.4%, 182 EV's
Businessman Tom Steyer (I-CA)/Congresswoman Pramila Jayapal (I-WA) - 10.5%, 0 EV's
Others - 2.2%, 0 EV's

Very plausible.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5641 on: December 11, 2016, 01:51:05 AM »



President Rob Portman 369 EVs

Senator Ted Strickland 169 EVs

I'll do more of these senate matchups and I will never assume the state PV's the same nationally or the equally dumb idea of a universal swing based on the state's vote in the presidential election.
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5642 on: December 11, 2016, 09:07:05 AM »

Donald Trump/Dale Bumpers: 371 (53.53%)
George Bush/Dan Quayle: 167 (45.21%)

Colin Powell/Carroll Campbell: 272 (48.91%)
Donald Trump/Dale Bumpers: 266 (49.17%)

Carroll Campbell/Tom Ridge: 301 (51.16%)
Bill Bradley/Al Gore: 237 (47.44%)

Carroll Campbell/Tom Ridge: 389 (54.04%)
Howard Dean/John Kerry: 189 (44.94%)

Mike Huckabee/Mitt Romney: 282 (50.0%)
Ed Randell/Jeanne Shaheen: 256 (48.5%)

John F. Kennedy, Jr/Joe Manchin: 306 (51.0%)
Mike Huckabee/Mitt Romney: 232 (47.1%)

John F. Kennedy, Jr/Joe Manchin: 408 (54.1%)
Mike Lee/Rand Paul: 130 (44.8%)
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5643 on: December 11, 2016, 03:47:33 PM »



Non scientific map of state senate changes
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #5644 on: December 13, 2016, 08:09:12 AM »

Is Utah still too close to call or did an Egg McMuffin type win it?
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mencken
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« Reply #5645 on: December 13, 2016, 04:20:22 PM »

Clinton 2016 (297, 51.9%) vs Romney 2012 (241, 48.1%)

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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5646 on: December 13, 2016, 08:06:07 PM »



Guess what this is?

Hint: it's as of 2004
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5647 on: December 14, 2016, 12:40:00 PM »

Donald Trump: 323 (47.51%)
Bill de Blasio: 215 (45.99%)
Other: 0 (6.50%)

Kirsten Gillibrand: 49.9%
Michael Pence: 44.3%
Other: 5.8%
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Figueira
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« Reply #5648 on: December 14, 2016, 02:15:17 PM »



President Rob Portman 369 EVs

Senator Ted Strickland 169 EVs

I'll do more of these senate matchups and I will never assume the state PV's the same nationally or the equally dumb idea of a universal swing based on the state's vote in the presidential election.

I want to see Blunt vs. Kander.
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Clark Kent
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« Reply #5649 on: December 14, 2016, 07:57:39 PM »

Ronald Reagan (1980) vs. Donald Trump (2016):



Republican: Ronald Reagan (California)/George Bush (Texas) - 52.46%, 379 EVs
Democratic: Donald Trump (New York)/Mike Pence (Indiana) - 47.54%, 159 EVs
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