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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 975819 times)
NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5200 on: April 17, 2016, 12:29:04 PM »

Gov. Howard Dean/Sen. Tom Harkin: 293 (50.7%)
Pres. George W. Bush/Vice Pres. Richard Cheney: 245 (47.9%)

Businessman Donald Trump/Gov. Jon Huntsman: 412 (53.9%)
Pres. Howard Dean/Vice Pres. Tom Harkin: 126 (45.0%)

Pres. Donald Trump/Vice Pres. Jon Huntsman: 535 (51.9%)
Sen. Bernie Sanders/Prof. Elizabeth Warren: 3 (22.8%)
Mayor Michael Bloomberg/Sen Evan Bayh: 0 (24.3%)

Vice Pres. Jon Huntsman/Gov. Nikki Haley: 429 (54.3%)
Gov. Gavin Newsom/Gov. Martin O'Malley: 109 (44.1%)
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #5201 on: April 17, 2016, 09:44:57 PM »

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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
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« Reply #5202 on: April 18, 2016, 02:48:50 AM »



Senator Henry M. Jackson/Senator Edmund Muskie - 438 EV (56%)
President Gerald Ford/Senator Robert Dole - 100 EV (44%)
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5203 on: April 18, 2016, 06:16:58 AM »

1992:
Businessman Donald Trump/Governor Bill Clinton 395 (53.8%)
Pres. George Bush/Vice Pres. Dan Quayle: 143 (44.9%)


1996:
President Donald Trump/Vice President Bill Clinton 436 (55.7%)
Vice Pres. Dan Quayle/Sec. Jack Kemp: 102 (43.2%)


*Maybe a future timeline.
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Slow Learner
Battenberg
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« Reply #5204 on: April 18, 2016, 12:06:48 PM »


Senator Kelli Ward (R-AZ)
Former Governor Brian Sandoval (R-NV)
Senator Mike Lee (R-UT)
Governor Matt Bevin (R-KY)

After the clobbering of Ted Cruz, the GOP establishment found itself in a rut. Voters were angry not only because Clinton had won convincingly, but also due to the very controversial way in which Cruz was nominated. In their eyes, Trump had been vindicated. The new RNC chair, Matt Borges, sought to go after the primary process, blaming it on Trump's rise. A quick and decisive vote from the committee ruled that the schedule would be abolished, and that it would be replaced with the 'Ohio Plan'.

2018 was a rather good year for the GOP, all things considered. They retook the senate and returned to 2010 levels in the house. However, it wasn't all good for the Republicans, as the midterms spelled the end of Debbie Wasserman Schultz's tenure at the DNC. Nevertheless, the RNC felt that the haunting past of 2016 was behind them.

Compared to the field of 2016, the 2020 republican bench was seen as relatively light. This was due to many candidates taken out through scandal or constrained by upcoming elections.

Senator Kelli Ward, who made national headlines following her victory in 2016, announced her intentions early, running on a suspiciously Trumpesque campaign, focused on immigration. Following her were Rubio (who got smacked in 2018), Amash, Lee, Sandoval, Bevin and numerous others. Amash's campaign flamed out after the first few debates, where he failed to make any impact, while Rubio was knocked out after a double digit loss in New Hampshire. Ward eventually won the nomination with ease, despite the establishment's numerous attempts to roadblock her.

All in all; the GOP establishment can't catch a break.
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
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« Reply #5205 on: April 19, 2016, 03:30:49 PM »

What kind of scenario could result in this map?



Democratic - 46.67%, 262 EVs
Republican - 53.33%, 261 EVs


Missouri and West Virginia are too close to call and are undergoing numerous recounts.
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Clark Kent
ClarkKent
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« Reply #5206 on: April 19, 2016, 04:12:43 PM »

What kind of scenario could result in this map?



Democratic - 46.67%, 262 EVs
Republican - 53.33%, 261 EVs


Missouri and West Virginia are too close to call and are undergoing numerous recounts.
I think the default answer for maps that keep the early 20th century N-S alignment is that Republicans did civil rights and there was less migration of Northerners to the Sunbelt than in our world, and more migration of black people (who became wealthier, sooner and are now more libertarian in voting patterns) out of the South.  Latinos are clearly voting for the Democrats on economic issues.
It actually represents how often each state voted for each party since 1896 (1908 for Oklahoma, 1912 for NM/AZ, 1960 for AK/HI, 1964 for DC). Predictably, the strongest Democratic states are Arkansas, Hawaii, and DC, and the strongest Republican ones are Maine, Vermont, Indiana, the Dakotas, Nebraska, Kansas, Wyoming, Utah, and Alaska. West Virginia and Missouri are tied at 15-15.
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5207 on: April 20, 2016, 09:17:45 AM »

Donald Trump/John Kasich: 280 (50.1%)
Hillary Clinton/Julian Castro: 258 (48.7%)
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #5208 on: April 20, 2016, 07:41:38 PM »

2016 GOP Primary Season

trump
Cruz
Rubio
Kasich

First




Second



Third

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Clark Kent
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« Reply #5209 on: April 20, 2016, 10:37:29 PM »


I see that I'm not the only one who follows r/MapPorn. I'll admit to being confused about this map before seeing the Reddit post though.
An explanation, please?
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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
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« Reply #5210 on: April 20, 2016, 11:23:52 PM »


I see that I'm not the only one who follows r/MapPorn. I'll admit to being confused about this map before seeing the Reddit post though.
An explanation, please?

http://imgur.com/CY0MM5B
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GLPman
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« Reply #5211 on: April 20, 2016, 11:40:40 PM »

Joe in '04 - Part 1

2004 Presidential Election


Senator Joseph Lieberman (D-CT)/Former General Wesley Clark (D-AR): 279 EVs
President George W. Bush (R-TX)/Vice President Richard "Dick" Cheney (R-WY): 259 EVs

2008 Republican Presidential Primaries


Former Senator Fred Thompson (yellow)
Former Governor Mitt Romney (red)
Former Governor Mike Huckabee (green)
 
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bagelman
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« Reply #5212 on: April 21, 2016, 04:33:24 PM »
« Edited: April 21, 2016, 06:30:45 PM by bagelman »



R-ME and R-FL vs. D-UT and D-TX

In this alt universe, social security and healthcare is the major issue of the election and the Republicans are the ones who support it as opposed to the democrats who run on using such a large portion of the federal budget on other issues. Also the mormons are overwhelmingly Democratic and mormons are very powerful within the Democrats. Mormons are less prevalent in Idaho however.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #5213 on: April 21, 2016, 04:51:56 PM »

^Isn't that states by average age?
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bagelman
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« Reply #5214 on: April 21, 2016, 06:32:47 PM »


Yep!

Here's another alternative universe:



Safe R
Strong R
Competitive
Strong D
Safe D
 
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beaver2.0
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« Reply #5215 on: April 22, 2016, 08:43:33 AM »


Trump beats Clinton 2016.
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beaver2.0
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« Reply #5216 on: April 22, 2016, 08:49:19 AM »

2020: Trump beats Sanders
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beaver2.0
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« Reply #5217 on: April 22, 2016, 09:10:04 AM »

2024: Some Businessman/John Bell Edwards beat Vice President Arpaio/Elise Stefanik beat Tulsi Gabbard/Some Communist.
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beaver2.0
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« Reply #5218 on: April 22, 2016, 09:26:13 AM »

2028: President Some Businessman / Vice President John Bel Edwards beat Senator Elise Stefanik / Governor Tom Cotton beat DNC Chair Julian Castro / Some Vermonter (Democratic)

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mencken
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« Reply #5219 on: April 22, 2016, 06:28:21 PM »

2020: Clinton vs. Jones

Four years after liberal Republican Donald Trump loses to Clinton, the Republican Party faces a heated primary, in which true conservative Alex Jones defeats establishment RINO Louie Gohmert for the nomination.



President Hillary Clinton / Vice-President Julian Castro 68.2% 531
Radio Host Alex Jones / Former State Assemblywoman Sharron Angle 29.8% 7
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mencken
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« Reply #5220 on: April 22, 2016, 09:21:18 PM »



Clinton/Gore 50.1% 283
Bush/Quayle 49.2% 255
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
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« Reply #5221 on: April 23, 2016, 10:49:52 PM »

1924: Harding Lives

Gov. James M. Cox / Gov. Charles W. Bryan [DEM] 406 EV, 55% pv
Pres. Warren G. Harding / VP Calvin Coolidge [REP] 125 EV, 45% pv
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Higgs
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« Reply #5222 on: April 24, 2016, 02:54:41 AM »

1924: Harding Lives

Gov. James M. Cox / Gov. Charles W. Bryan [DEM] 406 EV, 55% pv
Pres. Warren G. Harding / VP Calvin Coolidge [REP] 125 EV, 45% pv

How does this happen? Harding was incredibly popular while he was President.
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Clark Kent
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« Reply #5223 on: April 24, 2016, 11:50:05 AM »
« Edited: April 24, 2016, 12:00:50 PM by Speaker Kent »

Bush landslide in 2004:



Republican: President George W. Bush (Texas)/Vice President Dick Cheney (Wyoming) - 59.88%, 516 EVs
Democratic: Senator John Kerry (Massachusetts)/Senator John Edwards (North Carolina) - 39.12%, 22 EVs


Utah is actually more Republican here than D.C. is Democratic, and less Democratic than D.C. is Republican (80.03%-18.49% to 80.69%-16.85%)

Close states:

New York: 0.0015%
Vermont: 1.85%
Rhode Island: 2.46%


Maryland: 5.31%
Massachusetts: 6.87%
Connecticut: 7.32%
Illinois: 7.95%
California: 8.34%
Maine: 9.29%
Hawaii: 9.55%
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
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« Reply #5224 on: April 24, 2016, 01:18:54 PM »

1924: Harding Lives

Gov. James M. Cox / Gov. Charles W. Bryan [DEM] 406 EV, 55% pv
Pres. Warren G. Harding / VP Calvin Coolidge [REP] 125 EV, 45% pv

How does this happen? Harding was incredibly popular while he was President.
Fallout from Teapot Dome plus LaFollette defecting to support Cox (he did something similar in 1912 when he backed Wilson over Taft). Really, though, it's just an experiment with universal swing to see what a Democratic landslide in '24 would have looked like.
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