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March 28, 2024, 01:41:48 PM
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 979669 times)
minionofmidas
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« Reply #125 on: May 18, 2005, 06:43:47 AM »

Out of curiousity, how would such a map look using 2000 results?
Identical except for New Hampshire. I think. I'd want to check a couple of states, but I can't think of any other that might switch. I know NH would.
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Ebowed
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« Reply #126 on: May 18, 2005, 06:47:21 AM »

Ah, I was thinking maybe Iowa would switch.  I haven't looked in a while but Gore did pretty well county wise in Iowa even if he won by a hair in the PV.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #127 on: May 18, 2005, 06:57:48 AM »

Ah, I was thinking maybe Iowa would switch.  I haven't looked in a while but Gore did pretty well county wise in Iowa even if he won by a hair in the PV.
Kerry did too. I think the net swing in the number of counties was something like two or three. Several counties switched either way.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #128 on: May 18, 2005, 07:13:12 AM »
« Edited: May 18, 2005, 07:15:08 AM by R.P. McMurphy the 10,000-Volt Psychopath »

Here's one for 1996.

In case you think South Carolina is weird...Dem lead is tiny. And so is the Rep lead in Kentucky, Georgia, Florida, and Oklahoma.

EDIT - Overlooked Michigan.
EDEDIT - And Iowa.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #129 on: May 18, 2005, 12:04:47 PM »



Dem: 301
Rep: 237
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nini2287
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« Reply #130 on: May 18, 2005, 12:16:50 PM »


A 10% Goldwater swing?
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #131 on: May 18, 2005, 12:22:19 PM »


Yep.
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nini2287
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« Reply #132 on: May 18, 2005, 12:40:18 PM »

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skybridge
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« Reply #133 on: May 18, 2005, 02:47:18 PM »


As for what would make it happen... err, the center of the country, with low population, becomes rich and prosperous, thus resulting in its Republican lean. Rich people leave the northeast for the west. The sunbelt is taken over by immigrants, and Minnesota was always pretty nuts anyway, and probably convinced neighboring Wisconsin and Michigan to join in on the fun. Ohio finally gets mad about free trade, and starts voting solidly Democrat.

The Democrat campaigns on using DC residents as slave labor in order to appease the poverty of the nation's crust. Alaskans get tired of the two major parties, and half of the population votes write-in.

The Green Party really starts taking off in Hawaii.

And um, the mormon population in Idaho moved to Nevada.

Dem 401
Rep 129

Hm? A bird and a plane (R) vs. Superman (D)?
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Schmitz in 1972
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« Reply #134 on: May 18, 2005, 05:18:19 PM »

Try this one


and its counterpart



No one got it! In the one on top the Republican wins every state that a US president was born in (SC is too close to call because no one knows for sure if Andrew Jackson was actually born there or in North Carolina). The one on the bottom is the states a president or a vice-president was born in, and yes, the congressional districts for Maine and Nebraska really are accurate
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True Democrat
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« Reply #135 on: May 18, 2005, 05:59:07 PM »


I believe it's something with the vote of every state since 1824 or something.  For all the states made after 1824, it's their first vote in a presidential electin.  Am I close?
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Machiavelli
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« Reply #136 on: May 18, 2005, 06:19:31 PM »

I think that might be partially right, but it also looks almost identical to 1856.
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True Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #137 on: May 18, 2005, 06:52:55 PM »

I think that might be partially right, but it also looks almost identical to 1856.

But that was Utah's vote in its first election in 1896.  This was also its first election.
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Gabu
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« Reply #138 on: May 18, 2005, 07:58:24 PM »


I believe it's something with the vote of every state since 1824 or something.  For all the states made after 1824, it's their first vote in a presidential electin.  Am I close?

After looking through old election results, I'm going to guess that it's each state's first popular vote result on or after 1856.
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Q
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« Reply #139 on: May 18, 2005, 08:14:34 PM »


I was thinking this was the party affiliations of the representatives of each state's last congressional district.  Except that Kentucky, Missouri, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Wisconsin are wrong, so now I don't know.

You're sort of on the right track.  I also incorporated an idea from one of your other maps.

The longest serving representative of each state?

Correct.

I think John Lewis (D) the longest-serving Rep. from GA.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #140 on: May 18, 2005, 08:27:34 PM »

I think John Lewis (D) the longest-serving Rep. from GA.

I just checked, and yes he is.  John Lewis was elected in 1986 - six years before four other Georgian Reps.
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #141 on: May 18, 2005, 10:04:38 PM »

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Ebowed
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« Reply #142 on: May 19, 2005, 01:38:07 AM »

Here's two easy ones.





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Beet
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« Reply #143 on: May 19, 2005, 02:47:02 AM »
« Edited: May 19, 2005, 02:53:38 AM by thefactor »

Mad props to whoever can figure this one out (I didn't make this randomly):



That's almost 1972 with a 10% swing in every state to McGovern... am I close?

Yeah, that's half of it. There's another part to it as well.

Bah, I haven't gotten it yet, but I'll be back. Tongue

Ok, no one has gotten yet, its probably too hard. Its a Goldwater vs. McGovern race drawn from a combination of the 1964 and 1972 maps where I gave each candidate a the fraction of the total Goldwater/McGovern percentage for that state. So if Goldwater got 38% in 1964 and McGovern won 37% in 1972, Goldwater won with 51%. Basically it's a map of which red states were more lopsided for Johnson in '64 than for Nixon '72 and blue states were more lopsided for Nixon in '72 than for Johnson in '64.

The conductor: 10% swings toward McGovern & Carter.
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nini2287
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #144 on: May 19, 2005, 09:49:01 AM »


I believe it's something with the vote of every state since 1824 or something.  For all the states made after 1824, it's their first vote in a presidential electin.  Am I close?

After looking through old election results, I'm going to guess that it's each state's first popular vote result on or after 1856.

Correct, since 1856 was the first election with the two major parties.
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nini2287
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #145 on: May 19, 2005, 09:50:58 AM »

I think John Lewis (D) the longest-serving Rep. from GA.

I just checked, and yes he is.  John Lewis was elected in 1986 - six years before four other Georgian Reps.
You're right, I messed that one up.
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #146 on: May 19, 2005, 05:12:08 PM »


Red: States that are not Utah
Blue: States that are Utah

Do I win? Grin
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Machiavelli
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« Reply #147 on: May 19, 2005, 05:13:19 PM »

It's 1976 with a swing of like 1 billion to Carter
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True Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #148 on: May 19, 2005, 05:22:44 PM »

It's 1976 with a swing of like 1 billion to Carter

It's not a uniform swing.  For Carter to get a majority in Alaska, he would need a swing of 14.35%, but that would put him over 80% in Georgia, which he is not in this map.
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DanielX
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« Reply #149 on: May 19, 2005, 07:36:21 PM »


Looks to me like 1976 shifted a considerable amount to Carter...
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