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MadmanMotley
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« Reply #4500 on: January 29, 2015, 03:57:27 PM »

1968:

Gov. George Romney (R-MI)/Gov. Ronald Reagan (R-CA) 213EV
Pres. Lyndon B. Johnson (D-TX)/Sen. Henry "Scoop" Jackson (D-WA) 125EV
Gov. George Wallace (AI-AL)/John Wayne (AI-CA) 127EV
Sen. Robert Kennedy (I-NY)/Sen. Eugene McCarthy (I-MN) 73EV

1972:

Gov. Ronald Reagan (R-CA)/Sen. Charles Percy (R-IL) 481EV
Pres. George Wallace (D-AL)/VP. Henry "Scoop" Jackson (D-WA) 44EV
Sen. Eugene McCarthy (I-MN)/Mayor John Lindsay (I-NY) 13EV
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4501 on: January 29, 2015, 04:45:50 PM »

1980



Senator George H.W. Bush (R-TX)/Congressman Phil Crane (R-IL) - 48.1%, 454 EV's
President Frank Church (D-ID)/Vice President Dale Bumpers (D-AR) - 37.7%, 56 EV's
Former Governor Fob James (AI-AL)/Congressman Hugh Alexander (AI-NC) - 9.3%, 28 EV's

1988



Governor Mario Cuomo (D-NY)/Governor Bill Clinton (D-AR)* - 43.6%, 251 EV's
Vice President Phil Crane (R-IL)/Senator Nancy Kassebaum (R-KS) - 43.9%, 241 EV's
Former Vice President John Stennis (AI-MS)/Perennial Candidate John Mahoney (AI-MD) - 12.3%, 46 EV's

*Congress, both in Democratic control, pick Cuomo and Clinton for President.
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #4502 on: January 30, 2015, 06:46:37 PM »

1828 Presidential Election

President John Q. Adams/ Secretary of the Treasury Richard Rush (National Republican): 134 EV; 53% pv
Fmr. Senator Andrew Jackson/ Vice President John C. Calhoun (Democratic): 127 EV; 47% pv

1832 Presidential Election

Secretary of State Henry Clay/ Congressman John Sergeant (National Republican): 184 EV; 55% pv
Senator John C. Calhoun/ Senator Martin Van Buren (Democratic): 104 EV; 45% pv

1836 Presidential Election

President Henry Clay/ Vice President John Sergeant (National Republican: 240 EV; 59% pv
Fmr. Senator Martin Van Buren/ Senator Richard M. Johnson (Democratic): 50 EV; 41% pv

1840 Presidential Election

Secretary of State William H. Harrison/ Senator Daniel Webster (National Republican): 221 EV; 54% pv
Senator Martin Van Buren/ Congressman James K. Polk (Democratic): 69 EV; 46% pv

1844 Presidential Election

Speaker of the House James K. Polk/ Congressman Lewis Cass (Democratic): 161 EV; 49% pv
President Daniel Webster/ Senator Theodore Frelinghuysen (National Republican): 114 EV; 48% pv
Fmr. State Representative James G. Birney/ Mr. Thomas Morris (Liberty): 0 EV; 2%

1848 Presidential Election

General Zachary Taylor/ Senator Stephen Douglas (Democratic): 272 EV; 61% pv
General Winfield Scott/ Governor Millard Fillmore (National Republican): 18 EV; 24% pv
Senator Charles F. Adams/ Senator John P. Hale (Free Soil): 0 EV; 15% pv

1852 Presidential Election

Senator Charles F. Adams/ Congressman George W. Julian (Free Soil): 158 EV; 38% pv
President Stephen Douglass/ Senator James Buchanan (Democratic): 130 EV; 36%
Fmr. Governor Millard Fillmore/ Congressman William A. Graham (National Republican): 8 EV; 26% pv
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« Reply #4503 on: January 31, 2015, 12:50:18 AM »

1948



President James Byrnes of South Carolina and Governor Fielding L. Wright of Mississippi (States' Rights Democratic): 104
General Dwight Eisenhower of New York and Senator Alben W. Barkley of Kentucky (Democratic): 271
Governor Thomas Dewey of New York and Governor Earl Warren of California (Republican): 156

1952



President Dwight Eisenhower of New York and Vice President Alben W. Barkley of Kentucky (Democratic): 460
Senator Bob Taft of Ohio and Senator Richard M. Nixon of California (Republican): 0
Senator Richard Russell of Georgia and Senator John Sparkman of Alabama (States' Rights Democratic): 71

1956



Adlai Stevenson of Illinois and Senator John F. Kennedy of Massachusetts (Democratic): 286
Harold Stassen of Minnesota and Governor Christian Herter of Massachusetts (Republican): 139
Happy Chandler of Kentucky and Luther Hodges of North Carolina (States' Rights): 106

1960



President Adlai Stevenson of Illinois and Vice President John F. Kennedy of Massachusetts (Democratic): 246
Senator Richard Nixon of California and Senator Henry Cabot Lodge of Massachusetts (Republican): 220
Governor Orval Faubus of Arkansas and Rear Admiral John G. Crommelin of Alabama (States' Rights): 71

No electoral college majority. House and Senate re-elect the incumbents.

1964



President John F. Kennedy of Massachusetts and Governor George Wallace of Alabama (Democratic): 533
Senator Barry Goldwater of Arizona and Congressman William Miller of New York (Republican): 5
Clifton DeBerry of Illinois and Ed Shaw of Michigan (Socialist Workers): 0

1968



Vice President George Wallace of Alabama and Senator Eugene McCarthy of Minnesota (Democratic): 376
Governor Richard Nixon of California and Governor Spiro Agnew of Maryland (Republican): 162
Dick Gregory and Mark Lane (Peace and Freedom): 0

1972



President George Wallace of Alabama and Vice President Eugene McCarthy of Minnesota (Democratic): 538
Governor Ronald Reagan of California and Congressman John Ashbrook of Ohio (Republican): 0
Senator George McGovern of South Dakota and Congressman Pete McCloskey of California (Peace and Freedom): 0

1976



Attorney General Robert F. Kennedy of New York and Governor Jimmy Carter of Georgia (Democratic): 127
Senator George H.W. Bush of Texas and Senator Bob Dole of Kansas (Republican): 278
Brigadier General Hugh Hester of North Carolina and Staughton Lynd of Ohio (Labor): 133

1980



President George H.W. Bush of Texas and Vice President Bob Dole of Kansas (Republican): 0
Oil, Chemical, and Atomic Workers International Union Vice President Tony Mazzocchi of Oklahoma and Matilde Zimmermann of New York (Labor): 514
Senator Ted Kennedy of Massachusetts and Governor Cliff Finch of Mississippi (Democratic): 24
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SPC
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« Reply #4504 on: January 31, 2015, 12:13:57 PM »
« Edited: January 31, 2015, 12:55:50 PM by SPC »

2012



Governor Mitt Romney / Congressman Paul Ryan 49.8% 285
President Barack Obama / Vice-President Joe Biden 48.5% 253

2016



President Mitt Romney / Vice-President Paul Ryan 50.9% 295
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton / Senator Tim Kaine 47.4% 243

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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #4505 on: January 31, 2015, 09:42:55 PM »



Huey Long doesn't die and runs on his Share the Wealth platform. He runs a very populist, agrarian, Southern campaign that takes enough of the vote (2%) in New Hampshire to flip it and enough in Kansas too. (8%)
Franklin Delano Roosevelt (Democratic)-419
Huey Long (Share the Wealth)-91
Alf Landon (Republican)-21
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« Reply #4506 on: February 01, 2015, 05:05:08 PM »

America with a Labor Party



Shading indicates the degree to which public opinion in the state indicated supports either the Labor or the Republican party.
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Historia Crux
Andy Jackson
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« Reply #4507 on: February 02, 2015, 10:33:12 PM »

Just decided to dump some irrelevant TL ideas that were taking up space.
----------

ELECTION OF 2000
(Republican)-Sen. John S. McCain III,AZ/Rep. Julius C. "J. C." Watts Jr,OK: 291 EV, 48%
(Democratic)-VP. Albert "Al" A. Gore Jr,TN/Sen. John F. Kerry,MA: 246 EV, 47%
(Green)-Mr. Ralph Nader,CT/Ms. Winona LaDuke,MN: 1 EV (1 Faithless DC Elector), 3%
(Reform)-Mr. Patrick "Pat" J. Buchanan,VA/Mrs. Ezola B. Foster,CA: 0 EV, 1%

ELECTION OF 2004
(Republican)-Pres. John S. McCain III,AZ/VP. Julius C. "J. C." Watts Jr,OK: 358 EV, 53%
(Democratic)-Sen. Johnny "John" R. Edwards,NC/Sen. Joseph "Joe" R. Biden Jr,DE: 180 EV, 45%
(Constitution/Reform)-Mr. Michael A. Peroutka,MD/Fmr Amb. Raymond "Ray" L. Flynn,MA: 0 EV, 1%

ELECTION OF 2008
(Democratic)-Sen. Hillary D. Rodham Clinton,NY/Sen. B. Evans "Evan" Bayh III,IN: 295 EV, 47%
(Republican)-VP. Julius C. "J. C." Watts Jr,OK/Sec of Com. Olympia J. Snowe,ME: 243 EV, 47%
(Green)-Mr. Ralph Nader,CT/May. Matthew "Matt" E. Gonzalez,CA: 0 EV, 3%
(Constitution)-Fmr Rep. James "Jim" W. Gilchrist Jr,CA/Fmr Sen. Robert "Bob" C. Smith,FL: 0 EV, 2%

ELECTION OF 2012
(Democratic)-Pres. Hillary D. Rodham Clinton,NY/VP. Evans "Evan" B. Bayh III,IN: 271 EV, 43%
(Republican)-Fmr Gov. Jon M. Huntsman Jr,UT/Sen. Robert "Rob" J. Portman,OH: 233 EV, 39%
(Constitution)-Gov. Roy S. Moore,AL/Fmr St Sen. Rick Jore,MT: 31 EV, 9%
(Green)-Fmr May. Matthew "Matt" E. Gonzalez,CA/Sen. Bernard "Bernie" Sanders,VT: 3 EV, 8%
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TNF
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« Reply #4508 on: February 04, 2015, 08:14:11 AM »

Continuing on from my previous post, this is (roughly) the level of support among voters at the state level for the Labor Party. Percentages are a bit off here because some states (the ones marked at >30%) are in fact states where the Labor Party only gets >20%, and so on and so forth. So assume the shading indicates 10% less support than the state actually gives to the LP.

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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #4509 on: February 08, 2015, 07:43:35 PM »
« Edited: February 18, 2015, 09:50:59 AM by MATTROSE94 »

Possible 2016 Democratic Primary Map:


Red: Hillary Clinton
Blue: Jim Webb
Green: Bernie Sanders
Yellow: Martin O'Malley

Possible 2016 Republican Primary Map:

Red: Jeb Bush
Blue: Chris Christie
Yellow: Scott Walker
Green: Ted Cruz
Grey: Rand Paul
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Goodwin
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« Reply #4510 on: February 14, 2015, 12:45:27 PM »

2012


Obama/Biden 394 (43.2%)
Palin/DeMint 137 (33.5%)
Huntsman/Bloomberg 7 (19.3%)
Johnson/Gray 0 (2.9%)
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #4511 on: February 14, 2015, 02:40:04 PM »

2012



Huntsman/Christie 280
Obama/Biden 258
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Goodwin
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« Reply #4512 on: February 15, 2015, 04:13:34 PM »

1984


Reagan/Bush 527 (57.0%)
Hollings/Hart 11 (41.8%)
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BaconBacon96
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« Reply #4513 on: February 17, 2015, 03:20:57 AM »

1996

Ross Perot throws his support behind retired general Colin Powell, whose moderate policies and image of refined leadership narrowly triumphs over the popular but now scandal ridden Bill Clinton.


Retired General Colin Powell/Former Education Secretary Lamar Alexander- 278 (49.0%)
President Bill Clinton/Vice President Al Gore- 260 (48.7%)
Others 2.7%

2000

Jesse Jackson emerges from a weak field as the Democratic candidate to take on the very popular President Powell. Pat Buchanan challenges Powell from the right, attacking his moderate positions. Powell nonetheless cruises to an easy victory, dispatching easily of his provocative opponents.


President Colin Powell/Vice President Lamar Alexander- 498 (55.6%)
Reverend Jesse Jackson/North Carolina Senator John Edwards- 3 (33.1%)
Activist Pat Buchanan/Former Representative Bob Dornan- 37 (10.3%)
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #4514 on: February 18, 2015, 10:24:55 AM »
« Edited: February 25, 2015, 09:40:58 AM by MATTROSE94 »

2016:

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Martin Heinrich (D-NM): 272 Electoral Votes (49.7%)
Governor Scott Walker (R-WI)/Governor Susana Martinez (R-NM): 266 Electoral Votes (48.6%)
Others: 1.7%

The closest states are Florida, Georgia, Virginia, Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Iowa, Ohio, Wisconsin, Colorado, New Mexico and New Hampshire.
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #4515 on: February 20, 2015, 07:24:22 PM »



2004 Gets Funky
(Not meant to be totally realistic)
Republican Establishment Party-George W. Bush/Dick Cheney
Well, the regular. Support for the Iraq War, "compassionate conservatism", pro life, pro gun, support trickle down system and entitlement reforms. Does well where Bush did, minus out west where Libertarians broke with the party over the war.
Democratic Coalition Party-Al Gore/Zel Miller
Pretty supportive of the war, socially moderate, pro-NCLB, for letting highest level Bush tax cuts expire, pro Patriot Act, somewhat pro-life, want a market healthcare fix. Did decently in the South, especially benefiting from the relative strength of the AFP. Miller helped win GA and the R split handed them MO and TN. Got support from moderate Democrats.
American Freedom Party-Ron Paul/Roscoe Bartlett
For winding down activity in Iraq, elimination of multiple federal departments, very pro-gun, pro life, support the FairTax proposal, some members support returning to the gold standard. This party performs strongly with Paleocons and Libertarians.
Anti-War Party-Wesley Clark/Lincoln Chafee
Totally against the Iraq conflict, supports universal healthcare, pro-choice, reversal of Bush tax cuts on all but the working and middle classes. Mainly pulls support from liberal voters and a select few anti-war moderates who supported Chafee.
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TNF
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« Reply #4516 on: February 21, 2015, 06:08:50 PM »

1840



Martin Van Buren (Democratic): 53
William Henry Harrison (Whig): 168
James G. Birney (Liberty)Sad 73

1844



Henry Clay (Whig): 87
James G. Birney (Liberty): 38
James K. Polk (Democratic): 150

1848



Lewis Cass (Democratic): 118
Zachary Taylor (Whig): 109
Gerrit Smith (Liberty): 36
Martin Van Buren (Free Soil): 27

The House elects Cass president by a single vote over Taylor, who ends up with the combined backing of the (most of the) Free Soil party and the American party in that chamber. The Democratic Party controlled Senate easily confirms William O. Butler for the position of Vice President.

1852



Franklin Pierce (Democratic): 236
Winfield Scott (Whig): 24
William Goodell (Liberty): 0
John Parker Hale (Free Soil): 36

1856



James Buchanan (Democratic): 135
John C. Fremont (Republican): 114
George Law (American / Whig): 47

The Democratic Party controlled House of Representatives elects James Buchanan as President. Likewise, the Senate votes for John C. Breckinridge to take up the office of Vice Resident.

1860



Stephen Douglas (Democratic:) 16
Abraham Lincoln (Republican): 176
John Bell (Constitutional Union): 57
John C. Breckinridge (Southern Democrat): 54

8. Martin Van Buren (Democratic-NY) 1837-41
9. William H. Harrison (Whig-OH) 1841
10. John Tyler (Whig, then Independent-VA) 1841-45
11. James K. Polk (Democratic-TN) 1845-49
12. Lewis Cass (Democratic-MI) 1849-53
13. Franklin Pierce (Democratic-NH) 1853-57
14. James Buchanan (Democratic-PA) 1857-61
15. Abraham Lincoln (Republican-IL) 1861-

9. Richard M. Johnson (Democratic-KY) 1837-41
10. John Tyler (Whig-VA) 1841
11. George M. Dallas (Democratic-PA) 1845-49
12. William O. Butler (Democratic-KY) 1849-53
13. William R. King (Democratic-AL) 1853
14. John C. Breckinridge (Democratic-KY) 1857-61
15. Hannibal Hamlin (Republican-ME) 1861-
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4517 on: February 21, 2015, 07:24:16 PM »

2016 - A Rout
A toxic Republican primary led to one of the most amazing political turn-arounds in history. Rick Perry upset Mike Huckabee in Iowa and Jeb Bush in South Carolina. The nomination fight was between him and a resurgent Chris Christie, but after an arrest while campaigning in his home state, Christie withdrew from the race.

Obviously Perry was dead in the water during the general election, and always trailed by upwards of 15 points. Debate performances went better than expected, and Tim Scott proved to be a boon for conservatives, but Perry wasn't ever going to crack that 15 point mark in the polls. He overperformed by a decent margin though, and carried some at risk Republicans, enough to hold on to the Senate and House.



Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Mark Warner (D-VA) - 53.5%, 388 EV's
Former Governor Rick Perry (R-TX)/Senator Tim Scott (R-SC) - 44.9%, 150 EV's

2020 - The One Term Duck

Hillary Clinton left office frustrated with Washington and her failings in Education and tax policy left a target on Vice President Mark Warner, the clear but damaged victor of the Democratic Primary over the Obama-endorsed Schatz and the over-eager Gillibrand. To build unity, Warner picked Schatz as his VP, effectively angering some Gillibrand supporters, but not enough to get them to bolt.

Warner benefited from yet another brutal Republican primaries, and faced off against Governor Mike Pence, who had high negatives. Pence, to combat accusations of being too conservative, went with the pro-choice Rice as his VP. The big mistake Warner made was assuming his high single digits lead would stay, as he campaigned in Texas, Arizona, and Montana instead of Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Warner got painted as a uncaring technocrat, and combined with his bad strategy Democrat fatigue and lost in an upset to Pence despite high favorables, high approval ratings, and solid debate performances.



Governor Mike Pence (R-IN)/Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice (R-AL) - 49.2%, 298 EV's
Vice President Mark Warner (D-VA)/Senator Brian Schatz (D-HI) - 48.3%, 240 EV's
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« Reply #4518 on: February 21, 2015, 07:39:40 PM »

1864



Abraham Lincoln (National Union): 192
George B. McClellan (Democratic): 21
John C. Fremont (Radical Democrat): 20

1868



Ulysses S. Grant (Republican-IL): 190
Horatio Seymour (Democratic-NY): 80
Benjamin Wade (Radical Democrat-OH): 24

1872



Ulysses S. Grant (Republican-IL): 257
Horace Greeley (Liberal Republican / Democratic-NY): 66
Thaddeus Stephens (Radical Democrat-PA): 29

1876



Rutherford B. Hayes (Republican-OH): 137
Samuel J. Tilden (Liberal-NY): 169
Peter Cooper (Radical Democrat-NY): 63

The Liberal Party controlled House of Representatives elects Tilden, while the Republican-controlled Senate elects William Wheeler as Vice President.

1880



Samuel J. Tilden (Liberal-NY): 133
Ulysses S. Grant (Republican-IL): 186
James B. Weaver (Radical Democrat-IA): 50

1884



James G. Blaine (Republican-ME): 145
Grover Cleveland (Liberal-NY): 219
Benjamin Butler (Radical Democrat-MA): 37

1888



Grover Cleveland (Liberal-NY): 132
Benjamin Harrison (Republican-IN): 220
Alson Streeter (Radical Democrat-IL): 49

1892



Benjamin Harrison (Republican-IN): 103
Grover Cleveland (Liberal-NY): 219
James B. Weaver (Radical Democrat-IA): 23
Simon Wing (Socialist Labor-MA): 99

The Liberal controlled House elects Cleveland president. Radical Democrats in the Senate swing their support to Adlai Stevenson for Vice President.

1896



John M. Palmer (Liberal-IL): 129
William McKinley (Republican-OH): 217
Charles Matchett (Socialist Labor-NY): 56
Thomas Watson (Radical Democrat-GA): 45

The Republican-controlled House elects McKinley president. In the Senate, a deal brokered between the Radical Democrats and the Liberals results in the election of Simon Bolivar Buckner, a former Confederate general and member of the Liberal Party from Kentucky, as Vice President.

15. Abraham Lincoln (Republican, then National Union-IL) 1861-65
16. Andrew Johnson (National Union, then Independent-TN) 1865-68
17. Benjamin Wade (Radical Democrat-OH) 1868-69
18. Ulysses S. Grant (Republican-IL) 1869-77
19. Samuel J. Tilden (Liberal-NY) 1877-81
20. Ulysses S. Grant (Republican-IL) 1881
21. Chester A. Arthur (Republican-NY) 1881-85
22. Grover Cleveland (Liberal-NY) 1885-89
23. Benjamin Harrison (Republican-IN) 1889-93
24. Grover Cleveland (Liberal-NY) 1893-97
25. William McKinley (Republican-OH) 1897-

15. Hannibal Hamlin (Republican-ME) 1861-65
16. Andrew Johnson (National Union-TN) 1865
17. Schuyler Colfax (Republican-IN) 1869-73
18. Henry Wilson (Republican-MA) 1873-75
19. William A. Wheeler (Republican-NY) 1877-81
20. Chester A. Arthur (Republican-NY) 1881
21. Thomas A. Hendricks (Liberal-IN) 1885
22. Levi P. Morton (Republican-NY) 1889-93
23. Adlai Stevenson (Liberal-IL) 1893-97
24. Simon B. Buckner (Liberal-KY) 1897-
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« Reply #4519 on: February 21, 2015, 09:07:36 PM »

1900



William McKinley (Republican-OH): 208
Augustus Van Wyck (Liberal-NY): 90
Eugene Debs (Socialist Labor-IN): 84
Wharton Barker (Radical Democrat-PA): 65

The House and Senate, both controlled by the Republicans, vote for McKinley and Roosevelt for President and Vice President, respectively. Following this, the third election in a row in which the House ultimately chose the winner, the electoral college was abolished via constitutional amendment. Henceforth, presidential elections would be determined by popular vote, with a runoff if no candidate received a majority of the popular vote.

1904



Theodore Roosevelt (Republican-NY): 50.2%
Alton Palmer (Liberal-NY): 18.1%
Eugene Debs (Socialist Labor-IN): 20.2%
Thomas Watson (Radical Democrat-GA): 11.6%

1908



William H. Taft (Republican-OH): 53.0%
William D. Haywood (Socialist Labor-UT): 16.8%
George Gray (Liberal-DE): 17.6%
Thomas Watson (Radical Democrat-GA): 12.6%

1912



William H. Taft (Republican-OH): 0.8%
Judson Harmon (Liberal-OH): 64.2%
Eugene Debs (Socialist Labor / Radical Democrat-IN): 18.3%
Theodore Roosevelt (Progressive-NY): 16.8%

1916

Round One



Judson Harmon (Liberal-OH): 36.3%
John W. Weeks (Progressive / Republican-MA): 40.5%
Allan Benson (Social Democratic-NY): 23.2%

Round Two



Judson Harmon (Liberal-OH): 52.0%
John W. Weeks (Progressive / Republican-MA): 48.0%

1920



James Cox (Liberal-OH): 23.9%
Leonard Wood (Progressive Republican-NH): 55.6%
Parley P. Christensen (Social Democratic-UT): 19.2%
Eugene V. Debs (Workers-IN): 1.3%

1924

Round One



Leonard Wood (Progressive Republican-NH): 49.7%
John Davis (Liberal-WV): 25.6%
Robert La Follette (Social Democratic-WI): 23.4%
William Z. Foster (Workers-IL): 1.3%

Round Two



Leonard Wood (Progressive Republican-NH): 74.4%
John Davis (Liberal-WV): 25.6%

1928



Herbert Hoover (Progressive Republican-IA): 65.7%
Al Smith (Liberal-NY): 12.1%
Norman Thomas (Social Democratic-NY): 18.6%
William Z. Foster (Workers'-IL): 3.6%

1932

Round One



Herbert Hoover (Progressive Republican-IA): 9.6%
Norman Thomas (Social Democratic-NY): 39.0%
Al Smith (Liberal-NY): 44.3%
William Z. Foster (Workers-IL): 7.0%

Round Two



Norman Thomas (Social Democratic-NY): 52.9%
Al Smith (Liberal-NY): 47.1%

25. William McKinley (Republican-OH) 1897-1901
26. Theodore Roosevelt (Republican-NY) 1901-09
27. William H. Taft (Republican-OH) 1909-13
28. Judson Harmon (Liberal-OH) 1913-1921
29. Leonard Wood (Progressive Republican-NH) 1921-27
30. Herbert Hoover (Progressive Republican-IA) 1927-33
31. Norman Thomas (Social Democratic-NY) 1933-

24. Simon B. Buckner (Liberal-KY) 1897-1901
25. Theodore Roosevelt (Republican-NY) 1901
26. Charles W. Fairbanks (Republican-IN) 1905-09
27. James S. Sherman (Republican-NY) 1909-12
28. Eugene N. Foss (Liberal-MA) 1913-1921
29. Herbert Hoover (Progressive Republcan-IA) 1921-27
30. Charles Curtis (Progressive Republican-KS) 1929-33
31. James H. Maurer (Social Democratic-PA) 1933-
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #4520 on: February 22, 2015, 05:53:10 PM »



2014 Republican gubernatorial candidates vs 2006 Democratic gubernatorial candidates

So about Walker, Rauner, LePage, and Scott only winning from low turnout...
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« Reply #4521 on: February 28, 2015, 10:34:54 PM »

1984

Senator Christopher Garrett (D-VT)/Congresswoman Patricia Schroeder (D-CO) 285 electoral votes
President Robert J. Dole (R-KS)/Vice President A. Linwood Holton (R-VA) 253 electoral votes
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vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #4522 on: March 01, 2015, 01:13:58 AM »
« Edited: March 01, 2015, 02:18:52 PM by vivaportugalhabs »

Assuming that Perot gets elected in 1992, but not in 1996. In 1996, Bob Dole wins the presidency over Al Gore. In 2000, Perot decides not to run and endorses David Boren.
2000 Reform Party Primary


Angus King- Maine Governor, running on a pretty centrist platform. Nice blend of left and right. Strong appeal nationwide, but does best on the coasts.
David Boren- Former Oklahoma Senator and Governor, OU president. Perot's personal pick, but his efforts are rebuffed by Northeastern and Great Lakes voters who lean more to the left socially. The South simply LOVES Boren.
Ron Paul- Congressman from Texas, espouses a decidedly Libertarian wing of the Reform party. His appeal is mainly confined to the West, but he did win traditional Libertarian leaning New Hampshire as well. He probably would have won Maine had Angus King not been in the race.
John Anderson- Former congressman and 1980 independent presidential candidate. Anderson reflects the budding progressive wing of the Reform Party. His focus was on issues generally brought up by the left, but he also talked about centre-right economic policies. Anderson was getting older and seen as a dark horse from the start, a candidate that might surprise with his results. Anderson did surprisingly well in the Midwest, especially in places expected to support Angus King.

Bob Dole wins a second term, and after 9/11, announces a full scale war on terror, invades Iraq, invades Afghanistan, and plans activity in Iran. By 2004, some Americans are growing weary of war, and the Democratic leading nominees, Hillary Clinton and Joe Lieberman, both support these war efforts. Thus, many anti-war voters are expected to turn to the Reform party.
2004 Primary


Lincoln Chafee-Senator from Rhode Island, Chafee decided to run for the Reform party nomination. His policies fall slightly left of center and strongly anti-war. He has strong appeal to white collar voters, especially on the coasts.
Wes Clark-A top Army general, Clark decided to hinge on his military experience to run a powerful anti war campaign. His stances are populist in nature and appeal to unionized, blue collar voters. His rust belt, southern sort of economic populism fired up many voters, but those in the center tended to side with Chafee.
Bob Smith-Former New Hampshire senator Bob Smith was always known for his very conservative ideals. He stands for a socially conservative and somewhat hawkish platform. Before, he considered primarying the Republican nominee from the right, but figured he could gain more traction among Reform party voters. Religious Southerners were the main source of Smith's votes. In many Southern states, it was a battle between Smith and Clark. Smith's gaffes caused him to lose a number of close states in the South.
Jesse Ventura-Minnesota Governor Jesse Ventura takes pride in being endorsed by Ron Paul. Unlike Paul, Ventura appeals to more moderate Reform party voters alongside Libertarians. He performed strongly in the West, along with the northern plains.
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MadmanMotley
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« Reply #4523 on: March 05, 2015, 04:48:44 PM »

2012, The Happening:

Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX)
Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA)
Fmr. Spkr. Newt Gingrich (R-GA)
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« Reply #4524 on: March 06, 2015, 05:33:36 PM »
« Edited: March 06, 2015, 05:39:08 PM by SPC »

Best-case scenario for Republicans 2016:

Assuming:
  • Black turnout drops to 2004 levels
  • Walker outperforms Romney with whites and blacks to the same extent he did in 2014 and 2012
  • The Asian vote looks more like 2004 than 2008/2012
  • No change in either Hispanic vote breakdown or growth rate



Walker 51.7% 348
Clinton 46.4% 190




Courtesy of 538
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