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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 986692 times)
bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #75 on: January 05, 2017, 03:18:13 PM »

Those maps are... confusing. First of all, why is Delaware to the right on everything except economics? If anything I would expect the opposite.

I forgot the source:

http://gotoquiz.com/politics/political-maps.html
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #76 on: January 10, 2017, 05:25:31 PM »

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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #77 on: January 14, 2017, 07:12:30 PM »

This time I'll actually post the map it's based on...



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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #78 on: January 15, 2017, 12:09:26 AM »

Samuel Walden's got a damn good hold on this country.

I wonder what would cause this D vs R map?

A Democrat from Idaho fails to buck the trends, resulting in the popular pseudo-populist capitalist Republican president winning reelection.

AK, IL and ID (especially ID) are really the only states separating this from an expectant sort of scenario for a solid GOP win.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #79 on: January 16, 2017, 03:14:32 PM »



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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #80 on: January 16, 2017, 04:22:06 PM »

Should George W. Bush be president?



No 321-217

Should Al Gore be president?



No 314-224
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #81 on: January 17, 2017, 05:11:48 PM »



Blue: >1 VP

Gray: 1 VP

Red: No VP
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #82 on: January 18, 2017, 10:52:32 PM »



Closest state: Wisconsin
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #83 on: January 20, 2017, 07:16:54 PM »

I'm flabbergasted as to what Republican could win DC.

That map was based off of legalization of sodomy, with DC not legalizing it until after 1985, which was the benchmark.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #84 on: January 20, 2017, 11:16:08 PM »

inverted swings 2012-16

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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #85 on: January 22, 2017, 03:55:36 PM »
« Edited: January 22, 2017, 03:57:13 PM by bagelman »

urban vs. less urban



278
-260
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #86 on: January 25, 2017, 02:30:42 AM »

I'm surprised that Washington goes Republican before Oregon.
how about Maryland going GOP before Illinois?

that's pi for you

they do seem to see WA as more elastic  than most people would say it is
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #87 on: February 01, 2017, 06:48:56 PM »
« Edited: February 02, 2017, 01:43:41 AM by bagelman »



1948 merged with 2016, gray states are states that would flip from a 0% pv margin to the average pv margin of the two elections.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #88 on: February 02, 2017, 01:47:42 AM »

Here's an easier map to follow based on the same idea, 2000 merged with 2016. The result is an unpopular Republican victory

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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #89 on: February 04, 2017, 10:25:46 PM »
« Edited: February 04, 2017, 10:50:46 PM by bagelman »

Places I've been to, but not just been through, in the USA



Places I've been to and been through, in the USA





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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #90 on: February 04, 2017, 11:14:49 PM »



Place I HAVEN'T been to or passed through.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #91 on: February 05, 2017, 12:46:12 PM »

same idea that I used for me, involving the places I've been, haven't been, and an apportionment calculator, but applied to BRTD

he's been



he hasn't

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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #92 on: February 05, 2017, 02:55:57 PM »

What do the colors (and apportionment) signify?

If a person's been to a county, that county is part of the first map (the one were states have 100+ ev) and not calculated as part of a state in the second map.

In the hasn't been map, other states can have their EVs increase because the person hasn't been there.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #93 on: February 05, 2017, 11:48:30 PM »

United States of Interstate 10



Dems win with just TX and CA. 297-154. Unwise to keep EC.

USA without I-10



Democrats benefit from FL flipping, still lose.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #94 on: February 06, 2017, 05:21:52 PM »

The I-8 corrider as a state would be a Romney/Clinton state.

USA without I-8



USA without I-5



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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #95 on: February 06, 2017, 10:51:48 PM »
« Edited: February 06, 2017, 10:56:35 PM by bagelman »

I-80 actual:



without:



Overall LD Smith did well in the west, although seeming to overestimate partisanship - south WY is to the left of north WY. What he got wrong was the continued loyalty of midwestern cities to Clinton despite the regional backlash against her and her party. Des Monies, Cleveland, inelastic Akron, and .... Gary.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #96 on: February 08, 2017, 12:41:25 PM »

USA without I-4 isn't a huge change...at least not in 2012..




But in 2000, it's the world:

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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #97 on: February 08, 2017, 01:35:51 PM »

I-20



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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #98 on: February 09, 2017, 11:35:03 PM »


435 seats + 2 senate seats distrusted among a small number of states. They are generally only used to visualize population through numbers, any election held within these fantastical isolated highway corridors would not use the EC and may even ditch state boundaries.

I-15



without



some of these are more interesting than others
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,624
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17

P P P
« Reply #99 on: February 12, 2017, 03:36:24 AM »

Actually, I just figured all the rural areas the I-80 went through simply came out far enough in droves to cancel it out. Gary just isn't that big a place in Indiana.

That's what I assumed to, especially for Gary and East Chicago in IN.
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