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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Kalwejt, Apocrypha)
  Post random maps here
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 856299 times)
MadmanMotley
Bmotley
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E: 4.77, S: -4.52

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« Reply #4150 on: May 07, 2014, 05:01:50 pm »

2016:
The two extremes of each party are nominated, Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders, as a result, a pro-union, moderate independent ticket forms with Joe Manchin at the top and takes most of the rust belt.

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)/Gov. Scott Walker (R-WI) 211EV
Sen. Bernie Sanders (D-VT)/Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR) 190EV
Sen. Joe Manchin (I-WV)/Fmr. Sen. Evan Bayh (I-IN)
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DKrol
dkrolga
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« Reply #4151 on: May 07, 2014, 06:46:37 pm »



Mayor Rudy Giuliani, NY/Governor Bill Owens, CO (R) - 363
Senator Hillary Clinton, NY/Congressman Dennis Kucinich (D) - 175
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MadmanMotley
Bmotley
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E: 4.77, S: -4.52

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« Reply #4152 on: May 07, 2014, 07:21:09 pm »



Mayor Rudy Giuliani, NY/Governor Bill Owens, CO (R) - 363
Senator Hillary Clinton, NY/Congressman Dennis Kucinich (D) - 175

Someone's optimistic Wink
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DKrol
dkrolga
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« Reply #4153 on: May 07, 2014, 08:02:01 pm »



Mayor Rudy Giuliani, NY/Governor Bill Owens, CO (R) - 363
Senator Hillary Clinton, NY/Congressman Dennis Kucinich (D) - 175

Someone's optimistic Wink

I made one a day into it with McCain as my running mate. Just a bit of fun.
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badgate
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« Reply #4154 on: May 08, 2014, 01:14:51 am »

1976 Third-Party Scenario



West Virginia Senator Robert Byrd / Arkansas Congressman Wilbur Mills - 249
California Governor Ronald Reagan / Arizona Senator Barry Goldwater - 265
Congressman John Anderson / Vermont Senator Robert Stafford - 24





Premise from this thread.
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NHI
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« Reply #4155 on: May 10, 2014, 10:56:34 pm »

Governor Ann Richards/Senator Bob Kerrey: 384 (52.2%)
Vice President Dan Quayle/Senator Bob Smith: 154 (46.4%)

President Ann Richards/Vice President Bob Kerrey: 285 (49.1%)
General Colin Powell/Rep. John Kasich: 253 (49.0%)

Mayor Rudy Giuliani/Governor Tommy Thompson: 310 (50.9%)
Vice President Bob Kerrey/Governor Janet Napolitano: 228 (48.0%)

President Rudy Giuliani/Vice President Tommy Thompson: 360 (52.7%)
Governor Ed Randell/Governor Gavin Newsom: 178 (45.9%)

Governor Andrew Cuomo/Senator Mary Landrieu: 381 (50.5%)
Rep. Mike Pence/Governor Sarah Palin: 144 (35.5%)
Governor Jon Huntsman/Governor Angus King: 13 (13.0%)
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Maxwell
mah519
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E: -6.45, S: -6.96

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« Reply #4156 on: May 10, 2014, 11:27:15 pm »

1948 - FDR lives, doesn't run for re-election



Governor Thomas Dewey (R-NY)/President Pro Tempore Arthur Vandenburg (R-MI) - 48.3%, 304 EV's
Senator Alben Barkley (D-KY)/Associate Justice William O. Douglas (D-NY) - 40.2%, 135 EV's
Senator Richard Russell (I-GA)/Governor Strom Thurmond (I-SC) - 9.4%, 92 EV's
Others - 2.1%, 0 EV's
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MadmanMotley
Bmotley
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« Reply #4157 on: May 12, 2014, 02:57:04 pm »

Second Placers (presuming a competitive primary):
2012:

Pres. Barack Obama (D-IL)/VP. Joe Biden (D-DE) 347EV 52%
Fmr. Sen. Rick Santorum (R-PA)/Fmr. Spkr. Newt Gingrich (R-GA) 45%
Gov. Gary Johnson/Judge Jim Grey 0EV 3%

2008:

Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA) 365EV 53%
Gov. Mike Huckabee (R-AR)/Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA) 173EV 45%
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NHI
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« Reply #4158 on: May 12, 2014, 09:01:11 pm »

President Barack Obama/Vice Pres. Joe Biden: 357 (53.0%)
Senator Rick Santorum/Rep. Newt Gingrich: 181 (45.1%)

Sec. of State Hillary Clinton/Senator Sherrod Brown: 277 (49.5%)
Governor Chris Christie/Senator Rand Paul: 261 (49.4%)

Governor Susanna Martinez/Senator Kelly Ayotte: 272 (49.3%)
Vice President Sherrod Brown/Senator Tammy Baldwin: 266 (49.2%)
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badgate
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« Reply #4159 on: May 12, 2014, 09:10:56 pm »

Governor Susanna Martinez/Senator Kelly Ayotte: 272 (49.3%)
Vice President Sherrod Brown/Senator Tammy Baldwin: 266 (49.2%)

That would be a heartbreaker for me.
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badgate
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« Reply #4160 on: May 12, 2014, 09:34:02 pm »
« Edited: May 12, 2014, 09:35:43 pm by badgate »



Frmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton / North Carolina Congressman Mike McIntyre - 340
Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan / Ohio Governor John Kasich - 198
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NHI
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« Reply #4161 on: May 12, 2014, 10:57:52 pm »

√ Vice President Joe Biden/Senator Elizabeth Warren: 285 (49.8%)
Governor Jeb Bush/Senator Kelly Ayotte: 253 (48.6%)
Other: 0 (1.6%)

√ Attorney General Kirsten Gilibrand/Governor Julian Castro: 368 (53.2%)
Senator Ted Cruz/Governor Mike Pence: 170 (45.3%)
Other: 0 (1.5%)
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NHI
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« Reply #4162 on: May 13, 2014, 08:28:21 am »

√ Governor Jeb Bush/Secretary Elizabeth Dole: 273 (48.9%)
Vice President Al Gore/Senator Joe Lieberman: 265 (48.7%)
Other: 0 (2.4%)

√ President Jeb Bush/Vice President Elizabeth Dole: 342 (53.0%)
Senator Joe Biden/Governor Howard Dean: 196 (45.5%)
Other: 0 (1.5%)

√ Senator Hillary Clinton/Governor Bill Richardson: 277 (49.29%)
Vice President Elizabeth Dole/Senator George Allen: 261 (49.20%)
Other: 0 (1.6%)

√ Governor Chris Christie/Senator Judd Gregg: 311 (50.9%)
President Hillary Clinton/Vice President Bill Richardson: 227 (47.5%)
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NHI
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« Reply #4163 on: May 16, 2014, 08:42:35 am »

Savior of the Republican Party
√ Gov. Brian Sandoval (R-NV)/ Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR): 275 (49.5%)
Gov. Martin O'Malley (D-MD)/ Gov. Jay Nixon (D-MO) 263 (49.4%)

√ Pres. Brian Sandoval (R-NV)/ Vice Pres. Tom Cotton (R-AR) 326 (52.9%)
Gov. Gavin Newsom/ (D-CA)/Rep. Joseph P. Kennedy (D-MA) 212 (45.3%)
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BaconBacon96
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« Reply #4164 on: May 16, 2014, 09:20:55 pm »
« Edited: May 16, 2014, 10:51:22 pm by NE Representative BaconBacon96 »

Ronald Reagan-One Term Only

In late 1983, with declining health and an increasing age, Ronald Reagan announced to the world that he was not seeking reelection to the presidency. Endorsing George HW Bush as his successor, he urged Republicans to get behind his Vice President.  The party did so, with Bush winning all 50 states in the primaries against token opposition.

1984 Democratic Primaries

The Democratic Party primaries were not so simple however. To the surprise of many in the liberal establishment, former Vice President Walter Mondale announced he was not going to seek the nomination. In his place came a number of different candidates including Daniel Patrick Moynihan, Mo Udall and Joe Biden. Reverend Jesse Jackson also ran, but was primarily seen as the black candidate and made little traction outside of that demographic.

Gary Hart emerged as a moderate, more modern candidate. He was a fresh face that many could get behind. The left of the party failed to unite, with Moynihan, Biden and Udall all winning primaries. Hart capitalized on this and successfully portrayed the others as believers in traditional liberal policies of the past. One by one all of them fell, with Moynihan lasting longer than the others and providing the only real threat Hart ever had to the nomination. Moynihan never got too close to Hart though and the Democratic Party's candidate for president was indeed the Colorado Senator.



Senator Gary Hart of Colorado
Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan of New York
Reverend Jesse Jackson
Representative Mo Udall of Arizona
Senator Joe Biden of Delaware

Under intense pressure to choose a running mate from the liberal wing of the party, Hart chose Senator Bill Bradley of New Jersey.

The General Election of 1984

Going into the general election, Bush was leading the polls against all potential Democratic opponents. With both establishment and grassroots conservatives supporting him, he could project a sense of unity in the GOP, contrasting with the divided Democrats. At the Republican National Convention outgoing President Ronald Reagan made a passionate speech for his Veep. This and the choice of well-known Representative Jack Kemp as the VP candidate seemed to put Bush out of reach for Hart. However, this made Bush complacent. He began to campaign less intensely and commentators began to question his general lack of policies, besides the ones the Reagan Administration had already implemented. He was smashed during the debates by the younger, faster and more readily prepared Hart.

When the results had finally come in, it had become clear that Gary Hart had pulled off the greatest turnaround since Truman beat Dewey in 1948.




Colorado Senator Gary Hart/New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley-302 EV
Vice President George HW Bush/New York Representative Jack Kemp-226 EV
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badgate
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« Reply #4165 on: May 17, 2014, 02:05:07 am »

2000


Vice President Al Gore / Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman - 271, 49.99%
Texas Governor George W. Bush / Frmr. Secretary of Defense Dick Cheney - 267, 48.91%



2004


President Al Gore / Vice President Joe Lieberman - 275, 48.9%
Arizona Senator John McCain / Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney - 263, 48.7%



2008


Illinois Senator Barack Obama / Indiana Senator Evan Bayh - 349, 51.2%
Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee / Florida Governor Charlie Crist - 189, 46.8%



2012


President Barack Obama / Vice President Evan Bayh - 266, 48.7%
Governor Jon Huntsman / Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell - 272, 49.1%


2016


Frmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton / Missouri Governor Jay Nixon - 280, 50.6%
President Jon Huntsman / Vice President Bob McDonnell - 258, 47.4%


2020


President Hillary Clinton / Vice President Jay Nixon - 251, 47.1%
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul / Maine Senator Susan Collins - 287, 50.8%
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I Was So Wrong
outofbox6
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« Reply #4166 on: May 17, 2014, 05:13:17 pm »

So, how could this happen? 284 R to 254 D

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badgate
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« Reply #4167 on: May 17, 2014, 05:18:28 pm »

So, how could this happen? 284 R to 254 D




2008
Indiana Senator Evan Bayh / Georgia Senator Sam Nunn - 254
Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty / Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, Jr. - 284
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Brewer
BrewerPaul
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E: -6.90, S: -6.17

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« Reply #4168 on: May 17, 2014, 05:23:26 pm »

So, how could this happen? 284 R to 254 D



2016
Sen. Kay Hagan (D-NC)/Gov. Jay Nixon (D-MO)
Gov. Brian Sandoval (R-NV)/Sen. Rob Portman (R-OH)
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #4169 on: May 17, 2014, 06:13:46 pm »

1996: Upset over Perot's perceived effect on the 1992 election, Republican state legislators across the nation inplement instant-runoff voting:



Bill Clinton 371
Bob Dole 167

2000: Republican legislators quickly regret their push for instant-runoff voting:



Al Gore 296
George W. Bush 242
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badgate
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« Reply #4170 on: May 18, 2014, 12:11:29 am »

^Tough to determine how an IRL 2004 recall would go.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #4171 on: May 18, 2014, 01:18:57 am »
« Edited: May 18, 2014, 12:51:29 pm by IDS Legislator Maxwell »

2008 Alternate Scenario - President Edwards



Governor Mark Sanford (R-SC) - 1113 Delegates + 96 Delegates
Former Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA) - 970 Delegates
Senator Rick Santorum (R-PA) - 96 Delegates

2008 General Election:



Governor Mark Sanford (R-SC)/Governor Bill Owens (R-CO) - 53.9%, 321 EV's
President John Edwards (D-NC)/Vice President William Cohen (D-ME) - 44.5%, 217 EV's
Others - 1.6%, 0 EV's

2012 General Election



Former Senator Barack Obama (D-IL)/Senator John Kerry (D-MA) - 49.7%, 286 EV's
President Mark Sanford (R-SC)/Vice President Bill Owens (R-CO) - 48.4%, 252 EV's
Others - 1.9%, 0 EV's

2016 General Election



President Barack Obama (D-IL)/Vice President John Kerry (D-MA) - 51.8%, 347 EV's
Former Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Senator Pat Toomey (R-PA) - 46.9%, 191 EV's
Others - 1.3%, 0 EV's

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NHI
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« Reply #4172 on: May 18, 2014, 09:06:39 pm »

No economic crisis in 2008

√ Sen. John McCain/Gov. Sarah Palin: 276 (49.4%)
Sen. Barack Obama/Sen. Joe Biden: 262 (49.3%)

√ Pres. John McCain/Vice Pres. Sarah Palin: 296 (50.9%)
Sen. Russ Fieingold/Gov. Martin O'Malley: 242 (47.9%)

Vice President Sarah Palin/Gov. Jon Huntsman: 269 (49.8%)
Sen. Hillary Clinton/Sen. Sherrod Brown: 269 (49.8%)*
*House Elects Clinton 26-23

√ Pres. Hillary Clinton/Vice Pres. Sherrod Brown: 299 (50.7%)
Gov. Jon Huntsman/Sen. Charlie Crist: 239 (48.0%)
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DKrol
dkrolga
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« Reply #4173 on: May 19, 2014, 06:22:25 pm »

Obama Doesn't Seek Re-Election

2012

Governor Mitt Romney/Governor Brian Sandoval (R) - 287
Vice President Joe Biden/Governor Howard Dean (D) - 251

2016

President Mitt Romney/Vice President Brian Sandoval (R) - 331
Speaker Chris Van Holland/Senator Martin Heinrich (D) - 207

2020

Senator Joseph P. Kennedy, III/Governor Jason Carter (D) - 420
Senator Ted Cruz/Senator Raul Labrador (I) - 68
Governor Scott Brown/Secretary of State Jon Huntsman, Jr. (R) - 50
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NHI
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« Reply #4174 on: May 19, 2014, 07:20:43 pm »

Gov. Brian Sandoval (R-NV)/Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R-NH) 291 (50.5%)
Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D-NY)/Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) 247 (48.1%)
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