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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Kalwejt, Apocrypha)
  Post random maps here
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 854838 times)
Yelnoc
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« Reply #3375 on: July 09, 2012, 08:16:08 pm »

Take a guess at this one.  The election year is obvious, but what method did I use to produce this map?

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Cath
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« Reply #3376 on: July 09, 2012, 08:22:45 pm »

Take a guess at this one.  The election year is obvious, but what method did I use to produce this map?



You combined Debs and Roosevelt's votes.
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NHI
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« Reply #3377 on: July 09, 2012, 09:32:52 pm »

350
188

A possible reality someday in the future??



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morgieb
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« Reply #3378 on: July 12, 2012, 08:31:52 pm »

350
188

A possible reality someday in the future??





Vermont won't go before Minnesota or Delaware, regardless of how white it is.
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Penelope
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« Reply #3379 on: July 14, 2012, 01:11:01 pm »

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User8825
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« Reply #3380 on: July 14, 2012, 11:13:11 pm »

Santorum states?
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #3381 on: July 22, 2012, 01:34:55 am »

Take a guess at this one.  The election year is obvious, but what method did I use to produce this map?



You combined Debs and Roosevelt's votes.
except in OK, where it was added to Tafts?
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shua
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« Reply #3382 on: July 22, 2012, 01:39:31 am »


Ok, it's basically:
yellow: states with Hispanic plurality/majority precincts, 30% shade indicates a single precinct in the whole state.
blue: black plurality/majority precincts, 30% shade indicates a single precinct in the whole state.
red: Asian plurality/majority precincts, 30% shade indicates a single precinct in the whole state.
green: native American plurality/majority precincts, 30% shade indicates a single precinct in the whole
blue: VT+NH are the only states which have no non-white plurality/majority precincts
Colours are non-political, have to do with demographics and precincts.






How can AZ and NC each have only one native American plurality precinct?
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Mechaman
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« Reply #3383 on: July 31, 2012, 06:25:15 pm »

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Mechaman
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« Reply #3384 on: August 02, 2012, 11:34:58 am »


Any guesses?
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Cath
Cathcon
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« Reply #3385 on: August 02, 2012, 12:38:19 pm »


How many times the Dems have won without each state.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #3386 on: August 02, 2012, 01:08:35 pm »

The number of times a Democrat has won while losing that state.
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Mechaman
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« Reply #3387 on: August 02, 2012, 05:00:01 pm »

Both correct gentlemen.
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Cath
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« Reply #3388 on: August 18, 2012, 11:49:36 am »
« Edited: August 18, 2012, 01:32:24 pm by Cathcon »

1896

Senator William B. Allison (Republican-Iowa)/Former Governor Matthew Quay (Republican-Pennsylvania) 252 electoral votes 45.4% of the popular vote
Allen G. Thurman (Democrat-Ohio)/Former Congressman Henry Watterson (Democrat-Kentucky) 142 electoral votes, 41.3% of the popular vote
Senator William Jennings Bryan (Populist-Nebraska)/Congressman Thomas E. Watson (Populist-Georgia) 53 electoral votes, 12.8% of the popular vote

1900

President William B. Allison (Republican-Iowa)/Senator Joseph B. Foraker (Republican-Ohio) 236 electoral votes, 46.3% of the popular vote
Former President Grover Cleveland (Democrat-New York)/Former Senator William Freeman Vilas (Democrat-Wisconsin) 174 electoral votes, 42.4% of the popular vote
Congressman Thomas Watson (Populist-Georgia)/State Senator and Former Congressman Ignatius Donnelly (Populist-Minnesota) 37 electoral votes, 10.8% of the popular vote

1904

Senator William Jennings Bryan (Populist-Nebraska)/Former Governor John P. Buchanan 240 electoral votes, 34.7% of the popular vote
President Joseph B. Foraker (Republican-Ohio)/Governor Theodore Roosevelt (Republican-New York) 174 electoral votes, 32.5% of the popular vote
Senator George Gray (Democrat-Delaware)/Senator Murphy J. Foster (Democrat-Louisiana) 62 electoral votes, 30.9% of the popular vote

1908

Senator Theodore Roosevelt (Republican-New York)/Governor Andrew L. Harris (Republican-Ohio) 311 electoral votes, 51.7% of the popular vote
President William Jennings Bryan (Populist-Nebraska)/Vice President John P. Buchanan (Populist-Tennessee) 151 electoral votes, 38.2% of the popular vote
Senator Benjamin Tillman (Democrat-South Carolina)/Governor Joseph T Robinson (Democrat-Arkansas) 21 electoral votes, 10.1% of the popular vote

1912

President Theodore Roosevelt (Republican-New York)/Vice President Andrew L. Harris (Republican-Ohio) 370 electoral votes, 53.8% of the popular vote
Congressman Beauchamp Clark (Populist-Missouri)/Former Governor Thomas Marshall (Populist-Indiana) 161 electoral votes, 44.2% of the popular vote
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morgieb
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« Reply #3389 on: September 04, 2012, 12:40:40 am »

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NHI
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« Reply #3390 on: September 10, 2012, 03:22:09 pm »

1992: Perot's Victory
Perot: 298 (35.7%)
Clinton: 211 (34.8%)
Bush: 29  (27.8%)

1996: Perot, No More
Brown: 476 (42.8%)
Dole: 51 (31.3%)
Perot: 11 (24.9%)

2000: Somewhat Back to Normal
Brown: 302 (48.2%)
McCain: 236 (44.0%)
Buchanan: 0 (4.8%)

2004: The Republicans Strike Back
Powell: 290 (50.0%)
Kerry: 248 (48.7%)

2008:
Powell: 402 (56.1%)
Dean: 136 (42.8%)

2012: History Made
Rell: 318 (51.9%)
Schweitzer: 220 (47.1%)
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NHI
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« Reply #3391 on: September 23, 2012, 09:04:41 am »

Obama: 372
Romney: 105
Huckabee: 61
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #3392 on: September 23, 2012, 09:52:43 am »

Unless Obama is in the low 40's, he should be doing WAY better than that.
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OAM
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« Reply #3393 on: September 23, 2012, 01:55:13 pm »

Yeah, if you don't mind, here's my take on the scenario.  Granted, it's basically handwaved that Huckabee is suddenly in.  NHI probably had more backstory to his map.



Obama:  431
Romney:  71
Huckabee:  36
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3394 on: September 23, 2012, 10:26:15 pm »

I could even see Obama winning Mississippi and South Carolina because of the big percentage of African Americans along with the split Republican vote.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #3395 on: September 23, 2012, 10:53:03 pm »



Barack Obama/Joe Biden (D): 43.74%
Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan (R): 36.54%
Ron Paul/Gary Johnson (L): 19.72%



Chris Christie/Rand Paul (R): 54.55%
Martin O'Malley/Elizabeth Warren (D): 43.55%
Other: 1.9%

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NHI
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« Reply #3396 on: October 01, 2012, 09:11:41 pm »

Sixteen Years
Obama/Biden: 408 (54.6%)
McCain/Palin: 130 (43.1%)

Obama/Biden: 387 (52.6%)
Romney/Thune: 151 (45.8%)

Clinton/Schweitzer: 374 (53.0%)
Jindal/Pence: 164 (45.2%)

Clinton/Schweitzer: 274 (50.0%)
Walker/Sandoval: 264 (48.5%)

Rubio/Pawlenty: 313 (51.9%)
Schweitzer/Booker: 225 (47.0%)
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #3397 on: October 04, 2012, 04:18:47 pm »

How do you adjust the electoral vote numbers?
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Kitteh
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« Reply #3398 on: October 07, 2012, 07:45:06 pm »


Wallace 33.53
Nixon 33.42
Humphrey 32.72

Wallace 155
Nixon 227
Humphrey 156

Despite winning the popular vote by a hair, George Wallace comes in third in the electoral college because of poor vote distribution (failing to win a single non-southern state).
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Kitteh
drj101
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« Reply #3399 on: October 08, 2012, 06:41:39 pm »

Following up on my last post:



34.03 Wallace
32.17 Nixon
30.57 Humphrey

199 Wallace
183 Nixon
156 Humphrey

This is the minimum required for Wallace to win an EC plurality, using uniform national swing away from Nixon and Humphrey and to Wallace. Swing is -11.25 from both Humphrey and Nixon and +22.5 to Wallace.

Closest States:
Missouri- Wallace +0.27%
Ohio- Wallace +0.33%
Nevada- Nixon +0.46
Alaska- Wallace+0.54%
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