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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 991819 times)
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #25 on: February 18, 2015, 10:24:55 AM »
« edited: February 25, 2015, 09:40:58 AM by MATTROSE94 »

2016:

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Martin Heinrich (D-NM): 272 Electoral Votes (49.7%)
Governor Scott Walker (R-WI)/Governor Susana Martinez (R-NM): 266 Electoral Votes (48.6%)
Others: 1.7%

The closest states are Florida, Georgia, Virginia, Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Iowa, Ohio, Wisconsin, Colorado, New Mexico and New Hampshire.
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #26 on: July 20, 2015, 01:22:27 PM »

Tie-Fighters

Presuming Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Nevada, Wisconsin, and North Carolina as the most plausible swing states, and assuming that the Democrats and Republicans will each split the other states as expected, these are plausible 269-269 electoral ties:





What if the Democrats get both Virginia and Ohio?



What if the Democrats get Virginia, Ohio, and Florida?



Yes, I didn't include Minnesota as "plausible," and giving the Democrats NE-1 to make it 269-269 is silly, but anything other than a Republican loss if they lose VA, FL, and OH is virtually impossible.

What if the Republicans get Virginia, Ohio, and Florida?



Does anyone else have any other plausible/interesting 269-269 draw maps?
I would say that the second map could be plausible in a Clinton vs. Rubio match-up.
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #27 on: August 10, 2015, 07:00:45 PM »

2016 (Clinton vs. Kasich):

Governor John Kasich (R-OH)/Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL): 302 EV (50%)
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Martin Heinrich (D-NM) 236 EV (48%)
Others: 0 EV (2%)
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #28 on: August 20, 2015, 11:44:39 AM »

Green is the states you lived in and yellow is the states you've travelled to?
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #29 on: October 07, 2015, 07:24:13 AM »


Sen. Bernie Sanders (D-VT)/Gov. Jerry Brown (D-CA) 134EV
CEO Donald Trump (R-NY)/Fmr. Sen. Rick Santorum (R-PA) 140EV
Fmr. Gov. Gary Johnson (L-NM)/Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) 83EV
Fmr. SoS. Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Fmr. Sen. Joe Webb (D-VA) 181EV
I assume that Donald Trump would easily get elected President by the House of Representatives, whereas Jerry Brown would probably be elected Vice President by the Senate.
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #30 on: December 08, 2015, 11:07:24 AM »

2016 (Clinton vs. Rubio)

Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)/Governor John Kasich (R-OH): 288 EV (50%)
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/ HUD Secretary Julian Castro (D-TX): 250 EV (48%)
Others: 0 EV (2%)

The closest states are Pennsylvania, Virginia, Nevada, New Hampshire, Iowa, Ohio, Colorado, Wisconsin, and Florida.
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #31 on: March 15, 2016, 09:27:47 PM »

Clinton/Castro vs Rubio/Snyder vs Trump/LePage?
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #32 on: December 08, 2016, 12:30:14 PM »

Chris Sununu/Ann Wagner vs John Bel Edwards/David Freudenthal?
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #33 on: January 11, 2017, 07:32:27 PM »

2020 (Trump vs. Harris):

Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA)/Governor John Bel Edwards (D-LA): 311 EV (52%)
President Donald Trump (R-NY)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 227 EV (46%)
Others: 0 Ev (2%)

Basically, we end up with a map for 2020 with the Republicans making gains in the Midwest, Appalachia, and the Northeast and the Democrats doing well in the Southeast and Southwest.
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
« Reply #34 on: January 12, 2017, 08:11:52 PM »

2020 (Trump vs. Harris):

Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA)/Governor John Bel Edwards (D-LA): 311 EV (52%)
President Donald Trump (R-NY)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 227 EV (46%)
Others: 0 Ev (2%)

Basically, we end up with a map for 2020 with the Republicans making gains in the Midwest, Appalachia, and the Northeast and the Democrats doing well in the Southeast and Southwest.
Unless something radical happens to the country in the next 4 years, most of this is very unlikely (i.e. Republican Florida and Democratic Georgia and North Carolina).

Yeah, how the hell does Arizona and Texas go to the Dems while Florida stays Republican?

As someone from Florida, I could see Trump winning Florida (while still losing the election, NC, and maybe GA) 1. by being a hardliner on Cuba, earning the Cuban-American vote, 2. by sticking close to Israel, helping him with Jewish voters, and 3. benefitting from an unpopular Democrat elected governor in 2018.
All that being said, it would still be pretty crazy if that happened, but hey, so was the idea of President Trump.
That is why I had Trump still holding onto Florida in 2020. Also, Kamala Harris doesn't really seem like she would be a good fit for Florida to be honest, so Trump might still win it against her.
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