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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 993208 times)
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #25 on: June 22, 2011, 05:27:48 PM »



Guess!

Hint: It has something to do with altered demographics...

2008, only whites.
Logged
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #26 on: July 31, 2011, 01:13:15 PM »

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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #27 on: December 29, 2011, 05:06:10 PM »

Something to do with absentee ballots?
Logged
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #28 on: January 13, 2012, 12:58:03 AM »

That's easy, a swing to Carter in the 1980 election (a victory?).
Logged
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #29 on: January 18, 2012, 11:08:35 PM »



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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #30 on: February 12, 2012, 04:41:27 PM »

The 2012 primary season so far in a better world:



Anyone care to guess how I made the maps?
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #31 on: February 12, 2012, 04:47:26 PM »


It's uniform swings, but not national.
Logged
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #32 on: February 12, 2012, 04:56:26 PM »


Did you take a certain number of Romney votes and give them to Paul ?

Nope.
Logged
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #33 on: February 12, 2012, 05:24:30 PM »


Ok, it's basically:
yellow: states with Hispanic plurality/majority precincts, 30% shade indicates a single precinct in the whole state.
blue: black plurality/majority precincts, 30% shade indicates a single precinct in the whole state.
red: Asian plurality/majority precincts, 30% shade indicates a single precinct in the whole state.
green: native American plurality/majority precincts, 30% shade indicates a single precinct in the whole
blue: VT+NH are the only states which have no non-white plurality/majority precincts

That was actually my guess but I figured it couldn't be it since there has to be a black-majority precinct in Providence - guess there isn't.
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #34 on: April 05, 2012, 06:29:56 PM »
« Edited: April 05, 2012, 08:18:52 PM by I cannot imagine power as a thing negative and not positive. »



Edit:  A related map:

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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #35 on: May 03, 2012, 10:54:06 PM »



Change in Cook PVI before and after the 2008 election; each shade indicates a one-point shift in PVI.  Green means no change.

Biggest Democratic shift:  Vermont, D+8 to D+13.
Biggest Republican shift: Tie between Arkansas, R+3 to R+9, Louisiana, R+4 to R+10, and Tennessee, R+3 to R+9.

326 EVs shifted Republican relative to the national average, 160 shifted Democratic.*

*The way PVI is calculated usually favors the loser of the last election.
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #36 on: June 14, 2013, 10:57:21 PM »



2008 if all states had the same vote percentages by race or ethnicity.
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #37 on: June 15, 2013, 10:02:24 AM »



2008 if all states had the same vote percentages by race or ethnicity.

Same thing, 2004.

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