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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 988051 times)
Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #25 on: February 05, 2011, 05:54:12 PM »
« edited: February 05, 2011, 05:56:23 PM by Imperial Speaker Yelnoc »

Again, just for my own convenience.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #26 on: February 05, 2011, 08:08:03 PM »

And again, for my convenience only.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #27 on: February 11, 2011, 07:06:17 PM »

Uno mas

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #28 on: February 11, 2011, 07:15:33 PM »

Actualmente, dos mas.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #29 on: February 28, 2011, 08:56:01 PM »

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #30 on: April 28, 2011, 09:37:30 PM »

Another "for my convenience" maps.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #31 on: May 01, 2011, 05:08:46 PM »


Where do you use these maps? I'd be glad to read it if it's a timeline.
Yep, it's a timeline.  I posted the first bit of it an outline for a while back when I was afraid I had a computer virus.  It's called the Progressive Party.  My goal is to have it done by the end of this summer.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #32 on: May 01, 2011, 05:09:24 PM »

'ere's another one.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #33 on: May 12, 2011, 12:10:33 PM »

McCarthy as an Independent?
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #34 on: May 31, 2011, 06:57:36 PM »

I compiled state-by-state data from the past three elections to create this map.  That includes a close election (2000) a big Republican win (2004) and a big Democratic win (2008).  Hopefully, it will work to shape the debate a bit for 2012.  It comes with a list of average percentages of the aggregate winning party.

Voted Republican 3/3
Voted Republican 2/3
Voted Democratic 2/3
Voted Democratic 3/3

Alabama: 59.75%
Alaska: 59.70%
Arizona: 53.07%
Arkansas: 54.78%
California: 56.23%
Colorado: 49.05%
Connecticut: 56.94%
Delaware: 56.74%
D.C: 88.93%
Florida: 49.68%
Georgia: 54.91%
Hawaii: 60.55%
Idaho: 65.59
Illinois: 57.09%
Indiana:
Iowa:

ah sh**t, I got to go.  Finish this later.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #35 on: August 03, 2011, 11:04:48 PM »

Guess at your peril...

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #36 on: September 15, 2011, 09:10:26 PM »

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #37 on: September 16, 2011, 04:27:43 PM »

Actually Wilkie pulls it off by one electoral vote.  A tie would have been cooler, but I couldn't find a plausible one.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #38 on: November 13, 2011, 02:23:08 PM »

Posted here for my convenience.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #39 on: November 27, 2011, 02:05:22 PM »

Have a guess, I dare you Wink

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #40 on: December 03, 2011, 10:11:42 PM »

Coolidge 45,74%
LaFollette 33,22%
Davis 20,52%



I actually had a timeline with a similar POD in the works (Progressive Party).  I think I posted the bones of it on here somewhere, but I lost most of it when my computer crashed Sad
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #41 on: December 15, 2011, 04:14:03 PM »

Shades are always better.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #42 on: December 21, 2011, 08:10:52 PM »

PM me your guesses as to not clog up the thread, because none of you will get this on the first try. I'll post the answer in a week if nobody lands it.



Forgot about this.

The results are based on Literary Digest's final round of polling for the 1924 presidential election.
I never would have guessed that.  Do you have a link to the source?

@Antonio: I assure you, nobody will ever guess your map.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #43 on: December 31, 2011, 03:55:24 PM »

It appears we need to find posters from UT, ND, AR, AL, and VT.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #44 on: July 09, 2012, 08:16:08 PM »

Take a guess at this one.  The election year is obvious, but what method did I use to produce this map?

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #45 on: October 17, 2012, 04:50:18 PM »

Go ahead, take a stab at it.

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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #46 on: October 17, 2012, 08:59:03 PM »


Yes sir.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #47 on: October 28, 2014, 06:49:06 PM »
« Edited: October 28, 2014, 07:05:23 PM by Yelnoc »

1980: Anderson gives Carter a second term



Jimmy Carter 41.0%, 297 EVs
Ronald Reagan 40.75%, 241 EVs
John Anderson 16.61%
Others 1.62%

For the fun of it, I subtracted 10 from Obama 2012 and 6 from Romney 2012 to get this hypothetical 2016 map under the same conditions.



Hillary Clinton 41.01%, 272 EVs
Ted Cruz 41.15%, 266 EVs
Bernie Sanders, 16.35%
Others 1.48%
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #48 on: November 07, 2014, 02:06:41 AM »
« Edited: November 07, 2014, 02:26:37 AM by Yelnoc »

This is a R+10 shift map adjusted for 538's elasticity ratings.



Republican 57.15%, 430 EVs
Democrat 41.01%, 108 EVs

Here is a D+5 map produced by the same methodology.



Democrat 56.01%, 385 EVs
Republican 42.15%, 153 EVs
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,172
United States


« Reply #49 on: December 01, 2014, 02:25:51 PM »

1968 goes to Congress:

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