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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 993873 times)
Mr. Smith
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« Reply #25 on: February 13, 2016, 01:46:57 PM »
« edited: February 13, 2016, 02:08:58 PM by L.D. Smith »
1968 A) All Wallace support to Humphrey



Humphrey/Muskie: 56.2% PV
Nixon/Agnew: 43.4% PV

B) All Wallace support to Nixon



Nixon/Agnew: 56.9%
Humphrey/Muskie: 42.7%

C) Wallace takes 5% from Nixon and Humphrey



Nixon/Agnew: 38.4%
Humphrey/Muskie: 37.7%
Wallace/LeMay: 23.5%
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #26 on: February 13, 2016, 06:20:05 PM »
« Edited: February 13, 2016, 07:55:39 PM by L.D. Smith »
1968 vs 1992 (with the 1980 map)

A) Winners




B) Losers


C) Perot vs Wallace



D) Democrats (Humphrey vs Clinton)



E) Republicans (Nixon vs Bush)
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #27 on: February 20, 2016, 05:11:09 PM »


Rosalynn Carter vs Betty Ford
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #28 on: February 26, 2016, 06:55:25 PM »
2000-Present on a 1976 Map



Gore/Lieberman: 278 EV
Bush/Cheney: 260 EV

2004



Kerry/Edwards: 270 EV
Bush/Cheney: 268 EV

2008



Obama/Biden: 372 EV
McCain/Palin: 166 EV

2012



Obama/Biden: 346 EV
Romney/Ryan: 192 EV
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #29 on: February 26, 2016, 10:22:56 PM »
« Edited: February 26, 2016, 10:38:08 PM by L.D. Smith »
1980 vs 1992 on 2012

Winners



Reagan/Bush: 441 EV
Clinton/Gore: 97 EV

Losers:



Carter/Mondale: 345 EV
Bush/Quayle: 193 EV
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #30 on: March 29, 2016, 02:29:10 PM »
« Edited: March 29, 2016, 02:45:41 PM by L.D. Smith »


The Current GOP Primary from 2nd Place.

And from 3rd place, switched the colors of Rubio and Kasich on this one. (Except Indiana, that's TBD, I'm too lazy go fix it...could be prophetic if Cruz gets third though)
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #31 on: April 03, 2016, 03:42:54 PM »
« Edited: April 03, 2016, 04:26:32 PM by L.D. Smith »
1980: Carter Bows Out



Ronald Reagan (R-CA)/George H.W. Bush (R-TX): 476 EV, 55% PV
Walter Mondale (D-MN)/Bruce Babbitt (D-AZ): 62 EV, 44% PV

1984: The "0" Curse Continues



President George H.W. Bush (R-TX)/Vice President Jack Kemp (R-NY): 376 EV, 52% PV
Senator Ernest Hollings (D-SC)/Senator Gary Hart (D-CO): 162 EV, 46% PV
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #32 on: April 20, 2016, 07:41:38 PM »
2016 GOP Primary Season

trump
Cruz
Rubio
Kasich

First




Second



Third
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #33 on: April 28, 2016, 07:40:38 PM »
1976 GOP vs 2016 Dems



Incumbent/Establishment
Challenger
Leftist Combo
Conservative Combo
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #34 on: May 16, 2016, 10:04:20 AM »
« Edited: May 16, 2016, 10:15:12 AM by L.D. Smith »
2008 Dems vs 2016 Dems



Obama/Sanders
Hillary (x2)
Obama/Hillary
Hillary/Sanders

1976 GOP vs 2016 Dems



Ford/Clinton
Reagan/Clinton
Ford/Sanders
Reagan/Sanders
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #35 on: May 20, 2016, 11:32:09 AM »
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #36 on: June 08, 2016, 06:59:07 PM »
« Edited: June 08, 2016, 07:27:40 PM by L.D. Smith »
1976 vs 2012

Part I: "Third Term?"



The Incumbent/Establishment
The Insurgent
The Leftist Combo
The Conservative Combo

Part II



The Outsider Nominees Win
ABC/#NeverTrump To The Max
Carter +#NeverTrump
ABC + Trump
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #37 on: August 21, 2016, 02:00:26 AM »
« Edited: August 21, 2016, 02:14:19 AM by L.D. Smith »
1976 vs 2004 (by today's standards)

The Winners



George W. Bush (R-TX)/Dick Cheney (R-WY): 285 EV, 49.7% PV
Jimmy Carter (D-GA)/Walter Mondale (DFL-MN): 253 EV, 47.9% PV

The Losers



John F. Kerry (D-MA)/John Edwards (D-NC): 282 EV, 48.6% PV
Gerald R. Ford (R-MI)/Bob Dole (R-KS): 256 EV, 48.4% PV


...It really does come to Florida...
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #38 on: August 21, 2016, 02:33:13 AM »
« Edited: August 21, 2016, 02:46:53 AM by L.D. Smith »
1960 vs 2000 (by today's standards)

The Winners



John F. Kennedy (D-MA)/Lyndon Johnson (D-TX): 270 EV
George W. Bush (R-TX)/Dick Cheney (R-WY): 268 EV

The Losers



Richard Nixon [R-CA]/Henry C. Lodge Jr [R-MA]: 306 EV
Al Gore [D-TN]/Joe Lieberman [D-CT]: 232 EV
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Mr. Smith
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Posts: 33,204
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« Reply #39 on: August 21, 2016, 03:09:27 AM »
« Edited: August 21, 2016, 03:22:54 AM by L.D. Smith »
1960 vs 1976 (today's standards)

Nixon vs Carter



277 EV
261 EV

Kennedy vs Ford



332 EV
206 EV
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #40 on: August 28, 2016, 04:32:46 PM »
« Edited: August 28, 2016, 04:39:21 PM by L.D. Smith »
1988 vs 2008 (by today's standards)



R wins by 272.

How the heck 7 pint leads combined became  Dubya-esque victory maps for the GOP is beyond me.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #41 on: November 19, 2016, 05:55:44 PM »
« Edited: November 19, 2016, 06:08:27 PM by L.D. Smith »
The current election:

5% Shift to Clinton



Clinton/Kaine: 413 EV, 53% PV
Trump/Pence: 125 EV, 42% PV

Another 5% Shift to Trump



Trump/Pence: 355 EV, 51% PV
Clinton/Kaine: 183 EV, 43% PV
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #42 on: November 20, 2016, 11:49:44 PM »
I may post this map later at another place, but here it is:



The only hint is that 2000 and 2016 are involved in this.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #43 on: November 21, 2016, 12:19:05 AM »
Oh, here's the counterpart map
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #44 on: January 02, 2017, 12:30:43 AM »
« Edited: January 02, 2017, 12:40:20 AM by L.D. Smith »
1. Trump Evolution



#NeverTrump
All Trump, All the Time
Trump -> Clinton
Warmed up to 'Im

2. Clinton Evolution



I'm With Her
No Way
Clinton -> Trump
Doing as Bernie Says
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Mr. Smith
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Posts: 33,204
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« Reply #45 on: January 22, 2017, 01:00:47 AM »
« Edited: January 22, 2017, 01:02:47 AM by L.D. Smith »
Progressive Era Elections, except with TV:

1928



Alfred E. Smith/Joseph Robinson
Herbert Hoover/Charles Curtis
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #46 on: January 23, 2017, 06:02:55 PM »
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #47 on: February 01, 2017, 01:49:54 AM »
1960: Johnson vs Nixon...because Johnson actually does the Primaries, so no JFK sneak-ups



Johnson/Kennedy
Nixon/Bush
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #48 on: February 06, 2017, 04:54:39 AM »


A rough idea of Clinton v Trump on the I-80 Corridor
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #49 on: February 11, 2017, 04:55:45 PM »
Quote from: bagelman on February 06, 2017, 10:51:48 PM
I-80 actual:



without:



Overall LD Smith did well in the west, although seeming to overestimate partisanship - south WY is to the left of north WY. What he got wrong was the continued loyalty of midwestern cities to Clinton despite the regional backlash against her and her party. Des Monies, Cleveland, inelastic Akron, and .... Gary.

Actually, I just figured all the rural areas the I-80 went through simply came out far enough in droves to cancel it out. Gary just isn't that big a place in Indiana.
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