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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 987927 times)
True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #25 on: June 20, 2005, 06:24:06 PM »


Small swing to Dewey in the 1948 election.
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #26 on: July 13, 2005, 03:30:26 PM »

Here's my opinion of a Clinton/Richardson vs. McCain/Sanford race:

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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #27 on: July 13, 2005, 10:38:56 PM »


1932 switching the parties, I believe.
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #28 on: July 28, 2005, 10:24:15 PM »

What could cause this in a Presidential election?  Your thoughts?



Bush/Douglas vs. Lieberman/Kennedy in October 2001.  But, in the campaign, Ted Kennedy dies and Patrick Kennedy takes his place.  Smiley
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #29 on: August 07, 2005, 11:59:35 AM »


Hatch/Grassley vs. Biden/Cantwell
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #30 on: August 07, 2005, 06:18:54 PM »


Are different regions from different years or something?
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #31 on: August 07, 2005, 06:32:09 PM »

Here's a hint

Map 1: 1980, 2000
Map 2: 1984, 1924
Map 3: 1916, 2004

Identify the relationship.

The average of the two percentages or number of votes?
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #32 on: August 07, 2005, 08:42:36 PM »

No. What was the most Democratic state in 1984?

I know they switched the most Democratic states, but how do the other states fit?
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #33 on: August 29, 2005, 03:12:59 PM »


States that have an ocean coastline versus states that don't.
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #34 on: August 29, 2005, 04:34:11 PM »

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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #35 on: August 29, 2005, 09:05:25 PM »
« Edited: August 29, 2005, 09:08:21 PM by Senator True Independent »


Close.  It has to do with 1992 and Perot though.

I'll give you a hint.  The national popular vote for this scenario is:

Clinton: 53.04%
Bush: 46.18%

I can also give results per state and county.
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #36 on: August 29, 2005, 09:46:25 PM »


Close.  It has to do with 1992 and Perot though.

I'll give you a hint.  The national popular vote for this scenario is:

Clinton: 53.04%
Bush: 46.18%

Clinton chooses Perot as his running mate? 

Perot endorses Clinton and drops out for good?


It's a variant of the final result, so it's concrete.
Logged
True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #37 on: August 29, 2005, 09:53:22 PM »

Perot drops out and all of his voters stay home?

You basically have it.  It's the results without any of Perot's votes.  It surprised me how close it is with only a few states with over 60%.
Logged
True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #38 on: August 31, 2005, 09:39:53 AM »

I doubt if anyone will get this (many bonus points if you do.  What causes this to happen (and yes this is a statistical trend, not made up):

Ignore Alaska, Hawaii, and DC

1960:



1964:



1968:



1972:



I'll start giving hints for every day that you guys don't get it.
Logged
True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #39 on: August 31, 2005, 12:54:35 PM »

Is it continuing the trend started between the 1952 and 1956 elections?

Wow, you get a lot of bonus points in my book.  Yeah, I took the 1956 Republican results in a state, and divided it by the 1952 result.  Then, I took the trend number and multiplied it by the 1956 results to get 1960, then again and again and again for each following year.  I only did this with the Republicans.  I just pretended that Democrats and Republicans were the only candidates, so if the Republicans didn't win it, the Democrats would.  That acoc**nts for the distortion in South Carolina and Mississippi (Republicans percent dropped in 1956 because of unpledged electors).
Logged
True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #40 on: August 31, 2005, 01:18:56 PM »

Here's another one using 92 and 96 to make a 2000 map.  Besides North Dakota and Texas, it's not too unrealistic for a landslide election.  Some of actual percentages are out the question though.  (Arizona Gore would have had 59%, 79% in Massachusetts)



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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #41 on: September 10, 2005, 11:27:03 AM »


How each state voted their first time voting?
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #42 on: September 19, 2005, 07:50:31 PM »


Wouldn't make sense for a lot of states like Alaska and Oklahoma.
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #43 on: September 20, 2005, 07:43:06 PM »


Is it really that much of a difference?  Democrats fuse with the American Independence Party. Happy?
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #44 on: September 21, 2005, 06:47:23 PM »

once you get the first one, this one will be easier to get (clue)



I did not know that NY and Delaware were till I did the research for this map. I'm willing to be no one know's that NY was, and you'd think NY should be green, but its not! (another clue!)

note that hawaii could be red depending on your source, and maine red, also depending on your source.

I'm not sure exactly, but all the states in red are named after a person.  Green might be named after another place, and blue is other?  I'm reall not sure though.
Logged
True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #45 on: September 21, 2005, 07:00:14 PM »

once you get the first one, this one will be easier to get (clue)



I did not know that NY and Delaware were till I did the research for this map. I'm willing to be no one know's that NY was, and you'd think NY should be green, but its not! (another clue!)

note that hawaii could be red depending on your source, and maine red, also depending on your source.

I'm not sure exactly, but all the states in red are named after a person.  Green might be named after another place, and blue is other?  I'm reall not sure though.
New York is named after a person?

Kind of.  The Duke of York.
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #46 on: September 24, 2005, 10:56:04 AM »

See if you can figure this one out:

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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #47 on: October 14, 2005, 03:13:38 PM »



Can anyone tell what this one depicts?

Is it something to do with places where Bush and Kerry each did better?
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #48 on: October 16, 2005, 12:21:02 PM »


It's the 1896 election with 2004 percentages.
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True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

« Reply #49 on: October 23, 2005, 08:16:49 PM »

I don't know if anyone will get this one:



I'll start giving hints tomorrow.
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