Why did Romney Lose Florida?

[Young Conservative]

African American turnout swung it because white turnout declined so much. (Florida's African american population is approximately 16.7% according to the 2010 census, a lot high than one might think). I seriously doubt that it will go democrat in 2016 if the nominee is Clinton or Sanders.

[Young Conservative]

african american turnout and that is proven by the fivethirtyeight.com model for the 2016 election. Move turnout down to 2004 levels for african americans and Romney carries the state. If hispanic turnout declines to 2004 levels, Florida becomes even more republican. If white turnout increases the trend continues. Florida is still an uphill battle for democrats...although the hill is small.