°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,184
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« on: May 07, 2005, 08:43:37 AM » |
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Suppose 2012 is exactly like 2004 as to the states won.
How much ground, in terms of electoral votes will the Democrats lose? I predict 6. That means Reps win 292-246.
(In other words the 'Gore' states lost 7; I am asking the same question about the Kerry states)
This does *not* mean a prediction as to results (identical), but rather I (and you) are simply predicting the general trend of all the states in terms of population relative to each other. The results will probably be different. But perhaps they could be similar as 2004 was to 2000. Certainly the swings states will remain about the same and that is what matters.
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