The Real "Firewall": The 206 Firewall (user search)
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  The Real "Firewall": The 206 Firewall (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Real "Firewall": The 206 Firewall  (Read 1766 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57
« on: July 04, 2015, 10:17:56 PM »
Assuming that there is no popular vote landslide, neither party can win below 206 electoral votes.  The Cook PVI gives the Republicans and the Democrats both 206 votes that are reasonably comfortably on their side (R/D+3 or more- meaning 6 point victories or more).  Ten states and one divided district (Maine's second) are between D+2 and R+2 and decide which party can get to 270 (or 332).  Given that both sides have exactly 206 "in the bag", these states will perfectly decide an election:
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,721


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57
« Reply #1 on: July 04, 2015, 11:14:24 PM »
Quote from: DS0816 on July 04, 2015, 10:51:50 PM
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on July 04, 2015, 10:17:56 PM
Assuming that there is no popular vote landslide, neither party can win below 206 electoral votes.  The Cook PVI gives the Republicans and the Democrats both 206 votes that are reasonably comfortably on their side (R/D+3 or more- meaning 6 point victories or more).  Ten states and one divided district (Maine's second) are between D+2 and R+2 and decide which party can get to 270 (or 332).  Given that both sides have exactly 206 "in the bag", these states will perfectly decide an election:



Incorrect.

I get that the left thinks they have some EC lock, but please explain your rationale for disagreeing with the Cook PVI.
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