PA-PPP: Toomey leads Democrats by 4-11

[pbrower2a]

42-38 at this point?  Weak. Low approval suggests that 42% is close to his ceiling.  

[pbrower2a]

Weak for an incumbent. Pat Toomey has been carefully low profile, steering close of the most controversial issues.

Lean R for now, and very much on probation.

[pbrower2a]

Turnout will be everything for this Senate race in 2016. I cannot see Toomey expanding his support from 2010. Can you?

[pbrower2a]

As for the other Senator from Pennsylvania:


Q16
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bob
Casey’s job performance?
 43% Approve
..........................................................
 33% Disapprove
......................................................
 24% Not sure

[pbrower2a]

Don't underestimate Toomey. It will be close, but he still has the advantage in my opinion.

Your opinion counts for no more than mine.

It comes down to turnout. Toomey is very far to the right in a state that leans D, and if he gets dodgy about his stances, he could be taken down.

Consider that if he wins and the Republicans win the Presidency and keep the Senate, he could easily be the new Rick Santorum to the extent of the power that he will wield.