PA-PPP: Toomey leads Democrats by 4-11
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  PA-PPP: Toomey leads Democrats by 4-11
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Author Topic: PA-PPP: Toomey leads Democrats by 4-11  (Read 5809 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: May 27, 2015, 11:13:42 AM »
« edited: May 27, 2015, 11:17:17 AM by TNvolunteer »

Toomey (R): 42%
Sestak (D): 38%

Toomey (R): 44%
Pawlowski (D): 34%

Toomey (R): 46%
Rendell (D): 41%

Toomey (R): 44%
Carney (D): 35%

Toomey (R): 44%
Hughes (D): 35%

Toomey (R): 44%
Williams (D): 33%

30% of voters approve of the job Toomey is doing to 37% who disapprove.
38% of voters say they approve of the job Obama's doing to 54% who disapprove.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/05/toomey-leads-sestak-by-4-in-rematch.html
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JRP1994
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« Reply #1 on: May 27, 2015, 11:26:41 AM »

Surely a republican hack pollster. Wink
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Miles
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« Reply #2 on: May 27, 2015, 11:33:58 AM »

Toomey and Obama are both in worse shape that I expected.
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windjammer
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« Reply #3 on: May 27, 2015, 11:34:41 AM »

Quote
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oooooh, I'm really surprised
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Zioneer
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« Reply #4 on: May 27, 2015, 11:57:36 AM »

The Obama numbers don't seem legit, but at least Sestak has pretty good numbers. He has nowhere to go but up.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: May 27, 2015, 12:05:23 PM »

Not too shaby; for Sestak. Closing in.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #6 on: May 27, 2015, 12:18:37 PM »

Toss-up/Tilt R
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: May 27, 2015, 12:34:02 PM »

Sabato had it right first time; toss up, before he changed it.
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Skye
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« Reply #8 on: May 27, 2015, 01:14:58 PM »

Legit surprised about Obama's numbers. They're way too low. Toomey still isn't doing well. Dat 30-37 approval. It's still a Toss Up/Tilts R for me.
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SATW
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« Reply #9 on: May 27, 2015, 01:18:07 PM »

#Toomey2016 #ReElectToomey
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Flake
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« Reply #10 on: May 27, 2015, 02:32:17 PM »

New Poll: Pennsylvania Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2015-05-24

Summary: D: 38%, R: 42%, I: 0%, U: 20%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Ebsy
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« Reply #11 on: May 27, 2015, 02:42:25 PM »

PPP polls for whatever reason have ridiculously low approval ratings for everyone.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #12 on: May 27, 2015, 03:01:55 PM »

Finally PPP bring some sanity to PA polling. Toomey is not going to win by much more than 5 at max, so this is much more realistic than what we've been seing recently.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #13 on: May 27, 2015, 03:49:37 PM »

Yeah, no way Obama is at the high forties nationally and has just 38% at Pennsylvania.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #14 on: May 27, 2015, 04:19:05 PM »

The Obama numbers don't seem legit, but at least Sestak has pretty good numbers. He has nowhere to go but up.

Yeah, but so does Toomey, so that's pretty null.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: May 27, 2015, 05:03:37 PM »

Having low approvals as a GOPer is different than a Democrat as we say play out last year in GOV contest. Granted Corbett was down pretty early on; he came from behind and the last Morning Call poll had it six.

Sestak can win this race.

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windjammer
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« Reply #16 on: May 27, 2015, 05:56:46 PM »

Well,
Generally, PPP is accurate, I do believe that the 4-11 lead is accurate.

However, the opinion of "XXXXX" is garbage.
Obama isn't so hugely unpopular.
And Toomey doesn't have 25% of republicans who have a negative opinion of him.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #17 on: May 27, 2015, 05:57:28 PM »

42-38 at this point?  Weak. Low approval suggests that 42% is close to his ceiling.  
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #18 on: May 27, 2015, 06:10:01 PM »

Weak for an incumbent. Pat Toomey has been carefully low profile, steering close of the most controversial issues.

Lean R for now, and very much on probation.
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Xing
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« Reply #19 on: May 27, 2015, 08:14:18 PM »

Okay, guys, so let me get this straight: You consider PA a Toss-up but CO Lean Democratic?

Considering how these races went in a very Republican-friendly year, I don't think that's too unreasonable, though I'd say PA is "Tilt R" for now.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #20 on: May 27, 2015, 08:16:35 PM »
« Edited: May 27, 2015, 08:19:24 PM by SMilo »

42-38 at this point?  Weak. Low approval suggests that 42% is close to his ceiling.  

I have no words anymore, so please accept this instead. Your analysis is literally hurting me.

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pbrower2a
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« Reply #21 on: May 28, 2015, 07:46:30 AM »

Turnout will be everything for this Senate race in 2016. I cannot see Toomey expanding his support from 2010. Can you?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: May 28, 2015, 08:19:41 AM »

Judging from Ayotte poll; Toomey, Kirk, and Johnson have their work cut out for all four of them.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #23 on: May 28, 2015, 08:39:08 AM »

Turnout will be everything for this Senate race in 2016. I cannot see Toomey expanding his support from 2010. Can you?
Actually he could given how he has moderated his profile after his election, contrast to his reputation as a firebrand in the house
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #24 on: May 28, 2015, 08:44:06 AM »

Corbett wasnt a firebrand, but like Johnson, he is supported by Club for Growth. Who Dems still dont like very much.
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