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  Talk Elections
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  2016 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  WA-Gravis Marketing McKenna ahead of Gov. Inslee
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Author Topic: WA-Gravis Marketing McKenna ahead of Gov. Inslee  (Read 3248 times)
mds32
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« on: May 22, 2015, 05:06:46 pm »

McKenna 48
Inslee 37

Inslee 43
Reichert 39

Inslee 44
Hill 36

Inslee 45
Bryant 35

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/washington-state-pool-paul-leads-gop-field-murray-leads-mcmorris-rodgers-right-to-work-up-45-to-33/
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: May 22, 2015, 05:07:32 pm »

McKenna is not leading by 11. Junk Poll!
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mds32
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« Reply #2 on: May 22, 2015, 05:24:30 pm »

I question how McKenna is leading by 11 but at the same time the other three matchups seem plausible.
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big time socialists
SawxDem
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« Reply #3 on: May 22, 2015, 05:27:03 pm »

Shills gonna shill.
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Holmes
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« Reply #4 on: May 22, 2015, 05:27:20 pm »

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Skye
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« Reply #5 on: May 22, 2015, 05:34:33 pm »

I know this is Gravis, and I know a double digit lead for the Republican is highly unlikely; but this means Inslee could be in trouble.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #6 on: May 22, 2015, 05:37:26 pm »

I know this is Gravis, and I know a double digit lead for the Republican is highly unlikely; but this means Inslee could be in trouble.

Do you write for Politico?
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mds32
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« Reply #7 on: May 22, 2015, 05:58:17 pm »

I know this is Gravis, and I know a double digit lead for the Republican is highly unlikely; but this means Inslee could be in trouble.

Do you write for Politico?

LOL

Well no matter what this or PPP say McKenna is the best candidate the WA GOP would want to have if the race were to somehow shift.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #8 on: May 22, 2015, 06:03:40 pm »

I know this is Gravis, and I know a double digit lead for the Republican is highly unlikely; but this means Inslee could be in trouble.

Do you write for Politico?

LOL

Well no matter what this or PPP say McKenna is the best candidate the WA GOP would want to have if the race were to somehow shift.

Didn't need a poll to tell me that. McKenna is charismatic, moderate, and generally a good politician. If he had a D next to his name, he'd be elected in a landslide.

However, he's taken up a lobbying job recently and has 4 kids who are about to enter college. Since his loss in 2012, he's seemed to be less and less eager to run with each media check-in. And given Inslee's uneventful but smooth tenure, there's not a lot of reasons to think McKenna would do better than in 2012.

So he can stay a lobbyist and spend time with his family, or he can fully become Dino Rossi 2.0.
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Xing
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« Reply #9 on: May 23, 2015, 11:29:43 am »

Yeah, this is Gravis being Gravis. McKenna is obviously the strongest candidate Republicans could run, but he seems unlikely to run again. Even if he did, his performance in 2012 shows just how difficult it is for even a moderate Republican to win here.
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Zioneer
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« Reply #10 on: May 23, 2015, 12:28:27 pm »

lol Gravis.

Though the fact that their other numbers are quite reasonable are puzzling.
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mds32
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« Reply #11 on: May 23, 2015, 02:53:47 pm »

lol Gravis.

Though the fact that their other numbers are quite reasonable are puzzling.

I don't know how so many people can change their votes unless people truly love McKenna and despise Inslee. Which Gravis and PPP found that Washington voters are luke-warm with Gov. Inslee, but don't fully despise him.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #12 on: May 24, 2015, 06:38:11 pm »

Well, Inslee isnt gonna lose, but GOV Bullock and NH and MO are prone to R pickups.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #13 on: May 31, 2015, 07:46:42 am »

McKenna has indicated he won't run again.

Honestly, I'm surprised that it's this close.  I thought Inslee was considered safe.
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Flake
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« Reply #14 on: June 01, 2015, 06:41:57 am »

McKenna has indicated he won't run again.

Honestly, I'm surprised that it's this close.  I thought Inslee was considered safe.

Not really, this is Gravis with a wacky poll. Tongue
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mds32
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« Reply #15 on: June 01, 2015, 01:42:50 pm »

PPP showed that Inslee was vulnerable to McKenna. Therefore somewhere in the middle or with PPP's numbers Gov. Inslee is not SAFE. Especially when both pollsters found the Governor's approval ratings upside-down. On paper that means he is beatable, ON PAPER.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #16 on: June 15, 2015, 07:28:06 pm »

The margin is scary.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #17 on: June 15, 2015, 09:25:30 pm »

Spoiler alert

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #18 on: July 27, 2015, 09:54:03 pm »

New Poll: Washington Governor by Gravis Marketing on 2015-05-19

Summary: D: 44%, R: 36%, U: 20%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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