20% option

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

The presidential race in Utah has reached the point where having a 20% option isn't ludicrous. With both Johnson and McMillian doing well there, while I doubt it will happen, the winner there may end up with less than 30% of the vote, and you can't include that in a prediction, tho you can do that in a map.

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That seems really impractical. Even third parties and write-ins made up 40% of the vote, it would still be impossible for either Trump or Clinton to get less than 30%.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

That seems really impractical. Even third parties and write-ins made up 40% of the vote, it would still be impossible for either Trump or Clinton to get less than 30%.

If Johnson and McMullin both strengthen as a result of Trump's implosion, the following is not inconceivable:

Trump 29%
Clinton 28%
Johnson 22%
McMullin 17%
Stein 3%
Others 1%

Before this latest problem, Clinton was already polling below 30% in Utah, Trump had been polling the mid- to upper-30's and both Johnson and McMullin had been polling above 10%.

Utah's developing into a four-way race, which is of course, the only way the winner could end up with less than 30% of the vote.

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

That seems really impractical. Even third parties and write-ins made up 40% of the vote, it would still be impossible for either Trump or Clinton to get less than 30%.

If Johnson and McMullin both strengthen as a result of Trump's implosion, the following is not inconceivable:

Trump 29%
Clinton 28%
Johnson 22%
McMullin 17%
Stein 3%
Others 1%

Before this latest problem, Clinton was already polling below 30% in Utah, Trump had been polling the mid- to upper-30's and both Johnson and McMullin had been polling above 10%.

Utah's developing into a four-way race, which is of course, the only way the winner could end up with less than 30% of the vote.

Today, I could see:

McMullin 29%
Trump 28%
Clinton 28%
Johnson 12%
Other 3%

[On Fleek]

Keep in mind that Alaska may be another contender for a 20% state.

[Vosem]

I think it seems very clear that we will not have a >20 result until there is a four-way race for a state, and Johnson's support here has totally collapsed in favor of McMullin.

[Enduro]

I think it's possible.