|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 26, 2020, 10:54:30 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
  2016 Gubernatorial Predictions
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Latest 2016 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
colin (R-ON)Map 11-07 2 R +3 7 (+3) 5 (-3) 0 (0) 0
jrny32 (O-NJ)Map 11-07 1 R +4 8 (+4) 4 (-4) 0 (0) 0
Oldiesfreak1854 (R-MI)MapProfile 09-06 1 R +1 5 (+1) 7 (-1) 0 (0) 0
blackflamecandl (I-VA)Map 11-05 2 R +1 5 (+1) 7 (-1) 0 (0) 0
tmthforu94 (I-KS)MapProfile 11-07 14 R +3 7 (+3) 5 (-3) 0 (0) 0
jaichind (L-NY)MapProfile 11-07 5 R +3 7 (+3) 5 (-3) 0 (0) 0
ExtremeGOP (R-TN)MapProfile 11-07 4 R +1 5 (+1) 7 (-1) 0 (0) 0
TexasDemocrat (G-TX)MapProfile 11-07 2 R +4 8 (+4) 4 (-4) 0 (0) 0
whaeffner1 (R-FL)MapProfile 11-07 2 R +3 7 (+3) 5 (-3) 0 (0) 0
Higgs (R-IL)MapProfile 11-07 3 R +3 7 (+3) 5 (-3) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2016 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
Ruby2014 (I-OH)MapProfile 11-08 9 R +5 9 (+5) 3 (-5) 0 (0) 0
Sb101 (D-NZL)MapProfile 11-08 10 D +1 3 (-1) 9 (+1) 0 (0) 0
ground_x (D-NY)MapProfile 11-08 2 D +1 3 (-1) 9 (+1) 0 (0) 0
Nym90 (D-OR)MapProfile 11-08 6 Even 4 (0) 8 (0) 0 (0) 0
Timothy87 (R-MD)MapProfile 11-08 2 R +2 6 (+2) 6 (-2) 0 (0) 0
nolesfan2011 (O-GA)MapProfile 11-08 1 Even 4 (0) 8 (0) 0 (0) 0
fezzyfestoon (I-NJ)MapProfile 11-08 1 D +2 2 (-2) 10 (+2) 0 (0) 0
Juin (R-CO)MapProfile 11-08 5 R +1 5 (+1) 7 (-1) 0 (0) 0
Sedona (D-NJ)MapProfile 11-08 5 D +1 3 (-1) 9 (+1) 0 (0) 0
K.Dobrev (O-BGR)MapProfile 11-08 1 D +1 3 (-1) 9 (+1) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2016 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
libertpaulian ()
by libertpaulian on 2016-11-07 @ 17:23:33
MapProfile 11-07 1 Even 4 (0) 8 (0) 0 (0) 1
sirnick (D-WI)
by mds32 on 2016-05-27 @ 22:19:47
MapProfile 05-26 1 Even 4 (0) 8 (0) 0 (0) 1
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2016 Gubernatorial Predictions  (Read 12634 times)
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,524
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 15, 2015, 09:51:37 pm »

The 2016 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active.

Compiled Prediction Map
Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,052
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: 0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 16, 2015, 12:12:55 am »

Logged
Flake
Flo
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 16, 2015, 09:44:15 am »

Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,120
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 16, 2015, 04:38:31 pm »

https://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/GOVERNOR/2016/pred.php?action=indpred&id=12
Logged
Penelope
Scifiguy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,525
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 11, 2015, 06:37:49 pm »

The 'prediction graphs' for the 2016 gubernatorial predictions appear to be broken.
Logged
Pro-Lukashenko Leftist for Trump
84285
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,353


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 11, 2015, 10:45:08 pm »

Vermont needs to be switched to an open seat now that Shumlin isn't running.
Logged
Flake
Flo
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,698
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 16, 2015, 10:14:40 pm »



Logged
Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,052
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.55, S: 0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 17, 2015, 12:32:10 am »


Kate Brown getting 60%? Are you sure about that? The only democrat since at least 1950 to manage that in an OR Gubernatorial race was Kitzhaber in 1998, and that was his 2nd election, not his first.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,286
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 15, 2015, 02:32:07 pm »


Kate Brown getting 60%? Are you sure about that? The only democrat since at least 1950 to manage that in an OR Gubernatorial race was Kitzhaber in 1998, and that was his 2nd election, not his first.

I think she'll win around 54%.
Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2015, 10:43:40 pm »

I think it will be a good year for Democrats. all the puzzle pieces are falling into place nicely.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,120
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2016, 12:05:29 am »

Ratings



Republicans: 27  <-- Overall
Safe R: 2
Likely R: 0
Lean R: 0
Toss-Up: 5
Lean D: 1
Likely D: 1
Safe D: 3
Democrats: 10

Predictions



Republicans: 29 (-2)
Democrats: 20 (+2)
Independents: 1

Exact Percentage Predictions
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,120
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2016, 12:26:09 am »

Final Predictions

Here

Final Ratings

Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,120
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 25, 2016, 02:04:15 am »

How off was I? Ex: D+2 means I was 2 points off in margin from the actual result.

DE: D+7
IN: D+10
MO: D+5
MT: D+7
NH: D+4
NC: D+1
ND: D+28
OR: D+4
UT: Even
VT: D+1
WA: D+1
WV: R+16 (didn't see that coming)

Overall, the worst state I predicted throughout all of this is North Dakota. Apparently, unless you have name recognition or they're well liked, you get absolute crap as a Democrat in the Dakotas.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.624 seconds with 14 queries.