NC-Gov Gravis Marketing 4/30 Cooper Opens Up Lead

[mds32]

McCrory Approval: 33/49
 
Cooper (D) 47%
McCrory (R) 45%

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/north-carolina-poll-bush-walker-lead-in-gop-field-cooper-mccory-close-in-governors-race/

[mds32]

The poll was taken before McCrory's announcement of a sizable budget surplus in the state and that the state paid off a huge debt to the federal government. I wonder if that would move the needle some.

[mds32]

Gravis>PPP in 2014 in NC.
I put them at even at least in NC and Florida in 2016.

[mds32]

Right and PPP (D) isn't a Democratic firm? Yet one is claimed to have much more credibility than the other in NC and other states, yet both firms had a very respectable year and a bad year. 2012/2014. I think we should follow both companies in this case, with Gravis having the most recent results.

[mds32]

Doesn't seem like Gravis' polls are any more different than PPP's. Besides if they were truly partisan, why would they want to show a sitti Republican governor down?

[mds32]

This race is gonna be very close. Cooper may very well end up winning; with or without Clinton coattails in NC.

Yes I agree, but in the spirit of the board I agree we should wait on another poll to confirm this result

[mds32]

Gravis was very good in 2014.

Show me the data.

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-north-carolina-polling/

They were off by 1 point. Harper got it exactly right (Tillis + 2).

Next they will pull out a poll from years prior to try and discredit that. While I can do the same with PPP when they pull out the 2012 good results and point to 2014 NC results that were not up to par compared to Gravis'.

[mds32]

Gravis was very good in 2014.

Show me the data.

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-north-carolina-polling/

They were off by 1 point. Harper got it exactly right (Tillis + 2).

One poll in one state. If they have a track record I'm not aware about, then we can talk.

Plenty of more states they were close too, such as Colorado and Iowa. They also were one of the few to show the Maryland Governor race to be close.