What makes this happen in a presidential election?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 18, 2025, 10:20:09 PM
News: Election Calculator 3.0 with county/house maps is now live. For more info, click here

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  What makes this happen in a presidential election?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: What makes this happen in a presidential election?  (Read 2462 times)
A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 01, 2005, 07:27:06 PM »



That's the map of total House votes-per-party for 1992.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 56,373


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2005, 07:29:11 PM »

Where'd you get this information?
Logged
A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2005, 07:30:02 PM »

http://clerk.house.gov/members/electionInfo/1992/92Stat.htm

For other years:
http://clerk.house.gov/members/electionInfo/elections.html
Logged
True Democrat
true democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,368
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2005, 07:34:14 PM »

Suddenly Reconstruction reappears in South Carolina, Florida, and Louisiana.  The Democrats out of anger at the Radical Republicans run Breaux (who loses Louisiana because of the reconstruction troops).  He picks Daschle for his Vice-President.  The Republicans nominate Rell and Santorum.  West Virginia is so solidly Democratic because Rell makes an anti-coal comment.  Dean runs with Douglas in a third party.
Logged
Beet
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,136


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: May 01, 2005, 07:42:15 PM »
« Edited: May 01, 2005, 07:44:09 PM by thefactor »

Suddenly Reconstruction reappears in South Carolina, Florida, and Louisiana.  The Democrats out of anger at the Radical Republicans run Breaux (who loses Louisiana because of the reconstruction troops).  He picks Daschle for his Vice-President.  The Republicans nominate Rell and Santorum.  West Virginia is so solidly Democratic because Rell makes an anti-coal comment.  Dean runs with Douglas in a third party.

Hey, I just noticed that those are the same 3 states that Rutherford Hayes stole from Samuel Tilden. Other things about those states
1 SC: The SC Democratic party never recovered from 1948. After that, southern/central parts of the state never again voted Democratic until Carter in 1976. The first Dixiecrat to join the flow to the GOP was none other than that state's Strom Thurmond.

2 LA: The state, unlike other southern states, has a large contingent of Catholics in addition to Southern Baptists. It was the first Deep South state to vote Republican on the presidential level since reconstruction (Eisenhower '56).

3 FL: The state saw rapid development in the Republican southern part of the state after 1920.

Btw, A18: are you going to do this for other years?
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 56,373


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: May 01, 2005, 07:43:51 PM »

In 1992, the NY Congressional delegation was 18-13 Democratic., and the Senate was 1-1 Now it's 20-9 Democratic for Congress and 2-0 Democratic for the Senate. Meanwhile the rest of the country has gotten more Republican.
Logged
A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: May 01, 2005, 07:51:02 PM »

Btw, A18: are you going to do this for other years?

Probably, but not tonight, I don't think
Logged
Beet
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,136


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: May 01, 2005, 08:43:18 PM »
« Edited: May 01, 2005, 09:23:58 PM by thefactor »

Btw, A18: are you going to do this for other years?

Probably, but not tonight, I don't think

Well, here is 1994:

Party | Popular Vote | Congressional Seats
Republican | 36,740,064 | 51.39% | 230 | 52.87%
Democratic | 32,070,314 | 44.86% | 204 | 46.90%
Independent | 105,502 | 0.15% | 1 | 0.23%
Other | 2,683,771 | 3.75% | 0 | 0.00%


Logged
A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: May 01, 2005, 09:01:50 PM »

LOL, I had just finished it! Smiley



I got white for Lousiana, since I only had general election results, and every representative got over 50% in the primary.
Logged
Beet
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,136


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: May 01, 2005, 09:21:08 PM »


Heh, at least we're double checking each other. I was wrong about KY.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

I looked up the results on the Louisiana secretary of state website.
Logged
A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: May 01, 2005, 09:56:48 PM »



There's 2004. The Louisiana result leaves out District 4, since it was decided in a primary, so it could be off by a little.
Logged
Erc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,823
Slovenia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: May 01, 2005, 10:01:00 PM »
« Edited: May 01, 2005, 10:03:00 PM by Erc »

2004:



EDIT:  And, apparently, Philip beat me to it.
Logged
A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: May 01, 2005, 10:02:42 PM »

^ North Dakota is only 59.6%. Close, but not quite >60%.
Logged
Erc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,823
Slovenia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: May 01, 2005, 10:03:26 PM »

Yep.  Forgot to change the color from Bush's percentage.
Logged
Beet
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,136


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: May 01, 2005, 10:04:02 PM »

This map looks much more like the presidential map than 1994. I would be interested to see what the PV was like in 2004 nationally.
Logged
Erc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,823
Slovenia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: May 01, 2005, 10:04:51 PM »

Note also that New York is going to be ridiculously messed up in all of these due to its multi-party tradition...and you can't just add the columns together, since occasionally there are Republican Liberals, and the Independence (Reform) party might endorse one or the other...
Logged
A18
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,794
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: May 01, 2005, 10:07:09 PM »

This map looks much more like the presidential map than 1994. I would be interested to see what the PV was like in 2004 nationally.

GOP 49.3%, Dem 46.5%
Logged
Erc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,823
Slovenia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: May 01, 2005, 10:08:36 PM »

This map looks much more like the presidential map than 1994. I would be interested to see what the PV was like in 2004 nationally.

Republicans:  55,713,412 (49.3%)
Democrats:  52,590,729 (46.5%)
Libertarians: 1,029,154 (0.9%)


EDIT:  Grrr....
Logged
Beet
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,136


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: May 01, 2005, 10:17:30 PM »

This map looks much more like the presidential map than 1994. I would be interested to see what the PV was like in 2004 nationally.

Republicans:  55,713,412 (49.3%)
Democrats:  52,590,729 (46.5%)
Libertarians: 1,029,154 (0.9%)


EDIT:  Grrr....


Thanks... LOL

It looks like a heck of a lot of presidential voters didn't bother to vote downballot. Also, of interesting note, more people voted for George H.W. Bush in 1992 than Newt Gingrich for Speaker in 1994.
Logged
Erc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,823
Slovenia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: May 01, 2005, 10:33:14 PM »

1964:

Note that Arkansas is weird since it does not require unopposed candidates to report votes.  But all three unopposed candidates (out of 4 total) are Democrats anyway.



Democrats: 56.9%
Republicans: 42.4%

MS wins the "Ticket-Splitting of the Millennium" Award.
Logged
Erc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,823
Slovenia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: May 01, 2005, 10:41:54 PM »

Compare that result to 1962 (not going to do the map now):

Democrats: 52.1%
Republicans: 47.1%

and 1966:

Democrats: 50.5%
Republicans: 48.0%


...and you can see the true extent of the landslide.  I like Goldwater, I really do...but he really, really screwed the Republican party.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.045 seconds with 9 queries.