AZ-PPP: Paul/Huck/Christie with a lead against Hillary, others are about tied

[Skye]

The only surprise is that Bush is tied with Clinton. At least IMO. Also, why is Christie polling that big when he's only at 5% in the primary?

Good for Paul, though.

[Skye]

Hey, they polled other Democrats too!

41/26 Walker/Chafee
43/25 Walker/O'Malley
43/28 Walker/Sanders
44/26 Walker/Webb

...ouch. That name recognition.

[Skye]

Hillary's numbers aren't bad. If she wants to make the state competitive though, she has to do better. The Democratic nominee in the past 4 elections has always been in the 44's, so she could have a chance. Maybe she won't win the state, but losing with, say, 48%, isn't half bad.

[Skye]

Is Christie doing so well here because of old, conservative NJ/NY-people who retired in AZ ?

if you look at the poll details, the reason Christie is doing well is strong performance with moderates, women and Latinos. This poll looks exactly like the kind of thing Christie would hope for nationally and would have expected without all his problems for the last year. It is as if AZ has been sealed away in a time capsule.

Exactly. That's why it's so weird.