Predict the Previous Poster's Result in the Preceding County.
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  Predict the Previous Poster's Result in the Preceding County.
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Author Topic: Predict the Previous Poster's Result in the Preceding County.  (Read 59228 times)
DPKdebator
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« Reply #950 on: August 08, 2021, 08:29:18 AM »

54.3%

Washington County, RI
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GregTheGreat657
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« Reply #951 on: August 10, 2021, 01:33:21 PM »

42%

Maricopa County, AZ
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #952 on: August 10, 2021, 01:33:48 PM »

47%

Jackson, OR
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #953 on: August 10, 2021, 05:19:17 PM »

48%

Montgomery, OH
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #954 on: August 12, 2021, 01:11:06 PM »


47-48%

Alameda County, CA
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GregTheGreat657
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« Reply #955 on: August 12, 2021, 01:50:09 PM »

18%

Lorain, OH or Mahoning, OH, please pick just one
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #956 on: August 12, 2021, 02:05:18 PM »


You'd lose both, the margin being under 5 points.

How'd I do in Vigo County, Indiana?
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #957 on: August 12, 2021, 02:12:40 PM »


51-52%

Lackawanna, PA
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beesley
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« Reply #958 on: August 13, 2021, 12:50:46 AM »

45%

Prince George's, MD
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #959 on: August 14, 2021, 08:53:10 AM »

82-83%

Kenosha, WI
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TDAS04
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« Reply #960 on: August 14, 2021, 03:01:03 PM »

50.2%

New York, NY
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #961 on: August 18, 2021, 12:59:50 AM »

91%

Hamilton, NY
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #962 on: August 20, 2021, 06:30:43 PM »

34%.

Westchester, NY.
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #963 on: August 27, 2021, 10:08:51 AM »

60% if he ran as a progressive populist and 66-67% if he ran as a standard Democrat
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TDAS04
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« Reply #964 on: August 27, 2021, 12:06:54 PM »

I'll do Westchester, NY for him since he didn't name a county.  31%

Coos, NH
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #965 on: August 28, 2021, 09:47:13 AM »

44%

Broome, NY
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beesley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #966 on: August 30, 2021, 11:23:36 AM »

46-48%.

Lake, CA
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #967 on: August 30, 2021, 01:32:26 PM »

47.3%

Clinton County, NY
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #968 on: September 08, 2021, 05:03:33 PM »


So you seem like a version of Trump, only less bombastic and more soft-spoken, pragmatic, reasonable and moderate. This might help or hurt you in Clinton County. The county is quite Democratic and has not voted red in some time, but is rural. It gave Obama over 60% but Clinton only a plurality and then Biden a narrow majority. Specifically it went blue by 5.2%, which means it can be flipped by a conservative/Republican. However it seemed to actually like Trump's rhetoric and I feel like you are less extreme and "populist" than him in rhetoric, you may do worse, but not significantly so. Trump got 45% and 46.5% in his two runs, and you'd underperform him somewhat...I'd give you 44-46% or so, anywhere within that range is fairly plausible.
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GregTheGreat657
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« Reply #969 on: October 22, 2021, 02:14:00 PM »

Because CentristRepublican did not give a county, I will

Rockland, NY
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beesley
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« Reply #970 on: October 24, 2021, 11:57:53 AM »

CentristRepublican could win Rockland as either a Republican or Democrat in the right circumstances. I'd say he matches the 2016 performance for either party.

Genesee, MI
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GregTheGreat657
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« Reply #971 on: October 24, 2021, 04:49:27 PM »

Assuming he runs as a Dem, 55.14%

Rockland, NY
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Biden his time
Abdullah
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« Reply #972 on: October 24, 2021, 05:02:42 PM »

55.0% once considering Hasidic Growth

Imperial, CA
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #973 on: October 24, 2021, 05:25:04 PM »

68.2%

San Bernardino, CA
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Spark
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« Reply #974 on: October 24, 2021, 05:25:21 PM »

35% at best.

Volusia, Florida
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