Which states will Bernie Sanders win in the Primary?
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  Which states will Bernie Sanders win in the Primary?
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Poll
Question: Which states will Sanders win in the Primary?
#1
Alabama
 
#2
Alaska
 
#3
Arizona
 
#4
Arkansas
 
#5
California
 
#6
Colorado
 
#7
Connecticut
 
#8
D.C.
 
#9
Delaware
 
#10
Florida
 
#11
Georgia
 
#12
Hawaii
 
#13
Idaho
 
#14
Illinois
 
#15
Indiana
 
#16
Iowa
 
#17
Kansas
 
#18
Kentucky
 
#19
Louisiana
 
#20
Maine
 
#21
Maryland
 
#22
Massachusetts
 
#23
Michigan
 
#24
Minnesota
 
#25
Mississippi
 
#26
Missouri
 
#27
Montana
 
#28
Nebraska
 
#29
Nevada
 
#30
New Hampshire
 
#31
New Jersey
 
#32
New Mexico
 
#33
New York
 
#34
North Carolina
 
#35
North Dakota
 
#36
Ohio
 
#37
Oklahoma
 
#38
Oregon
 
#39
Pennsylvania
 
#40
Rhode Island
 
#41
South Carolina
 
#42
South Dakota
 
#43
Tennessee
 
#44
Texas
 
#45
Utah
 
#46
Vermont
 
#47
Virginia
 
#48
Washington
 
#49
West Virginia
 
#50
Wisconsin
 
#51
Wyoming
 
#52
All of them
 
#53
None of them
 
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Total Voters: 107

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Author Topic: Which states will Bernie Sanders win in the Primary?  (Read 6665 times)
JonathanSwift
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« on: April 28, 2015, 06:17:19 PM »

Pretty self-explanatory. Discuss with maps, if you wish.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2015, 06:20:32 PM »
« Edited: April 28, 2015, 06:22:27 PM by Fubart Solman »

The only one that I'm really confident of is Vermont. A win in New Hampshire seems more likely than in Iowa at this point. Winning NH could give him the momentum to win a few more states like Maine or maybe Washington. If he focuses on the black vote in the South, he may be able to win some states down there. The best (realistic at this point (barring a Hillary implosion)) case scenario would have him winning 5-8 states, I'd imagine.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: April 28, 2015, 06:26:58 PM »

I'll say just Vermont. But other potential targets could be IA/CO/MN/ME (all caucuses in states where it seems he'd play well) and NH.
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20RP12
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« Reply #3 on: April 28, 2015, 06:36:34 PM »

Just Vermont. He'll perform better than expected in some of the early states, but I'm not confident that he'll give Hillary much of a fight, unfortunately.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: April 28, 2015, 06:58:02 PM »

All of them, he's inevitable.
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solarstorm
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« Reply #5 on: April 28, 2015, 07:08:57 PM »

None. Simply none.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #6 on: April 28, 2015, 08:16:03 PM »

Vermont and possibly New Hampshire
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ChainsawJedis
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« Reply #7 on: April 29, 2015, 02:09:45 AM »

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #8 on: April 29, 2015, 02:14:41 AM »

It would be beyond hilarious if he wins NH ... just for the sake of watching Hillary's face after it.
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Vega
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« Reply #9 on: April 29, 2015, 04:39:25 PM »

Depends on how long he'll stay in. Vermont and any other early caucus state are really up for grabs.

I could see him snagging one of the low-turnout territories in the Pacific.
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« Reply #10 on: April 29, 2015, 06:15:19 PM »

Depends on how long he'll stay in. Vermont and any other early caucus state are really up for grabs.

I could see him snagging one of the low-turnout territories in the Pacific.

Maybe the Virgin Islands. They went 90% for Obama in 2008. They also (depending on how you count/who you ask) went for Ron Paul in 2012.
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Skye
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« Reply #11 on: April 29, 2015, 06:16:15 PM »

Maybe Vermont. Maybe.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #12 on: April 29, 2015, 09:08:28 PM »

Probably Vermont. He may give Hillary a scare in New Hampshire and Iowa but I doubt he'll carry either of them.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #13 on: April 29, 2015, 10:02:12 PM »

Vermont and Colorado
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« Reply #14 on: April 30, 2015, 12:08:38 AM »


How could we forget the Hillary-Haters of Colorado?

An early caucus there could be a good opportunity for Bernie. He needs to strike before Super Tuesday if he wants a prayer of winning anything outside of Vermont.
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Spiral
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« Reply #15 on: April 30, 2015, 12:14:23 AM »

Howard Dean won the Vermont primary over John Kerry in 2004 weeks after he dropped out of the race. That might be what happens this time, and it also helps that Sanders has an even more devoted base of supporters than Dean did.
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« Reply #16 on: April 30, 2015, 12:49:28 AM »

Vermont. He has a shot at some early caucuses as well.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #17 on: April 30, 2015, 08:51:01 PM »

Only Vermont
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #18 on: April 30, 2015, 09:25:23 PM »

He'll probably get about 30% in Iowa, maybe 40% at most in New Hampshire (but still lose to Clinton), and then win Vermont on Super Tuesday before dropping out. Sort of similar to Bill Bradley's performance in 2000 (+ Vermont).
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Badger
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« Reply #19 on: May 03, 2015, 12:31:40 AM »

He could scare Hillary in IA. Maybe. I think he'd have more trouble in NH except for the army of volunteers crossing the eastern state line might keep it respectable-ish. 
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TDAS04
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« Reply #20 on: May 03, 2015, 11:34:29 AM »

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Abraham Reagan
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« Reply #21 on: May 03, 2015, 11:57:15 AM »

Vermont, if he makes it that far.
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Trump v. Wong Kim Ark
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #22 on: May 03, 2015, 12:46:38 PM »

Does anyone think that Hillary might let Sanders win Vermont? (As in not putting many resources in the state) I'm not sure that she would, but I had that thought.
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Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #23 on: May 03, 2015, 01:10:26 PM »

Vermont and semi-random wins in DC and Maine.
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Cryptic
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« Reply #24 on: May 03, 2015, 01:47:28 PM »
« Edited: May 03, 2015, 01:50:53 PM by Cryptic »

Vermont is the only one I feel comfortable enough to say. Though he could have a shot in Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Colorado. The last two for just being not Hillary.
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