Voter turnout (%VAP) swing maps
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Voter turnout (%VAP) swing maps
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Author Topic: Voter turnout (%VAP) swing maps  (Read 1539 times)
🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« on: April 21, 2015, 11:31:22 PM »
« edited: April 22, 2015, 01:43:57 PM by shua »

Maps showing change in turnout by percent of voting age population.

increase: green
decrease: yellow
shades show increase or decrease by 10% shade for every 1% (ex. 4.5% increase = >40% shade)
no change (<.1%) - coral
< 3% - 20% shade
> 9% - 90% shade              
data missing - gray

for reference: 1960 %VAP=63.1


1964 (changes from 1960)  %VAP=61.9 (-1.2)
1st DC vote for president
Taxes required for federal elections banned by 24th amendment, ratified Jan 1964, ending such taxes in VA, AL, TX, AR, MS.  



1968  %VAP= 60.8 (-1.1)
Voting Rights Act passed Aug 6 1965

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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2015, 01:43:38 PM »

increase: green
decrease: yellow
shades show increase or decrease by 10% shade for every 1% (ex. 4.5% increase = >40% shade)
no change (<.1%) - coral
< 3% - 20% shade
> 9% - 90% shade               
data missing - gray

1972  %VAP 55.2 (-5.6)
XXVI amendment adopted July 1 1971, voting age lowered to 18

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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #2 on: April 22, 2015, 02:35:52 PM »

Very cool, keep up the good work.
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #3 on: April 22, 2015, 02:37:43 PM »


Thanks!
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #4 on: April 22, 2015, 03:39:54 PM »

Great example of the Southernization of American politics. 
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #5 on: April 22, 2015, 06:12:33 PM »
« Edited: April 22, 2015, 06:15:14 PM by shua »

Great example of the Southernization of American politics. 

What we are seeing in the maps I've posted so far represent 1) a general decline in voter participation and 2) the expansion of the franchise in the South.  In 1972, the South declines even greater than the rest of the nation due to the unsuitability of McGovern to most white Democrats there. This is reversed some in 1976. The effect is a relative narrowing of the difference in %VAP between the low-voting South and the high-voting North, which was huge up until the last third of the twentieth century.
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #6 on: April 23, 2015, 01:50:45 AM »

1976 %VAP = 53.5 (-1.7)

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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #7 on: April 26, 2015, 02:06:23 PM »

1980 %VAP = 52.6% (-.9)




this map is just so random Tongue
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #8 on: April 26, 2015, 11:55:01 PM »

1984  %VAP = 53.1 (+.5)

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #9 on: April 27, 2015, 01:50:40 AM »

1980 %VAP = 52.6% (-.9)




this map is just so random Tongue

I assume that Idaho and Alaska had increased turnout due to conservative discontent with their Democratic senators who were too liberal for their states.
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #10 on: April 27, 2015, 09:24:22 AM »

1980 %VAP = 52.6% (-.9)




this map is just so random Tongue

I assume that Idaho and Alaska had increased turnout due to conservative discontent with their Democratic senators who were too liberal for their states.

Very likely. Seeing the changes between 1980 and 1984 I realized state elections probably explain a lot of the variation from one election to the next.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #11 on: April 30, 2015, 03:55:51 PM »

1960-1972: Prior to 1964 not only were Blacks prevented from voting in the Deep South, but white women and even poor white men were not encouraged to vote. In 1964 white women and poor whites generally voted for the first time in large numbers, energized by their opposition to the Civil Rights act, alongside the Black first time voters. In 1964 in Mississippi, the Goldwater vote alone exceeded by a wide margin the total number of voters in any previous presidential election. This trend continued in 1968, when George Wallace received more votes in Mississippi than the total number of votes in 1964 (with similar results in Alabama). In 1972 the vote declined, without Wallace and without the "young kids on bikes" for McGovern which characterized some Northern cities and towns. Much of the 1968 decline was due to militant Black dissatisfaction with Humphrey, but the fact remains 1968 was the last time till 2008 that voter turnout was over 60%.
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