Which McCain state does Hillary have the best chance of winning?

[TDAS04]

I don't think she has a huge chance in any, but she has a better chance in Arizona than any of the others.

[JonathanSwift]

Missouri.

[IceSpear]

MO > AZ > GA

[Mr. Smith]

MO>GA> the Republican Minnesota that never switches despite all the punditry (Arizona)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AZ, NV, CO, Pa, WI 273 so it is AZ.

[Chunk Yogurt for President!]

Arizona if Rand Paul wins and John McCain tries to sabotage his campaign.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Arizona if Rand Paul wins and John McCain tries to sabotage his campaign.

Which is what I desperately want.

[Ebsy]

I like her chances in Missouri and Georgia more than Arizona.

[Skye]

Missouri. You put Arkansas in there but not Montana? Shameful.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

GA > AZ > MO > AR

[Abraham Reagan]

How many times does GA need to go consistently Republican before people stop considering it competitive? Minnesota and Georgia have about the same voting margins but does anyone consider Minnesota a possible GOP state, NO!

STOP DOING THIS!

[Hydera]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:McCainClintonMatchup.png

Don't know how people still trust this because obviously looking at it seven years down it seems like a joke. Although not only was this map was made in April 2008 but hillary was more popular in applachia than Obama ever was.

So by the time the recession hit then Wisconsin, Iowa, NC, Colorado and perhaps Arizona would be in play.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

How many times does GA need to go consistently Republican before people stop considering it competitive? Minnesota and Georgia have about the same voting margins but does anyone consider Minnesota a possible GOP state, NO!

STOP DOING THIS!

I, at least, don't expect her to win any of the four states in the poll. But if Clinton wants to pick a long shot state to campaign in, GA is probably the one where she has the best, though still anemic, chance of pulling off a miracle.

[Ebsy]

Clinton winning Georgia would only require a 2-3 point swing from Obama's 2008 numbers and a 4-5 point swing from his 2012 numbers. Considering the states that GOP think they have a chance of winning in 2016, it's well within the realm of possibility.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

AZ, which could very well vote for her against a Cruz type. Hillary will not carry MO under any circumstance.

[Suburbia]

Missouri, Missouri.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Missouri. You put Arkansas in there but not Montana? Shameful.

Clinton doesn't run strong in the West, which was one of Obama's strengths.

[NewYorkExpress]

None, and I'm still nowhere near convinced she'll have a good shot at holding North Carolina/Colorado/Iowa.

[ElectionsGuy]

Arizona

[Ebsy]

None, and I'm still nowhere near convinced she'll have a good shot at holding North Carolina/Colorado/Iowa.

Doesn't need them if she wins Ohio.

[Nyvin]

How many times does GA need to go consistently Republican before people stop considering it competitive? Minnesota and Georgia have about the same voting margins but does anyone consider Minnesota a possible GOP state, NO!

STOP DOING THIS!

Actually Minnesota was quoted as a possible swing state in 2012 by some pollsters,  mostly right wing ones.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

How many times does GA need to go consistently Republican before people stop considering it competitive? Minnesota and Georgia have about the same voting margins but does anyone consider Minnesota a possible GOP state, NO!

STOP DOING THIS!

Actually Minnesota was quoted as a possible swing state in 2012 by some pollsters,  mostly right wing ones.

Romney actually was stupid enough to believe them and ran ads here in the final days. Positive ads, interestingly enough.

[NewYorkExpress]

None, and I'm still nowhere near convinced she'll have a good shot at holding North Carolina/Colorado/Iowa.

Doesn't need them if she wins Ohio.

True, but it doesn''t exactly bode well downballot (All three states have competitve Senate Elections, among other things).

And yes, I do think Ohio will be closer than North Carolina and Colorado (Iowa, however could take most the night to decide)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

None, and I'm still nowhere near convinced she'll have a good shot at holding North Carolina/Colorado/Iowa.

Doesn't need them if she wins Ohio.

True, but it doesn''t exactly bode well downballot (All three states have competitve Senate Elections, among other things).

And yes, I do think Ohio will be closer than North Carolina and Colorado (Iowa, however could take most the night to decide)

Iowa does not have a competitive senate race. Grassley is uber-popular and utterly safe, even if Tom Vilsack runs.

[NewYorkExpress]

None, and I'm still nowhere near convinced she'll have a good shot at holding North Carolina/Colorado/Iowa.

Doesn't need them if she wins Ohio.

True, but it doesn''t exactly bode well downballot (All three states have competitve Senate Elections, among other things).

And yes, I do think Ohio will be closer than North Carolina and Colorado (Iowa, however could take most the night to decide)

Iowa does not have a competitive senate race. Grassley is uber-popular and utterly safe, even if Tom Vilsack runs.

We're still assuming Grassley won't change his mind right before the filing deadline or something?