2016 Senate Predictions & Analysis (user search)
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Latest 2016 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
BushCountry (I-IN)MapProfile 11-07 55 D +2 22 (-2) 12 (+2) 0 (0) 0
An Antineutrino (R-NJ)MapProfile 11-04 11 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
SupersonicVenue (R-GBR)MapProfile 11-06 3 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
reyndani (I-WI)MapProfile 11-07 16 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
RMH8824 (R-IA)MapProfile 11-07 16 D +3 21 (-3) 13 (+3) 0 (0) 0
stirling (R-GBR)Map 05-18 1 Even 24 (0) 10 (0) 0 (0) 0
IceSpear (D-PA)MapProfile 11-07 7 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
axlee73 (I-GA)Map 11-07 15 D +1 23 (-1) 11 (+1) 0 (0) 0
SJerni (D-CO)MapProfile 11-07 6 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
Chrome (C-NY)MapProfile 11-07 18 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2016 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
Ruby2014 (I-OH)MapProfile 11-08 10 R +1 25 (+1) 9 (-1) 0 (0) 0
skolodji (D-CA)MapProfile 11-08 5 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 0
Clinton1996 (D-GA)MapProfile 11-08 3 D +7 17 (-7) 17 (+7) 0 (0) 0
SecureAmerica (R-NM)MapProfile 11-08 2 D +1 23 (-1) 11 (+1) 0 (0) 0
rpryor03 (D-OH)MapProfile 11-08 3 D +3 21 (-3) 13 (+3) 0 (0) 0
RCRFan3 (R-TX)MapProfile 11-08 3 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
AntonioV (D-CA)MapProfile 11-08 18 D +3 21 (-3) 13 (+3) 0 (0) 0
gkevgas (D-NY)Map 11-08 7 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
ground_x (D-NY)MapProfile 11-08 4 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 0
Nym90 (D-OR)MapProfile 11-08 25 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2016 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2016-11-08 @ 11:42:16		Map 11-08 8 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 1
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2016-11-07 @ 12:03:06		Map 11-07 7 D +5 19 (-5) 15 (+5) 0 (0) 1
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2016-10-28 @ 06:37:01		Map 10-28 6 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 1
edwardsna (R-NY)
by slick67 on 2016-09-09 @ 23:30:20		MapProfile 09-09 22 D +2 22 (-2) 12 (+2) 0 (0) 1
dfwlibertylover (D-TX)
by TimTurner on 2016-09-07 @ 01:27:42		MapProfile 09-07 1 Even 24 (0) 10 (0) 0 (0) 1
nkpolitics1279 (D-MA)
by nkpolitics1279 on 2016-09-04 @ 14:52:09		MapProfile 09-04 220 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 1
nkpolitics1279 (D-MA)
by nkpolitics1279 on 2016-08-31 @ 13:35:34		MapProfile 08-31 219 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 1
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2016-08-20 @ 07:15:59		Map 08-20 5 D +5 19 (-5) 15 (+5) 0 (0) 1
IndyRep (R-MT)
by IndyRep on 2016-08-13 @ 21:24:31		MapProfile 07-22 5 D +2 22 (-2) 12 (+2) 0 (0) 1
nkpolitics1279 (D-MA)
by nkpolitics1279 on 2016-08-04 @ 18:33:25		MapProfile 08-04 218 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 1
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2016 Senate Predictions & Analysis  (Read 35178 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,644
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: April 19, 2015, 04:26:58 PM »
« edited: April 19, 2015, 04:57:45 PM by OC »
Dems will pick up a dozen house seats which can equate a 4-6 senate seat majority. Over that the House is threatened but it is safe to say that is the Dems magic number 12 pickups.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,644
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2015, 05:09:48 PM »
« Edited: April 19, 2015, 06:32:19 PM by OC »
I meant a dozen House which is the Dems magic number equals a 4-6 senate takeover chance, with Dems having a 1 or 2 seat majority to spare, in Senate. I think the GOP will wind up with the same number of House seats as before 2014 midterm. And continue to hold that in 2018.

234 R's - 201 Dems House of Rep

At least 50D-50R in the Senate: Baron Hill; Patrick Murphy;Russ Feingold and Duckworth win


Clinton-Castro beats Walker 272-266 winning Pa, CO, NV, NH and NM.



Revised map
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,644
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #2 on: April 20, 2015, 06:32:25 PM »
« Edited: April 20, 2015, 06:40:03 PM by OC »
NV and CO stays Dem

IL, WI, Pa and NH flips for R to Dem

New senators

Van Hollen or Edwards
Cortez-Masto
Tammy Duckworth
MaggieHassan
Joe Sestak

New GOP senators
Carlos Lopez
Eric Holcombe

As Hilary, Castro def Walker 272-266

NV,CO Ia, Pa and NH go Democratic
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,644
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #3 on: April 21, 2015, 06:50:01 AM »
Quote from: SMilo on April 20, 2015, 10:22:13 PM
Did you just trade IN and FL for NH and PA in a day??

I'll go with D+1 here - trade WI, IL and FL for NV and CO. NH, IN, and IA at 40% shade may be leaners too but it's too early to know the candidates. I hope the GOP puts up a fight in FL but I'm not too optimistic even if Rubio is in the 2-slot as many project.



Clinton is behind Rubio and Jeb in FL.

She doesnt need FL, she needs CO, NV and Pa and WI and IL in order to win
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,644
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #4 on: April 22, 2015, 10:38:16 AM »
« Edited: April 22, 2015, 11:06:22 AM by OC »
I still believe in Sestak and as Pa goes so does the election.  I would just switch Pa for AZ and  keep NH. Hassan is good enough.  But, Donna Edwards; Cortez-Masto; and Tammy Duckworth are elected in 50-50 senate.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,644
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2015, 07:27:34 PM »
« Edited: May 20, 2015, 09:18:26 AM by OC »
Duckworth or Zopp will def Kirk; Strickland will def Portman; Sestak def Toomey.

As Clinton selects Tim Kaine or Warner for VP that tips OH or VA.

As Clinton edges Walker and wins with 272-303 electors in a tied Senate

New senate 51D-50R

FL R; Nelson split control

IL Zopp; Durbin. Dem favored

IN Donnelly; Stutzman. split

MD Edwards; Cardin Dem favored

NV Cortez-Masto; Heller Split

OH Strickland; Brown Dem favored

Pa Sestak; Casey. Dem favored

WI Feingold; Baldwin Dem favored
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,644
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #6 on: May 24, 2015, 09:34:19 AM »
« Edited: May 24, 2015, 08:37:26 PM by OC »
Governor Strickland will be great!!!!

New senate Class after Clinton-Castro beats Walker 272-266
Ca Harris; Feinstein Dem.   Harris win 56-44
FL Murphy; Nelson Dem.     Murphy wins 51-49
IL Duckworth; Durbin Dem. Duckworth win 52-47
IN Stutzman; Donnelly Split R's win 60-40
MD Edwards; Cardin Dem.  
NV CCM; Heller Split.   CCM win 51-49
Pa Sestak; Casey Dem Sestak 51-49
WI Feingold; Baldwin Dem feingold 52-48

NH Hassan; Shaheen if she so choses to run

New House

201-234 R controlled
51D-50R Senate
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,644
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #7 on: May 25, 2015, 03:30:31 AM »
Battle of control; I think the fourth seat will go either through NH or Pa. Which is a plausability. Should Hassan make up her mind.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,644
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #8 on: May 29, 2015, 07:54:56 AM »
I think Pa needs to go back to tossup on Sabato crystal ball.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,644
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #9 on: December 11, 2016, 06:43:37 PM »
When you have an ethically challenged candidate and the economy isn't the best, then this is what happens
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