2016 Senate Predictions & Analysis (user search)
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Latest 2016 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
BushCountry (I-IN)MapProfile 11-07 55 D +2 22 (-2) 12 (+2) 0 (0) 0
An Antineutrino (R-NJ)MapProfile 11-04 11 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
SupersonicVenue (R-GBR)MapProfile 11-06 3 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
reyndani (I-WI)MapProfile 11-07 16 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
RMH8824 (R-IA)MapProfile 11-07 16 D +3 21 (-3) 13 (+3) 0 (0) 0
stirling (R-GBR)Map 05-18 1 Even 24 (0) 10 (0) 0 (0) 0
IceSpear (D-PA)MapProfile 11-07 7 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
axlee73 (I-GA)Map 11-07 15 D +1 23 (-1) 11 (+1) 0 (0) 0
SJerni (D-CO)MapProfile 11-07 6 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
Chrome (C-NY)MapProfile 11-07 18 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2016 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
Ruby2014 (I-OH)MapProfile 11-08 10 R +1 25 (+1) 9 (-1) 0 (0) 0
skolodji (D-CA)MapProfile 11-08 5 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 0
Clinton1996 (D-GA)MapProfile 11-08 3 D +7 17 (-7) 17 (+7) 0 (0) 0
SecureAmerica (R-NM)MapProfile 11-08 2 D +1 23 (-1) 11 (+1) 0 (0) 0
rpryor03 (D-OH)MapProfile 11-08 3 D +3 21 (-3) 13 (+3) 0 (0) 0
RCRFan3 (R-TX)MapProfile 11-08 3 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
AntonioV (D-CA)MapProfile 11-08 18 D +3 21 (-3) 13 (+3) 0 (0) 0
gkevgas (D-NY)Map 11-08 7 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
ground_x (D-NY)MapProfile 11-08 4 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 0
Nym90 (D-OR)MapProfile 11-08 25 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2016 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2016-11-08 @ 11:42:16
Map 11-08 8 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 1
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2016-11-07 @ 12:03:06
Map 11-07 7 D +5 19 (-5) 15 (+5) 0 (0) 1
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2016-10-28 @ 06:37:01
Map 10-28 6 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 1
edwardsna (R-NY)
by slick67 on 2016-09-09 @ 23:30:20
MapProfile 09-09 22 D +2 22 (-2) 12 (+2) 0 (0) 1
dfwlibertylover (D-TX)
by TimTurner on 2016-09-07 @ 01:27:42
MapProfile 09-07 1 Even 24 (0) 10 (0) 0 (0) 1
nkpolitics1279 (D-MA)
by nkpolitics1279 on 2016-09-04 @ 14:52:09
MapProfile 09-04 220 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 1
nkpolitics1279 (D-MA)
by nkpolitics1279 on 2016-08-31 @ 13:35:34
MapProfile 08-31 219 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 1
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2016-08-20 @ 07:15:59
Map 08-20 5 D +5 19 (-5) 15 (+5) 0 (0) 1
IndyRep (R-MT)
by IndyRep on 2016-08-13 @ 21:24:31
MapProfile 07-22 5 D +2 22 (-2) 12 (+2) 0 (0) 1
nkpolitics1279 (D-MA)
by nkpolitics1279 on 2016-08-04 @ 18:33:25
MapProfile 08-04 218 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 1
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2016 Senate Predictions & Analysis  (Read 35099 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: May 16, 2015, 04:35:07 PM »
« edited: May 23, 2015, 08:42:20 PM by ElectionsGuy »

https://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/SENATE/2016/pred.php?action=indpred&id=77
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: May 23, 2015, 08:42:46 PM »

What is the meaning of the gray "Incumbent Defeated" in Alaska? Who do you have defeating Lisa Murkowski?

I don't know, it must have glitched up. I fixed it.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2016, 11:45:52 PM »

Ratings



Republican: 30
Safe R: 13
Likely R: 3
Lean R: 1
Toss-Up: 6  <-- Overall
Lean D: 0
Likely D: 2
Safe D: 9
Democratic: 36

Prediction



Democrats: 51
Republicans: 49

Exact Percentage Predictions
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2016, 12:21:39 AM »

Final Predictions

Here

Final Ratings



R + Safe R: 45
Likely R: 1
Lean R: 1
Toss-Up: 6
Lean D: 1
Likely D: 1
D + Safe D: 45
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #4 on: November 25, 2016, 01:57:38 AM »

How off was I? Ex: D+2 means 2 points more Democratic in margin than actual result.

AL: Even
AK: I was way off, Metcalfe came in 4th!
AZ: D+4
AR: R+1
CA: Even
CO: D+5
CT: R+6
FL: D+4
GA: D+1
HI: R+9
ID: D+5
IL: R+5
IN: D+8
IA: D+12 (ouch)
KS: D+4
KY: R+4
MD: Even
MO: D+2
NV: Even
NH: D+2
NY: R+4
NC: D+3
ND: D+27! (lol)
OH: D+7
OK: D+7
OR: R+2
PA: D+3
SC: D+7
SD: D+18! (what is it with the Dakotas?)
UT: D+4
VT: D+12
WA: R+2
WI: D+7

Overall, better than the presidential race, but still awful.
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