April 1999, Gallup Poll Bush 54 Gore 41.
But I discount polls like this and tend to focus on the "Fundamentals"
Clinton 60% approval ratings,
GOP lost seats in 1998,
No War,
No Recession,
Economic Fundamentals Strong: Inflation, Unemployment, Fiscal Budget.
Gore should have won by 5-8 points like Daddy Bush in 1988.
One of the worst winning campaigns was also Nixon in 1968. He sat on a 15 point lead for much of the summer and almost blew it.
Id rate the best losing campaigns in no order as:
Romney 2012 (really made no public mistakes, got more votes than the GOP in 2008 and won 2 ore states).
Ford 1976 (his debate gaffe may have cost him, other than that ran a strong campaign considering where the GOP was in the 1974-76 time frame).
Humphrey 1968 (Came from 15 points down in an absolutely awful year for Dems).
Nixon 1960 (He could have called out JFK on the missile gap lie, but would have had to reveal classified info to do so).
Romney made no public mistakes? What about 47%? He was also kind of a gaffe machine with his constant out of touch remarks.
That wasnt a public remark and he wasnt a gaffe machine. The gaffe machine is and was Biden
He insulted literally very last nation he visited in some way, UK, Poland, Israel, etc.
And the "binders full of women" thing was no help either.
He got way too much hate for some of comments, like when he said the UK and US shared 'Anglo-Saxon heritage". Apparently some people found that "racist", which is just ridiculous.
He said we weren't ready for the Olympics.
The Olympics was literally like the one thing we had going for us at the time