MT-Gravis: Gov. Bullock (D) not safe in 2016 (user search)
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  MT-Gravis: Gov. Bullock (D) not safe in 2016 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MT-Gravis: Gov. Bullock (D) not safe in 2016  (Read 8784 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,762
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: March 24, 2015, 04:41:20 PM »

Great Gov, who mistaken appointed Walsh as Senator. But at end he will narrowly win.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,762
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2015, 11:14:10 PM »
« Edited: March 24, 2015, 11:15:41 PM by OC »

Great Gov, who mistakenly appointed Walsh Senator and is only mildly favored.

But, I do see a scenario in which Dems lose Mnt and MO, but win NC, WVa, KY and NH govs.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,762
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: March 26, 2015, 02:22:39 PM »

Great Gov, who mistakenly appointed Walsh Senator and is only mildly favored.

But, I do see a scenario in which Dems lose Mnt and MO, but win NC, WVa, KY and NH govs.

WV is gone.

Unless Manchin runs, this.

If Manchin declines, then the only question is which republican wins the party nod, the Dem candidate has no chance.




GOP Govs

Mnt: Gov Bullock loses due to Joe Walsh debacle INC defeated GOP pickup
IN: Gov Pence reelected
ND: Gov Darlyple reelected
UT: Gov Herbert reelected
MO: GOP pickup
MS: Gov Bryant reelected
LA: Gov Vitter elected

Dem govs

KY: Gov Conway def Cromer
WA: Gov Inslee reelected
WVA: Kessler or Manchin elected
NC: Roy Cooper def Gov McCrory   INC def Dem pickup
NH: Hassen or Kuster is elected gov or reelected
VT: Gov Shumlin reelected
DeL: Dem gov
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,762
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: March 26, 2015, 08:19:22 PM »

Dems will net lose 1 gov in a combo of Mnt, MO and KY. MNT and MO are rype for pickings.

MNT? Use understandable abbreviations, please.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,762
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: March 27, 2015, 02:59:45 AM »

MO is lean GOP, because of presidential race. NC is a tossup, because of battleground nature of state.

My map perfectly fits how I think the presidential race will gp. I have no sympathy for GOV Bullock since he made the Joe Walsh appointment, cost Dems a seat in 2014 senate.

As for WVa, it assumes Manchin runs, which I am hoping.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,762
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: March 27, 2015, 11:48:02 AM »

No, MO is still a very populist state. It will go either way.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,762
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: March 27, 2015, 03:57:16 PM »

No, Bullock was always vulnerable due to the Joe Walsh appointment, and the plagerism scandal. As this poll is indicative of. 

Manchin is more so ready to retire now, and appoint Goodwin Carter to the seat. Which will be a hold, since WVa has become a GOP leaning state.  Hopefully, he takes the lead from Reid and runs for gov.
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