ANOTHER poll with Conway ahead: +2 to +10 on SurveyUSA (user search)
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  ANOTHER poll with Conway ahead: +2 to +10 on SurveyUSA (search mode)
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Author Topic: ANOTHER poll with Conway ahead: +2 to +10 on SurveyUSA  (Read 5624 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« on: March 10, 2015, 07:14:24 PM »

It's starting to look somewhat grim for the Kentucky GOP...

http://www.kentucky.com/2015/03/10/3738389_bluegrass-poll-jack-conway-holds.html
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #1 on: March 10, 2015, 07:25:43 PM »

Incidentally, Heiner - not Comer - has a pretty commanding lead in the Republican primary now.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #2 on: March 11, 2015, 09:13:14 AM »

Remember, this is the pollster that got Ernie Fletcher "elected." They're not exactly a big Democratic pollster.

Plus, Conway is leading in every non-Republican poll, sometimes by as much as 12 against Comer.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #3 on: March 11, 2015, 01:18:08 PM »

Will The Media do its best to destroy Conway and the Democrats? Yes.

The real question is: Will it be enough?
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #4 on: March 11, 2015, 01:22:40 PM »

Are the KY state Democrats just riding high off Beshear's popularity?

Maybe it has more to do with the Republicans' unpopularity. The GOP made "right-to-work" its top priority, which has ruined the GOP at the state level.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #5 on: March 11, 2015, 01:40:43 PM »

The KYGOP isn't ruined, in fact it's probably stronger today than any other time in american history.

"Right-to-work" is unpopular.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #6 on: March 11, 2015, 02:22:57 PM »

I'll be laughing when Conway blows this in November.

What if he doesn't?
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #7 on: March 11, 2015, 07:23:00 PM »

The Courier-Journal has a big article about how SurveyUSA has recalibrated its poll this time to give more "accurate" results...

http://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/politics/2015/03/10/bluegrass-poll-revamped-improve-results/24718143

In other words, they've changed their methodology to reflect Republicans rigging elections. Such is the state of polling today.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #8 on: March 11, 2015, 08:41:47 PM »

So is being a Democrat in Appalachia at this point Tongue

Ever hear of a place called Elliott County?
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #9 on: March 11, 2015, 11:52:51 PM »

So is being a Democrat in Appalachia at this point Tongue

Ever hear of a place called Elliott County?

Ever hear of the complete decimation of Democratic officeholders from West Virginia to Tennessee? Just because there's one county that still supports Democrats (even though it barely voted for Obama over Romney in 2012) indicates one trend: it's moving to the Republicans. In 2000, Gore won the county by thirty points (despite Bush winning the state by 15), but in 2012, Obama won the county by three points (27% total drop in twelve years) while the margin for the Republican margin in Kentucky only increased by 8%.

Bandit, shhhhhhh.....

What part of Kentucky is on that map?
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #10 on: March 12, 2015, 10:08:26 AM »

West Virginia is all Appalachia. Demographically, Kentucky is maybe one-fifth Appalachia now.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,952


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #11 on: March 12, 2015, 10:44:49 AM »

West Virginia is all Appalachia. Demographically, Kentucky is maybe one-fifth Appalachia now.

And the rest is the South and the conservative Midwest.

Actually, there's another one-fifth that's in the big cities of Louisville and Lexington, which are Democratic.

There's also a handful in smaller central cities that are Democratic.

Some rural areas (Mason or Carroll county maybe) are Republican only at the federal level.
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