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November 25, 2020, 11:20:46 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

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  PPP: Hillary up by 7-10 nationally
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Author Topic: PPP: Hillary up by 7-10 nationally  (Read 1278 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: February 25, 2015, 12:42:43 PM »

February 20-22, 2015
Survey of 691 registered voters

...

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 50%
Jeb Bush......................................................... 40%

Jeb Bush......................................................... 45%
Joe Biden........................................................ 39%

Jeb Bush......................................................... 43%
Elizabeth Warren ............................................ 41%

...

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 48%
Ben Carson..................................................... 40%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 48%
Chris Christie .................................................. 40%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 50%
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 40%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 50%
Mike Huckabee ............................................... 41%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 47%
Rand Paul ....................................................... 40%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 48%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 41%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 48%
Marco Rubio ................................................... 41%

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 48%
Scott Walker ................................................... 40%

...

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_22515.pdf
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1 on: February 25, 2015, 01:00:57 PM »

No electability gap among Republicans? That's impressive.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: February 25, 2015, 01:02:59 PM »

No electability gap among Republicans? That's impressive.

Save for Akin-level gaffes, the parties have very high presidential floors in this era.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: February 25, 2015, 01:38:07 PM »

No electability gap among Republicans? That's impressive.

I'm skeptical of that. Every other pollster shows at least Cruz doing far worse than everyone else.
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Neoliberalism Is The Enemy Of Civilization
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #4 on: February 25, 2015, 02:01:10 PM »

Bill Clinton's favorable rating is only 49-42?
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Lincoln Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #5 on: February 25, 2015, 03:34:55 PM »

Bill Clinton's favorable rating is only 49-42?
Yes. That should be obvious after his 2014 campaigning didn't help any democrat.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #6 on: February 25, 2015, 05:28:39 PM »

No electability gap among Republicans? That's impressive.

I'm skeptical of that. Every other pollster shows at least Cruz doing far worse than everyone else.

He's been quiet recently. That's one way to avoid Akin-like gaffes.

...We know what a 7% vote gap in a binary election looks like when the Democrat has the advantage:



One might switch Arizona or Georgia for Indiana.

A 10% gap as a Democratic advantage?



That will be "76 years ago"  in November 2016. Ancient history.

https://la.wikipedia.org/wiki/Franklinus_D._Roosevelt
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: February 25, 2015, 08:26:31 PM »

fav/unfav %:

Carson 35/17% for +18%
Walker 33/26% for +7%
Huckabee 37/35% for +2%
H. Clinton 45/47% for -2%
Rubio 30/32% for -2%
Warren 29/31% for -2%
Biden 38/47% for -9%
Paul 28/39% for -11%
Perry 28/40% for -12%
Cruz 26/38% for -12%
J. Bush 29/45% for -16%
Christie 28/49% for -21%

Remarkably, even though Christie has the worst net negative rating, he also has the highest raw favorability with Democrats of any of the Republicans tested here.  27% of Dems have a favorable opinion of Christie, just 1% less than his overall favorability.  That tells you how comparatively weak he is with his own party (and Independents).

Also, 21% of Democrats have a favorable opinion of George W. Bush(!), and 18% of Republicans have a favorable opinion of Bill Clinton.

Also, among blacks....

Biden 89/3% for +86%
H. Clinton 79/13% for +66%
Carson 32/23% for +9%
Walker 28/26% for +2%
Christie 38/55% for -17%
J. Bush 16/67% for -51%

Yes, Christie has higher favorable #s among blacks than whites.
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #8 on: March 03, 2015, 08:14:26 PM »

No electability gap among Republicans? That's impressive.

I'm skeptical of that. Every other pollster shows at least Cruz doing far worse than everyone else.

He's been quiet recently. That's one way to avoid Akin-like gaffes.

...We know what a 7% vote gap in a binary election looks like when the Democrat has the advantage:



One might switch Arizona or Georgia for Indiana.

A 10% gap as a Democratic advantage?



That will be "76 years ago"  in November 2016. Ancient history.

https://la.wikipedia.org/wiki/Franklinus_D._Roosevelt

Indiana wont go Dem even with a 7% margin. IN in 2008 was a fluke.
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