Kennedy v Rockefeller 1964

[Gustaf]

You go to election info instead of 2004 and retrieve the 1964 calculator.

[Ben.]

well lets see if this works...

[Ben.]

Yes I RULE!!!!

[Ben.]

Thanks Gustaf

[Gustaf]

Thanks Gustaf

You're welcome.

[PBrunsel]

Though all these maps make sence, I don't think that South Dakota would go Democratic. It only went Democratic in 1964 due to Goldwater scaring South Dakota farmers. He said he would end farming substidies.

[Ben.]

1968 after this hypothetical 1964 match up…            

 

Lyndon Baines Johnson/ Edmund Muskie (Democratic): 270 EV, 44.56% PV
James Rhodes/ Spiro Agnew (Republican): 229 EV, 44.34% PV
George Wallace/ Curtis LeMay (American Independence): 39 EV, 10.77% PV  

Unsure about WI and PA for the GOP and SC and NC for the Dems but on the balance of probability I stick by the prediction that said this election between Johnson and Rhodes is a close one and these states mention could go either way... but in the end I'd be surprised if Johnson didn’t win, however LBJ's health and other factors will probably mean that he would not run in 1972 (the same year that he died) and Muskie would probably be beaten by a strong GOP challenger by a solid margin...

[Ben.]

Though all these maps make sence, I don't think that South Dakota would go Democratic. It only went Democratic in 1964 due to Goldwater scaring South Dakota farmers. He said he would end farming substidies.

I take your point on that... however in a situation where a popular incumbent was running for re-election I think many places would come into play for JFK as they did for Reagan and Clinton... with the his populist polices in relation to agriculture that would have helped farmers and rural communities as well as more general positives such as his strength on nation security and the economic "good times" I think this region would have been very competitive in the event of a Kennedy v Rockefeller race...but in the end of the northern west and far west i reckon that Kennedy would in the end have only pulled out wins in WA thanks to the growing urban population and perhaps in SD because of the strong democratic party machine there at the time...ultimately I think the answer to your question is that in a race like this a lot of places would come into play that would in a 50/50 race of the time would have gone GOP...