Why winning in 2016 will be bad for both parties (user search)
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  Why winning in 2016 will be bad for both parties (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why winning in 2016 will be bad for both parties  (Read 6724 times)
retromike22
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Posts: 3,433
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« on: February 03, 2015, 02:03:20 AM »

Unless a Republican President has <40% approval, 2018 will result in an increased number of republican senators. The only plausible democratic pickup is NV (AZ isn't going atlas red in a midterm absent an absolute democratic tsunami), ND/IN will almost certainly flip, MO/MT will start with a definite republican advantage, if Manchin retires WV will almost certainly flip (if Manchin runs for reelection he should be okay), and OH/WI/VA/PA/MI/FL/MN (if Klobuchar retires)/NM could all flip in the right situation/climate. Remember, midterm turnout skews republican naturally, so even a republican president at 44/53 approval (or thereabouts) wouldn't be toxic, and republicans would still net at least 1 senate seat.




Only times a party has maid gains in congress in the last 100 years has been 1934 and 2002

I need maid gains so my house will be cleaned faster.
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