2015 Gubernatorial Predictions (user search)
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Latest 2015 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
mondale84 (D-NJ)MapProfile 11-03 3 Even 2 (0) 1 (0) 0 (0) 0
Spiral (I-MO)MapProfile 11-03 3 Even 2 (0) 1 (0) 0 (0) 0
kammy (D-QC)MapProfile 05-23 7 Even 2 (0) 1 (0) 0 (0) 0
tmthforu94 (D-MO)MapProfile 10-24 2 Even 2 (0) 1 (0) 0 (0) 0
IndyRep (R-MT)MapProfile 11-01 3 Even 2 (0) 1 (0) 0 (0) 0
ExtremeGOP (R-TN)MapProfile 11-03 3 Even 2 (0) 1 (0) 0 (0) 0
Ryne (R-WA)MapProfile 11-03 2 Even 2 (0) 1 (0) 0 (0) 0
gumball machine (L-CA)MapProfile 02-03 1 R +1 3 (+1) 0 (-1) 0 (0) 0
ryer (R-VA)Map 02-14 1 R +1 3 (+1) 0 (-1) 0 (0) 0
sjkqw (I-PA)MapProfile 02-23 1 R +1 3 (+1) 0 (-1) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2015 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
Spiral (I-MO)MapProfile 11-03 3 Even 2 (0) 1 (0) 0 (0) 0
thebadger (I-GBR)MapProfile 11-03 5 D +1 1 (-1) 2 (+1) 0 (0) 0
Ebsy (D-MO)MapProfile 11-03 3 Even 2 (0) 1 (0) 0 (0) 0
wifikitten (D-MO)MapProfile 11-03 8 Even 2 (0) 1 (0) 0 (0) 0
mondale84 (D-NJ)MapProfile 11-03 3 Even 2 (0) 1 (0) 0 (0) 0
edwardsna (R-NY)MapProfile 11-03 11 R +1 3 (+1) 0 (-1) 0 (0) 0
Averroes (I-VT)MapProfile 11-03 1 R +1 3 (+1) 0 (-1) 0 (0) 0
Somebody (O-NY)MapProfile 11-03 7 R +1 3 (+1) 0 (-1) 0 (0) 0
Ryne (R-WA)MapProfile 11-03 2 Even 2 (0) 1 (0) 0 (0) 0
Gendral (I-OR)Map 11-03 4 D +1 1 (-1) 2 (+1) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2015 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
nyancat (R-CA)
by nyancat on 2015-11-01 @ 15:28:46
MapProfile 11-01 2 Even 2 (0) 1 (0) 0 (0) 1
Olawakandi (G-CA)
by IndyRep on 2015-11-01 @ 12:14:58
MapProfile 04-29 12 D +1 1 (-1) 2 (+1) 0 (0) 3
MilesC56 (I-VA)
by Olawakandi on 2015-05-03 @ 09:13:57
MapProfile 02-18 1 Even 2 (0) 1 (0) 0 (0) 2
nyancat (R-CA)
by nyancat on 2015-03-28 @ 15:45:23
MapProfile 03-28 1 R +1 3 (+1) 0 (-1) 0 (0) 1
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2015 Gubernatorial Predictions  (Read 71095 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: May 16, 2015, 04:41:09 PM »

https://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/GOVERNOR/2015/pred.php?action=indpred&id=82

Yes, I have Kentucky as Lean R. I'm sticking by that, as I think Conway will implode like he did with Rand Paul 5 years ago.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2015, 09:58:18 PM »
« Edited: October 17, 2015, 06:06:15 PM by ElectionsGuy »

1 month to go

34% Edwards
28% Vitter
18% Dardenne
15% Angelle
5% Other

52% Vitter
48% Edwards

49% Bevin
47% Conway

62% Bryant
37% Gray

KY: Toss-Up
LA: Lean R
MS: Safe R
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2015, 09:25:42 PM »

MS Gov

Bryant: 62%
Gray: 36%
O'Hara: 2%

MS AG

Hood: 53%
Hurst: 47%

Everthing else by Bryant-like margins.

All Kentucky Predictions Here
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #3 on: November 19, 2015, 07:00:14 AM »
« Edited: November 19, 2015, 07:05:30 AM by ElectionsGuy »

Final Predictions

Governor: Lean D
Lt Governor: Safe R
AG: Safe R

Edwards: 53%
Vitter: 47%

Nungesser: 57%
Holden: 43%

Landry: 55%
Caldwell: 45%

Edwards is above 50 in most polls, Vitter below 40 in most too. There would have to be something dramatic to turn it around. I'm predicting a last minute massive boost for Vitter, but that still doesn't get him to 50. So, looks like Edwards is the next governor, and D's make up for their loss in KY.
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