Sabato predicts Dems lose seats in both House and Senate in '14
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  Sabato predicts Dems lose seats in both House and Senate in '14
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Author Topic: Sabato predicts Dems lose seats in both House and Senate in '14  (Read 3712 times)
TX Conservative Dem
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« on: December 28, 2013, 10:29:34 AM »

Larry Sabato was on Fox & Friends Weekend , predicting Dems will get their clocks cleaned in 2014 by losing more House seats  as well 5 Senate seats and maybe more Senate seats if there's a big Republican wave.

Dems could lose some governorships in some surprises we don't expect.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: December 28, 2013, 11:04:07 AM »

If Dems keep one of their Southern Senate seats my guess is AK or NC. With the exceptions of AR and IL can't see them losing any Mansions.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #2 on: December 28, 2013, 12:37:45 PM »

Subbuteo predicts a lot of things. Of course he might actually be right, but then stopped clocks and so on.
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Kevin
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« Reply #3 on: December 28, 2013, 04:17:07 PM »

Subbuteo predicts a lot of things. Of course he might actually be right, but then stopped clocks and so on.

Generally he tends to be on point,

Ex. Sabato correctly predicted both 2004 and 2006 as well as 2010.

He also correctly called every office that was up for 2013 race's too.
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Anti Democrat Democrat Club
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« Reply #4 on: December 28, 2013, 04:17:47 PM »

omg no way
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
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« Reply #5 on: December 28, 2013, 04:46:25 PM »

I agree with him on the losing seats thing though I doubt Democrats will lose the Senate, within the current political climate I only really see Dems losing four Senate seats: Montana, which could change if John Walsh becomes the incumbent after Baucus goes to China, South Dakota, which even if the Democrats lose may not be a Republican gain due to Larry Pressler, West Virginia, and Arkansas. Democrats may even pickup a couple seats, in Kentucky, Georgia if GOP nominates Paul Broun or Phil Gingrey, and Maine if Susan Collins retires, not to mention Larry Pressler would probably caucus with the Democrats.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: December 28, 2013, 07:36:56 PM »
« Edited: December 28, 2013, 08:25:04 PM by OC »

Pundits like to predict the very worst case scenarios. Clearly in a neutral environment, we should lose 3 senate seats and pick up 3 governships. Not extending unemployment benefits is gonna hurt GOP chances in senate.

Walsh, Landrieu, Begich and Hagen will survive
Pryor and Wva won't.

He also predicted  that George Allen would win in 2006, wrongly.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #7 on: June 07, 2015, 12:17:28 AM »

Lol this thread
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Frodo
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« Reply #8 on: June 07, 2015, 10:46:53 AM »

The idea that anonymous posters in their teens and twenties think they know more and better than leading pundits and pollsters is laughable indeed. 
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SWE
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« Reply #9 on: June 07, 2015, 08:06:54 PM »

Man, what a bold prediction that was
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: June 09, 2015, 12:55:15 PM »

2014 was worst than predicted. But most of seats were in solid GOP states.

2018, have Dems in GOP states, but states like MO and FL are mainstream states, and may be saving grace for Dems.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #11 on: June 09, 2015, 04:58:51 PM »

2014 was worst than predicted. But most of seats were in solid GOP states.

2018, have Dems in GOP states, but states like MO and FL are mainstream states, and may be saving grace for Dems.

What do "mainstream" states mean?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: June 09, 2015, 05:18:51 PM »

moderately conservative
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