Greek parliamentary election predictions thread

[Zanas]

Here is my final prediction :

Syriza : 35 % -> 145 sièges

ND : 30,5 % -> 82 sièges

Aube dorée : 8,5 % -> 23 sièges

To Potami : 5,5 % -> 15 sièges

KKE : 5 % -> 14 sièges

Pasok : 4,5 % -> 12 sièges

Anel : 3,5 % -> 9 sièges

Kidiso : 2,5 % -> 0 siège

Autres : 5 %

Turnout : 71 %

I'd gladly explain it to you, but I just spent the last two hours making a post about it in French on my blog, so go there if you like.

Short version : micro-surge for ND from scared voters, not anywhere near enough to overcome Syriza, XA has been underpolling the whole time, exactly like in 2012, and To Potami is a speculative bubble that will explode Sunday. Pretty much that, and Anel hangs on for their life.