Greek parliamentary election predictions thread (user search)
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  Greek parliamentary election predictions thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Greek parliamentary election predictions thread  (Read 4875 times)
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,153
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« on: January 23, 2015, 09:26:30 AM »

My prediction

SYRIZA    36.3
ND           29.6
River          6.5
KKE           5.6
XA             5.6
PASOK       4.9
ANEL         3.8

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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,153
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #1 on: January 26, 2015, 08:20:09 AM »
« Edited: January 26, 2015, 10:12:43 AM by jaichind »

My prediction
                              result        diff
SYRIZA    36.3        36.34      -0.04
ND           29.6        27.81     +1.79
River          6.5          6.05    +0.45
KKE           5.6          5.47     +0.13
XA             5.6          6.28     -0.68
PASOK       4.9          4.64     +0.26
ANEL         3.8          4.75     -0.95

Looks like I underestimated ANEL like everyone else.   Of course I overestimated ND.  Other than these two I am pretty happy with how my prediction turned out.  My model mostly worked but I totally failed to take into account Teleia which captured 1.77% of the vote and I pretty much ignored this party when I came up with my model to produce this prediction.
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