After the ALG fiasco in the KY Senate race, with SUSA showing a Grimes lead a month before the election, I am skeptical.
Undecideds seem to be very GOP in KY.
Dems were a month before the election, on the verge of winning the midterms, but a week out, the tide turned against them on terrorism and elbola.
I doubt that Conway has anything to worry about, especially that.
This is just blatantly false. They may have salvaged Tillis at most. You lost Kentucky by 15.5%! No prayer in Iowa. That doesn't happen in a month. The GOP was going to take the Senate all along. You are delusional if you think this was due to 11th hour issues. I understand thinking it at the time due to polling and wanting to be a little hackish, but there's no way you can say that in hindsight.
Brownback won by 4. LePage (despite Cutler dropping out with a week to go) and Hogan won by 5! These are not insignificant margins. It was pretty clear right away. On the governor side, maybe you would have salvaged Coakley without ebola. I'd like to think the people in Mass are smart enough not to buy into that like the ignorant parts of the country. That's just MoV issues not winner.