YouGov national: Hillary+11 against Bush, many would vote for "other"
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  YouGov national: Hillary+11 against Bush, many would vote for "other"
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Author Topic: YouGov national: Hillary+11 against Bush, many would vote for "other"  (Read 785 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: January 15, 2015, 01:15:27 PM »

I'd also rather jump off a bridge or something, than vote for her or another Bush:

(registered voters)



https://today.yougov.com/news/2015/01/15/republicans-and-democrats-prefer-what-they-know
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2015, 01:29:41 PM »

>YouGov
>Internet poll
>15% third party

Junk poll! Actual scientific polls never have "other" getting more than 1-3%. Toss it in the garbage.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2015, 01:30:57 PM »

I was polled for this!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2015, 01:32:00 PM »

>YouGov
>Internet poll
>15% third party

Junk poll! Actual scientific polls never have "other" getting more than 1-3%. Toss it in the garbage.

That's of course correct. The election will not have 15% for an "other" candidate (unless a really strong 3rd party candidate emerges).

But it's an indicator that many people will stay home and not vote at all, if the matchup is Hillary vs. Bush (especially many Independents will stay home).
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King
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« Reply #4 on: January 15, 2015, 01:44:05 PM »

Are we sure YouGov isn't just Zogby rebranded?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: January 15, 2015, 01:44:52 PM »

>YouGov
>Internet poll
>15% third party

Junk poll! Actual scientific polls never have "other" getting more than 1-3%. Toss it in the garbage.

That's of course correct. The election will not have 15% for an "other" candidate (unless a really strong 3rd party candidate emerges).

But it's an indicator that many people will stay home and not vote at all, if the matchup is Hillary vs. Bush (especially many Independents will stay home).

I just see it as an indicator that YouGov is terrible. CNN polled all adults and "other" got 1%. FOX and Quinnipiac polled RVs and "other" got 1% and 3% respectively, so an adults/RV difference can't be the explanation. Selzer got a result somewhat similar to this, but they grouped together "other" with "won't vote", so it's not directly comparable. According to them, there's not a major difference between Hillary vs. Jeb and Hillary vs. other Republicans in this total, so I'm going to have to dispute your point that the high other total is any sort of "dynasty backlash", at least until we see evidence from a decent pollster to support it.



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