Spanish elections and politics

[TheSaint250]

Also, for whoever asked for Valencia polls, apparently someone heard you and published one XD

Thanks

[TheSaint250]

Why is CUP rising so much?

[TheSaint250]

And just like that Cs has filed its own no confidence motion.

Election time, baby!

Also the “Cs = right-wing nationalists” meme is getting old

[TheSaint250]

I guess I fail to see how a party dedicated to liberal values, economic liberalism, etc. is comparable to the likes of Marine Le Pen.

[TheSaint250]

Is it likely that Cs's lead declines during the campaign if a new general election is called?

[TheSaint250]

https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1002182168381132801?s=21

[TheSaint250]

Is there any chance he calls a new election?

[TheSaint250]

I assume we’ll see Cs suffer in terms of polling numbers because a) it’s likely to happen after riding high for so long and b) chances are some will punish them for not voting for the motion.

Also, I would assume Sanchez will wait until PSOE’s polling numbers rise (which there is a chance of now that they’re in govt) to call a new election.

[TheSaint250]

With the news that Sánchez is taking in the rejected migrants, could Vox’s numbers rise if this continues?

[TheSaint250]

Wasn’t calling for new elections part of his big promises?

That’s not a good way to start out your term (though to be honest Spain would probably have to go through at least two elections to finally get a new government considering the divided field, so this could be fine).

[TheSaint250]

Is the PNV/EAJ pro-Basque independence or more of a "Basque interests" party?

[TheSaint250]

According to Politico’s article, Casado seems to be the more “liberal” one. Is this true?

[TheSaint250]

In the Top Position polls, did they release figures for PDeCAT, PNV, and EH Bildu?

[TheSaint250]

Interesting that the pro-independence majority still would only hold the majority by a few seats.

Also, that ERC poll rise seems to be playing out in the national election, with polls showing it winning over 3% (obviously nationally, and a rise over their last 2.7%)

[TheSaint250]

Any predictions on what changes with Casado in charge - if it benefits or hurts the PSOE/C's for example?

If the one poll from before testing both candidates in the position of PP leader is accurate (even though there were many flaws as previously pointed out), then Casado will continue to push Cs down; I assume this is due to his very liberal economic stances and anti-Catalan-independence sentiment (apparently said today he wants Tabarnia to be a real thing). He probably won’t gain any large amount of PSOE voters (and could lose more moderate PP voters to them), but he is reducing Vox’s poll numbers, which the poll showed would have risen to its highest levels ever with Soraya Saénz de Santamaría.

Also, I might be horribly off with the comparison (posters from Spain: fix my post if necessary ) but I could see him possibly turning into a Sebastian Kurz-type figure: young, more conservative than many past leaders of his party (but relative to Spain, not Austria of course), and responsible for rejuvenating the party in the eyes of those on the center-right to right wing.

[TheSaint250]

Thank you both

Yeah, it definitely seems like Casado’s brand of conservatism is not Kurz’s, and you’re right that this doesn’t mean a rightward turn for the party whereas it could happen/is happening to the ÖVP.

[TheSaint250]

Sorry, I misread and thought you said it was NOT a rightward turn. My mistake.

[TheSaint250]

Was the Cs's growth more a result of people expressing frustrations with Rajoy's government? And now that there is stability people are ditching the party?