Greek election - January 25th 2015
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  Greek election - January 25th 2015
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Author Topic: Greek election - January 25th 2015  (Read 95175 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #375 on: January 25, 2015, 12:48:27 PM »

I suppose we should wait until the votes are counted before we start saying things with any degree of firmness, but this looks pretty clear...

Greek exit polls are not known for their accuracy.

Exactly.
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Double Carpet
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« Reply #376 on: January 25, 2015, 12:50:13 PM »

Is anybody able to make any sense of these early polling station results on Greek TV?

Obv ND doing well in many, but a lot of these will be strong ND rural areas?

Wish we had some comparatives for these v June 2012.

Nothing yet on official results site.

Fwiw I think Syriza may fall just short, with 147-148 seats.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #377 on: January 25, 2015, 12:50:48 PM »

Another exit poll (Palmos):





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Oak Hills
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« Reply #378 on: January 25, 2015, 12:53:47 PM »

per GPO, how support has moved between parties (I assume since Euro 2014; my Greek is terrible, I'm just assuming b/c Potami is included)

I can't even figure out what those graphics are saying about how the vote is flowing.

19% of KKE goes to SYRIZA
10% of To Potami goes to SYRIZA, 14% to ND
20% of PASOK goes to SYRIZA, 11.5% TO ND
19% of ANEL goes to SYRIZA, 16% to ND
9% of XA TO SYRIZA, 19% to ND
12% of others to SYRIZA, 12% of others to ND

SYRIZA vote breakdown: 91% retained, 1% to KKE, 1% to Papandreou, 0.5% to To Potami, 2.5% to ND, 3% undecided

ND vote breakdown: 83.5% retained, 10% to SYRIZA, 0.5% to To Potami, 1% to XA%, 5% undecided

Thank you very much.  I still think those graphics are very strangely designed.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #379 on: January 25, 2015, 12:55:01 PM »

And if the exit polls hold, congrats Tender.

Yeah, hopefully.

It would mean that my Greek predictions are much better than my Austrian ones.

Tongue
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Zanas
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« Reply #380 on: January 25, 2015, 12:56:44 PM »

If Palmos is any indication, there could be a remote chance at Pasok ending below Anel, which would be the delicious cherry on top of that already delicious cake.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #381 on: January 25, 2015, 01:00:01 PM »

official results page:

http://ekloges.ypes.gr/current/v/public/index.html?lang=en
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #382 on: January 25, 2015, 01:04:03 PM »


Yeah, the first results there should pop up in ca. 30 minutes according to the Interior Ministry.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #383 on: January 25, 2015, 01:14:23 PM »

Supporters at the ND headquarters watching election returns:

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Meeker
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« Reply #384 on: January 25, 2015, 01:15:56 PM »

Supporters at the ND headquarters watching election returns:



http://whitepeoplemourningromney.tumblr.com/
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Double Carpet
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« Reply #385 on: January 25, 2015, 01:22:18 PM »

Looking like an approx 5-6% swing to Syriza in both Athens A and Athens B so far?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #386 on: January 25, 2015, 01:24:26 PM »
« Edited: January 25, 2015, 01:33:09 PM by Lief »

Updated exit poll in five minutes apparently.

edit:

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Clarko95 📚💰📈
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« Reply #387 on: January 25, 2015, 01:31:50 PM »

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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #388 on: January 25, 2015, 01:48:27 PM »

EURO-HORROR TSIPRAS TRIUMPHS, cries Bild.
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politicus
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« Reply #389 on: January 25, 2015, 01:52:54 PM »
« Edited: January 25, 2015, 02:14:22 PM by Charlotte Hebdo »

Registered 1.201.765
Reporting   14,29 %
Voted   58,17 %
Invalid/Blank   2,28 %
Not in Parl/mnt   8,65 %

Syriza   34,91 %
ND      29,48 %
XA      6,25 %
Potami   5,53 %
Pasok   5,30 %
KKE           5,29 %
ANEL   4,59 %
MDS      2,55 %
Union of Centrists   1,85 %
Teleia - Apostolos Gkletsos 1,69 %
LAOS   1,10 %
Antarsya   0,58 %
DIMAR   0,46 %
Communist Party of Greece (Marxist–Leninist) 0,13 %
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Insula Dei
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« Reply #390 on: January 25, 2015, 02:06:41 PM »
« Edited: January 25, 2015, 02:21:59 PM by Insula Dei »

I'm actually surprised noone has mentioned the very low turnout yet. At 58%, it's down 4 points on June 2012, which already was pretty low in a country where prior to the crisis elections would generally have turnout in the mid-70s.

EDIT: Scratch that - The turnout figures on the official results page seems to be only about votes already counted and continue to shift.
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RodPresident
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« Reply #391 on: January 25, 2015, 02:07:10 PM »

Epic fail DIMAR!
Who is Gklestsos?
And how Union of Centrists to get a large surge...
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #392 on: January 25, 2015, 02:08:17 PM »

Currently 18% reporting, and as more comes in SYRIZA tends to rise (now at 35.1%). If the trend persists the exit polls will wind up accurate.
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YL
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« Reply #393 on: January 25, 2015, 02:09:43 PM »

The Guardian live blog is quoting a seats projection of Syriza 150, ND 76, Golden Dawn 17, Potami 16, KKE 15, Pasok 13, ANEL 13.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #394 on: January 25, 2015, 02:09:49 PM »

Where's everyone getting official results? Interior's website is still blank.

http://ekloges.ypes.gr/current/v/public/index.html?lang=en#{%22cls%22:%22main%22,%22params%22:{}}
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ingemann
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« Reply #395 on: January 25, 2015, 02:10:40 PM »

Personally I hope fora a Syriza majority, so that they have the full responsibility for the "re-negotiations" with EU. It's better that there is a clear mandate behind it, and no one else can be blamed for the effects.
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justfollowingtheelections
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« Reply #396 on: January 25, 2015, 02:11:21 PM »

Epic fail DIMAR!
Who is Gklestsos?
And how Union of Centrists to get a large surge...

Gletsos is an actor and mayor of a small town.


The Centrists are led by Vasilis Leventis who is known for attacking both PASOK and ND in the '90s.
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Insula Dei
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« Reply #397 on: January 25, 2015, 02:11:28 PM »


It is showing results to me.
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Helsinkian
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« Reply #398 on: January 25, 2015, 02:11:32 PM »

So it looks like ND is the most popular party in the northernmost part of the country as well as southern Peloponnese, but in all other parts Syriza is the biggest party.
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Beezer
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« Reply #399 on: January 25, 2015, 02:14:17 PM »

So what is the magic number for an outright majority? Around 36.8%?
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