2014's fake victory of republicans (user search)
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  2014's fake victory of republicans (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2014's fake victory of republicans  (Read 7973 times)
Colbert
Jr. Member
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Posts: 474
France


« on: November 25, 2014, 06:07:21 AM »

(i use "republican" because "GOP" annoying me. Dem are older than rep !)


some elements make me think than this numeral victory of the republicans will be a cause of deception for 2016

-number of votes : very behind the 2010 score. Conclusion : there is no wave for republicans but most simply, dem stay home. More : rep lost more vote than democrats (-5,4 M for rep, -4,9 for dem)

-local referendum : even in republicans states, people vote in a majority for traditionnal dem patterns, like minimal wage.



conclusion : except a world war or pandemic, the democrate candidate in 2016 WILL win the white house
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Colbert
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 474
France


« Reply #1 on: November 26, 2014, 08:17:28 AM »

i notice than no one democrat write on this thread. Help me, i'm surrounded by evil republicans Grin
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Colbert
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 474
France


« Reply #2 on: November 26, 2014, 08:20:58 AM »


I think I've seen you do this multiple times.  People will have whatever avatar they like.  You seem to be obsessed with what color everyone's avatar is.  Get over yourself, we don't all support a political party and asking a foreigner to have the avatar of a U.S. political party is stupid.


in fact, i'm strongly right-wing, but not in american way. Gaullist, if you see, strongly statist, nationalist, protectionnist, no-interventionnist


so you can understand than, if I was american, it would be difficult to me to choice between economically liberals republicans and socially leftist democrats Wink

(but i think, honestly, that at the end of the day, i would have choice democrats, for the miniml wage)
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Colbert
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 474
France


« Reply #3 on: November 26, 2014, 08:22:24 AM »

(i use "republican" because "GOP" annoying me. Dem are older than rep !)


some elements make me think than this numeral victory of the republicans will be a cause of deception for 2016

-number of votes : very behind the 2010 score. Conclusion : there is no wave for republicans but most simply, dem stay home. More : rep lost more vote than democrats (-5,4 M for rep, -4,9 for dem)

-local referendum : even in republicans states, people vote in a majority for traditionnal dem patterns, like minimal wage.



conclusion : except a world war or pandemic, the democrate candidate in 2016 WILL win the white house

1.) True Demographics favor Dems in Presidential Elections. Udall would still be a US Senator by not by that of a margin victory wise despite running a horrible campaign.

2.) Dems stayed home-The problem is you don't win many elections win you lose Indies by 8 and the GOP managed to keep the Dem Victory with so-called "Moderates" to 9 points. I think as long as the Republicans can keep the Dems victory  margin with "Moderates" to 10-11 points they will have a good shot at winning. If the Republicans lose "Moderates" by 15 points like Mitt Romney the R's lose.

3.) True local referendums favored Dems but the GOP ran better candidates but The GOP candidates were younger and more optimistic than the Dem candidates in my opinion.


your 2) point is interresting. But hillary is more moderate than obama, no ? So mayby she could bring back moderate ?
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