NV Congressional Races 2016
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Author Topic: NV Congressional Races 2016  (Read 31969 times)
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #175 on: October 21, 2015, 12:47:21 PM »
Quote from: Winter has come on October 21, 2015, 12:06:19 PM
Per Politics1.com, Sharon Angle running for Senate!
Jesus Christ.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #176 on: October 21, 2015, 02:27:40 PM »
Quote from: Winter has come on October 21, 2015, 12:06:19 PM
Per Politics1.com, Sharon Angle running for Senate!

Kill it, kill it with fire, Heck!
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #177 on: October 21, 2015, 03:46:41 PM »

Yes, the Nevada Republican Party has given me an excellent birthday present Tongue  It'll be amazing if she costs them this seat twice!
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windjammer
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« Reply #178 on: October 21, 2015, 03:50:15 PM »
To be honest, republicans must carry Nevada at presidential level if they want to pick up this seat. So I m not particularly worried.

(and Happy Birthday Btw)
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #179 on: October 21, 2015, 04:06:00 PM »
Quote from: Winter has come on October 21, 2015, 12:06:19 PM
Per Politics1.com, Sharon Angle running for Senate!

lel
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windjammer
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« Reply #180 on: October 21, 2015, 05:45:56 PM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on October 21, 2015, 04:55:27 PM
Quote from: windjammer on October 21, 2015, 03:50:15 PM
To be honest, republicans must carry Nevada at presidential level if they want to pick up this seat. So I m not particularly worried.

Not necessarily if Heck is the nominee.
Look at the 2012 election. Heller got basically the same % than Romney and he was considered as a good recruit, like Heck.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #181 on: October 21, 2015, 05:53:31 PM »
Quote from: windjammer on October 21, 2015, 05:45:56 PM
Quote from: TNvolunteer on October 21, 2015, 04:55:27 PM
Quote from: windjammer on October 21, 2015, 03:50:15 PM
To be honest, republicans must carry Nevada at presidential level if they want to pick up this seat. So I m not particularly worried.

Not necessarily if Heck is the nominee.
Look at the 2012 election. Heller got basically the same % than Romney and he was considered as a good recruit, like Heck.

I will say that Heller had to follow-up John Ensign's scandolous career and also had to deal with the general history that appointed incumbents that run for their seats are DOA.
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windjammer
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« Reply #182 on: October 21, 2015, 05:56:34 PM »
Quote from: MW Senator Max on October 21, 2015, 05:53:31 PM
Quote from: windjammer on October 21, 2015, 05:45:56 PM
Quote from: TNvolunteer on October 21, 2015, 04:55:27 PM
Quote from: windjammer on October 21, 2015, 03:50:15 PM
To be honest, republicans must carry Nevada at presidential level if they want to pick up this seat. So I m not particularly worried.

Not necessarily if Heck is the nominee.
Look at the 2012 election. Heller got basically the same % than Romney and he was considered as a good recruit, like Heck.

I will say that Heller had to follow-up John Ensign's scandolous career and also had to deal with the general history that appointed incumbents that run for their seats are DOA.
That was just the definition of an open seat.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #183 on: October 21, 2015, 09:03:49 PM »
Quote from: windjammer on October 21, 2015, 03:50:15 PM
To be honest, republicans must carry Nevada at presidential level if they want to pick up this seat. So I m not particularly worried.

(and Happy Birthday Btw)

Thanks!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #184 on: October 25, 2015, 03:46:28 PM »
CCM will narrowly hold this seat, Heck bump is probably over.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #185 on: October 31, 2015, 03:51:32 PM »
CD3: Fiore in as expected. Ralston thinks it's a head fake and she'll chicken out.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #186 on: January 09, 2016, 06:11:08 PM »
CD3: Reid trying to recruit Jacky Rosen, a prominent temple head.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #187 on: January 10, 2016, 04:58:56 AM »
Quote from: TNvolunteer on January 10, 2016, 04:18:02 AM
Quote from: OC on October 25, 2015, 03:46:28 PM
CCM will narrowly hold this seat, Heck bump is probably over.

Not really...

+1. The last poll i saw had Heck about 10% ahead...
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #188 on: January 10, 2016, 06:32:43 AM »
Quote from: smoltchanov on January 10, 2016, 04:58:56 AM
Quote from: TNvolunteer on January 10, 2016, 04:18:02 AM
Quote from: OC on October 25, 2015, 03:46:28 PM
CCM will narrowly hold this seat, Heck bump is probably over.

Not really...

+1. The last poll i saw had Heck about 10% ahead...

The poll that had Heck ahead by 10 points was Gravis, lol.

Consider the dynamics of the Presidential race as far as this Senate race is concerned.  The GOP Presidential field is currently making itself very, very unpopular with Latinos which is very bad for Heck.  If Donald Trump or Ted Cruz gets the nomination I think that is a albatross he won't be able to overcome.  Catherine Cortez Masto would be the first Latina U.S. Senator and she isn't ethically damaged goods like Shelley Berkeley.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #189 on: January 10, 2016, 06:40:12 AM »
Quote from: Ogre Mage on January 10, 2016, 06:32:43 AM
Quote from: smoltchanov on January 10, 2016, 04:58:56 AM
Quote from: TNvolunteer on January 10, 2016, 04:18:02 AM
Quote from: OC on October 25, 2015, 03:46:28 PM
CCM will narrowly hold this seat, Heck bump is probably over.

Not really...

+1. The last poll i saw had Heck about 10% ahead...

The poll that had Heck ahead by 10 points was Gravis, lol.

Consider the dynamics of the Presidential race as far as this Senate race is concerned.  The GOP Presidential field is currently making itself very, very unpopular with Latinos which is very bad for Heck.  If Donald Trump or Ted Cruz gets the nomination I think that is a albatross he won't be able to overcome.  Catherine Cortez Masto would be the first Latina U.S. Senator and she isn't ethically damaged goods like Shelley Berkeley.

Agree. But there is a large number of "if's" in this analysis. And Heck is relatively (by present day standards) moderate and inoffensive. I don't know whether this is true about Masto.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #190 on: January 10, 2016, 11:44:23 AM »
A 10 point lead was the same lead Bush W had over John Kerry in Oct, 2004, & it narrowed to a 4 pt race. This race is gar from over, especially with growth of VEGAS.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #191 on: January 10, 2016, 12:10:55 PM »
Ralston predicts Masto wins the Senate race and Fiore will not file.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #192 on: January 10, 2016, 02:24:59 PM »
Quote from: OC on January 10, 2016, 11:44:23 AM
A 10 point lead was the same lead Bush W had over John Kerry in Oct, 2004, & it narrowed to a 4 pt race. This race is gar from over, especially with growth of VEGAS.

I am sure it will be close. But i can't say it's a Democratic hold NOW....
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #193 on: January 10, 2016, 03:10:47 PM »
Quote from: smoltchanov on January 10, 2016, 06:40:12 AM
Quote from: Ogre Mage on January 10, 2016, 06:32:43 AM
Quote from: smoltchanov on January 10, 2016, 04:58:56 AM
Quote from: TNvolunteer on January 10, 2016, 04:18:02 AM
Quote from: OC on October 25, 2015, 03:46:28 PM
CCM will narrowly hold this seat, Heck bump is probably over.

Not really...

+1. The last poll i saw had Heck about 10% ahead...

The poll that had Heck ahead by 10 points was Gravis, lol.

Consider the dynamics of the Presidential race as far as this Senate race is concerned.  The GOP Presidential field is currently making itself very, very unpopular with Latinos which is very bad for Heck.  If Donald Trump or Ted Cruz gets the nomination I think that is a albatross he won't be able to overcome.  Catherine Cortez Masto would be the first Latina U.S. Senator and she isn't ethically damaged goods like Shelley Berkeley.

Agree. But there is a large number of "if's" in this analysis. And Heck is relatively (by present day standards) moderate and inoffensive. I don't know whether this is true about Masto.

Joe Heck (among other things) has referred to social security as "a pyramid scheme," voted against increasing the debt limit, wants to repeal the Affordable Care Act and replace it with nothing.  The man is not a moderate.  Heck's not a moderate just because he doesn't foam at the mouth during every speech.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #194 on: January 10, 2016, 04:20:08 PM »
Quote from: smoltchanov on January 10, 2016, 02:24:59 PM
Quote from: OC on January 10, 2016, 11:44:23 AM
A 10 point lead was the same lead Bush W had over John Kerry in Oct, 2004, & it narrowed to a 4 pt race. This race is gar from over, especially with growth of VEGAS.

I am sure it will be close. But i can't say it's a Democratic hold NOW....

Yeah, NH, OH, NV, FL are premier races along with IL & WI, but well see.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #195 on: January 12, 2016, 08:59:43 PM »
Quote from: windjammer on October 21, 2015, 05:56:34 PM
Quote from: MW Senator Max on October 21, 2015, 05:53:31 PM
Quote from: windjammer on October 21, 2015, 05:45:56 PM
Quote from: TNvolunteer on October 21, 2015, 04:55:27 PM
Quote from: windjammer on October 21, 2015, 03:50:15 PM
To be honest, republicans must carry Nevada at presidential level if they want to pick up this seat. So I m not particularly worried.

Not necessarily if Heck is the nominee.
Look at the 2012 election. Heller got basically the same % than Romney and he was considered as a good recruit, like Heck.

I will say that Heller had to follow-up John Ensign's scandolous career and also had to deal with the general history that appointed incumbents that run for their seats are DOA.
That was just the definition of an open seat.
Heller... Won. In spite of the Independent American candidate getting nearly 10%.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #196 on: January 13, 2016, 04:14:22 PM »
But Trump will be nominee, and not Romney, he will be a drag.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #197 on: January 26, 2016, 02:10:12 PM »
CD3: Rosen is in.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #198 on: March 17, 2016, 12:04:35 AM »
CD-4: John Oceguera has dropped out due to lack of fundraising.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #199 on: March 17, 2016, 05:51:43 AM »
Quote from: Joe Republic on March 17, 2016, 12:04:35 AM
CD-4: John Oceguera has dropped out due to lack of fundraising.

IMHO - not a big loss. He managed to lose to Heck rather convincingly even in Presidential 2012. Despite NV-03 being "purple" at most...
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