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March 02, 2021, 09:52:35 AM
Talk Elections
Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
U.S. Presidential Election Results
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Most consequential presidential election?
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Topic: Most consequential presidential election? (Read 7459 times)
buritobr
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,888
Most consequential presidential election?
«
on:
November 11, 2014, 06:45:10 PM »
In the 20th century
1932 and 1980?
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L.D. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,001
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #1 on:
November 11, 2014, 07:36:34 PM »
«
Edited:
November 11, 2014, 07:52:04 PM
by
MormDem »
Wait do you mean you want this topic narrowed down to the 20th century?
Because 1860 is the obvious choice with the topic as is (with 1788 and 1796 being distant, but significant second and third places)
But making the 1700 and 1800s verboten opens up 5 big ones
Those being: 1916, 1932, 1964, 1968, and 1980. Narrowly I give it to 1932.
But 1860 easily in the grand scheme of things...easily!
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
Posts: 19,543
Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #2 on:
November 11, 2014, 07:41:30 PM »
1932
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buritobr
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,888
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #3 on:
November 15, 2014, 05:58:16 PM »
Quote from: MormDem on November 11, 2014, 07:36:34 PM
Wait do you mean you want this topic narrowed down to the 20th century?
Because 1860 is the obvious choice with the topic as is (with 1788 and 1796 being distant, but significant second and third places)
But making the 1700 and 1800s verboten opens up 5 big ones
Those being: 1916, 1932, 1964, 1968, and 1980. Narrowly I give it to 1932.
But 1860 easily in the grand scheme of things...easily!
I though that it was better to narrow the question to the 20th century, because 1788, 1796 and 1860 would be too obvious
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Legend
Posts: 49,327
Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #4 on:
November 15, 2014, 10:34:59 PM »
1860, 1896, 1932, 1936, 1964, 1980, 1988
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H. Ross Peron
General Mung Beans
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 8,065
Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -1.91
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #5 on:
November 16, 2014, 12:42:44 PM »
1800, 1844, 1860, 1876, 1896, 1932, 1948, 1968, 1980, 2000, 2008
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buritobr
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,888
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #6 on:
November 16, 2014, 12:51:06 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on November 15, 2014, 10:34:59 PM
1860, 1896, 1932, 1936, 1964, 1980, 1988
Why 1988?
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Del Tachi
Republican95
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 9,974
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #7 on:
November 16, 2014, 02:04:44 PM »
1968
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New_Conservative
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,141
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #8 on:
November 16, 2014, 10:14:33 PM »
1964
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Maistre
Jr. Member
Posts: 407
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #9 on:
November 18, 2014, 07:13:51 PM »
1968
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Mister Mets
YaBB God
Posts: 4,066
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #10 on:
November 18, 2014, 09:09:21 PM »
1932 ended a period of essentially one-party rule.
1916 may have been the most consequential close election, coming before the US's entrance into World War One.
Although there's much we don't know.
For all we know if Dewey had won in 1948, it would have prevented the Republican resurgence with Ike, Nixon and Reagan.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Icon
Posts: 19,543
Political Matrix
E: 3.23, S: -7.48
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #11 on:
November 18, 2014, 11:25:41 PM »
Quote from: Mister Mets on November 18, 2014, 09:09:21 PM
1932 ended a period of essentially one-party rule
.
1916 may have been the most consequential close election, coming before the US's entrance into World War One.
Although there's much we don't know.
For all we know if Dewey had won in 1948, it would have prevented the Republican resurgence with Ike, Nixon and Reagan.
And also started a period of one.
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Anonymouse
Rookie
Posts: 76
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #12 on:
November 19, 2014, 10:01:52 PM »
Here's a wild card: 1976.
Ford wins and all the woes of the late 1970's get pinned on the GOP. Watergate, vietnam, "malaise," Iranian hostage crisis, all perceived as a 12-year Republican orgy of incompetence and corruption. There is never a Reagan Revolution (with all that entails) in this timeline! Ted Kennedy (or someone very much like him) wins a landslide in 1980, opening the door for a second Great Society with Democratic super-majorities in Congress.
Quote from: Mister Mets on November 18, 2014, 09:09:21 PM
For all we know if Dewey had won in 1948, it would have prevented the Republican resurgence with Ike, Nixon and Reagan.
At least one historian has suggested that a Dewey victory would have prevented the resurgence of the southern strategy; stopped the GOP from adopting its intense Red-baiting campaign; and led to a much more liberal Republican Party in the long term. It's interesting to imagine a United States divided, today, between an anti-elitist, know-nothing "populist" Democratic Party anchored in the South (but with support from working-class whites nationwide)... and a business-oriented "progressive" Republican Party drawing support from educated whites and minorities across the country! Basically an extension of the 19th century's voting patterns.
Imagine a 2012 Democratic platform calling for single-payer healthcare
and
constitutional amendments banning abortion and same-se marriage.
Logged
Old School Republican
Computer89
Atlas Star
Posts: 26,493
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -0.10
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #13 on:
December 10, 2014, 10:43:08 PM »
1940
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TheElectoralBoobyPrize
Jr. Member
Posts: 845
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #14 on:
December 12, 2014, 12:20:55 AM »
Quote from: Anonymouse on November 19, 2014, 10:01:52 PM
Here's a wild card: 1976.
Ford wins and all the woes of the late 1970's get pinned on the GOP. Watergate, vietnam, "malaise," Iranian hostage crisis, all perceived as a 12-year Republican orgy of incompetence and corruption. There is never a Reagan Revolution (with all that entails) in this timeline! Ted Kennedy (or someone very much like him) wins a landslide in 1980, opening the door for a second Great Society with Democratic super-majorities in Congress.
Yeah, Republicans should be glad they lost '76 just like Democrats should be glad they lost '04. However, a couple things...
1. I'm not sure the Iran hostage crisis would have happened with Ford and Kissinger at the helm. I'm not being partisan though...some other foreign policy blunder might have happened instead.
2. Don't you think a move towards neoliberalism was inevitable at some point? Hell, Democrats might have been the one to implement it (the more left-wing parties have sometimes adopted free-market reforms in other developed countries simply because they were the ones in power when the reforms were most needed).
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SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
YaBB God
Posts: 3,668
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #15 on:
April 30, 2015, 09:51:31 PM »
Recently? 2008. The Dems showed they could win without the South, that an ethnic minority could be elected president, and that young people could elect a president over the objections of their elders.
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UBI man good
Liam
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,176
Political Matrix
E: -1.16, S: -2.78
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #16 on:
September 06, 2018, 05:55:49 PM »
Sorry to bump this topic but.
1788, 1860, 1896, 1932, 1940, 1944, 1968, 1976, 1980, 2000, 2008, 2016
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The time for charity has passed.
Beef
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 9,123
Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #17 on:
September 13, 2018, 04:11:28 AM »
Quote from: buritobr on November 11, 2014, 06:45:10 PM
In the 20th century
1932 and 1980?
1912, because it really marks the beginning of a progressive movement within the Democratic Party. For the first time you had a Democratic regime representing government activism, social reform, a new national reserve bank, and international cooperation. And this from a party still largely rooted in the South. It presaged the rise of the New Deal Coalition, and therefore is to me the dawn of the modern Democratic Party. Wilson is also a pivotal figure, since in my mind the decision to enter into a foreign war was on the level of the Louisiana Purchase and secession as a moment in which the fundamental nature of the republic was irrevocably changed.
1932? Perhaps. One could say FDR saved capitalism from itself. The election of a Democrat was a foregone conclusion, but this particular Democrat was the right person for the job at the most critical juncture of the 20th Century.
1940? We would have entered the war under Wilkie. Maybe sooner than in the OTL.
1968? The Democratic Primary was hugely consequential, though I think the changes happening in the country had little to do with who was in the White House. It did mark the beginning of the end of the New Deal Coalition, which would have huge consequences when it came to the future of the welfare state in America.
1980? The New Right triumphs for the first time. Reagan, his administration, and his allies were responsible for shifting the soul of conservatism away from pro-business elitism to a coalition of moralists and small government activists. This movement had been growing for some time, but Reagan made the New Right a dominant force within American politics like never before. We can thank this election for the current contentious left/right divide.
2000? Technically still in the 20th Century, Bush and his neoconservatives are responsible for the new pro-military, pro-American-power orthodoxy currently dominating White America. A lot of that has to do with 9/11, and who knows what the response would have been under a Gore administration, but I can guarantee you the nation would have taken a radically different path.
Logged
dw93
DWL
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,020
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #18 on:
September 13, 2018, 06:41:06 AM »
The 10 most Consequential IMHO:
1. 1932
2. 1980
3. 1912
4. 1968
5. 2000 (if it counts as 20th century)
6. 1992
7. 1916
8. 1948
9. 1960 (the parties and the country would be different if Nixon won)
10. 1988
Logged
The time for charity has passed.
Beef
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 9,123
Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #19 on:
September 13, 2018, 08:22:42 AM »
Quote from: dw93 on September 13, 2018, 06:41:06 AM
The 10 most Consequential IMHO:
1. 1932
2. 1980
3. 1912
4. 1968
5. 2000 (if it counts as 20th century)
6. 1992
7. 1916
8. 1948
9. 1960 (the parties and the country would be different if Nixon won)
10. 1988
When I have time, I plan on doing a detailed TL of Nixon winning in 1960, titled "
Only Nixon Could Go to Selma.
"
Logged
The time for charity has passed.
Beef
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 9,123
Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #20 on:
September 13, 2018, 08:39:00 AM »
Quote from: Lodestar Runner on September 13, 2018, 08:22:42 AM
Quote from: dw93 on September 13, 2018, 06:41:06 AM
The 10 most Consequential IMHO:
1. 1932
2. 1980
3. 1912
4. 1968
5. 2000 (if it counts as 20th century)
6. 1992
7. 1916
8. 1948
9. 1960 (the parties and the country would be different if Nixon won)
10. 1988
When I have time, I plan on doing a detailed TL of Nixon winning in 1960, titled "
Only Nixon Could Go to Selma.
"
Logged
Intell
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,735
Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -1.24
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #21 on:
September 28, 2018, 12:03:28 PM »
Quote from: Anonymouse on November 19, 2014, 10:01:52 PM
Here's a wild card: 1976.
Ford wins and all the woes of the late 1970's get pinned on the GOP. Watergate, vietnam, "malaise," Iranian hostage crisis, all perceived as a 12-year Republican orgy of incompetence and corruption. There is never a Reagan Revolution (with all that entails) in this timeline! Ted Kennedy (or someone very much like him) wins a landslide in 1980, opening the door for a second Great Society with Democratic super-majorities in Congress.
Quote from: Mister Mets on November 18, 2014, 09:09:21 PM
For all we know if Dewey had won in 1948, it would have prevented the Republican resurgence with Ike, Nixon and Reagan.
At least one historian has suggested that a Dewey victory would have prevented the resurgence of the southern strategy; stopped the GOP from adopting its intense Red-baiting campaign; and led to a much more liberal Republican Party in the long term. It's interesting to imagine a United States divided, today, between an anti-elitist, know-nothing "populist" Democratic Party anchored in the South (but with support from working-class whites nationwide)... and a business-oriented "progressive" Republican Party drawing support from educated whites and minorities across the country! Basically an extension of the 19th century's voting patterns.
Imagine a 2012 Democratic platform calling for single-payer healthcare
and
constitutional amendments banning abortion and same-se marriage.
That's idiotic and anyone with a basic knowledge of world politics 101 and ideology 101 would know that would never ouccr.
Logged
khuzifenq
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,365
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #22 on:
September 29, 2018, 09:52:14 PM »
Quote from: Intell on September 28, 2018, 12:03:28 PM
Quote from: Anonymouse on November 19, 2014, 10:01:52 PM
Here's a wild card: 1976.
Ford wins and all the woes of the late 1970's get pinned on the GOP. Watergate, vietnam, "malaise," Iranian hostage crisis, all perceived as a 12-year Republican orgy of incompetence and corruption. There is never a Reagan Revolution (with all that entails) in this timeline! Ted Kennedy (or someone very much like him) wins a landslide in 1980, opening the door for a second Great Society with Democratic super-majorities in Congress.
Quote from: Mister Mets on November 18, 2014, 09:09:21 PM
For all we know if Dewey had won in 1948, it would have prevented the Republican resurgence with Ike, Nixon and Reagan.
At least one historian has suggested that a Dewey victory would have prevented the resurgence of the southern strategy; stopped the GOP from adopting its intense Red-baiting campaign; and led to a much more liberal Republican Party in the long term. It's interesting to imagine a United States divided, today, between an anti-elitist, know-nothing "populist" Democratic Party anchored in the South (but with support from working-class whites nationwide)... and a business-oriented "progressive" Republican Party drawing support from educated whites and minorities across the country! Basically an extension of the 19th century's voting patterns.
Imagine a 2012 Democratic platform calling for single-payer healthcare
and
constitutional amendments banning abortion and same-se marriage.
That's idiotic and anyone with a basic knowledge of world politics 101 and ideology 101 would know that would never ouccr.
"Progressive" =/= "left" and "populist" =/= "right".
I'm curious to see how different groups of immigrants/Cold War refugees and their descendants would vote under such an alignment. I know Vietnamese Americans are relatively Republican partly due to Reagan granting amnesty of South Vietnamese refugees.
Logged
PR
Progressive Realist
Atlas Icon
Posts: 10,850
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #23 on:
October 03, 2018, 12:07:23 PM »
1932.
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RoboWop
AMB1996
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,438
Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74
Re: Most consequential presidential election?
«
Reply #24 on:
October 03, 2018, 01:41:47 PM »
Quote from: Intell on September 28, 2018, 12:03:28 PM
Quote from: Anonymouse on November 19, 2014, 10:01:52 PM
Here's a wild card: 1976.
Ford wins and all the woes of the late 1970's get pinned on the GOP. Watergate, vietnam, "malaise," Iranian hostage crisis, all perceived as a 12-year Republican orgy of incompetence and corruption. There is never a Reagan Revolution (with all that entails) in this timeline! Ted Kennedy (or someone very much like him) wins a landslide in 1980, opening the door for a second Great Society with Democratic super-majorities in Congress.
Quote from: Mister Mets on November 18, 2014, 09:09:21 PM
For all we know if Dewey had won in 1948, it would have prevented the Republican resurgence with Ike, Nixon and Reagan.
At least one historian has suggested that a Dewey victory would have prevented the resurgence of the southern strategy; stopped the GOP from adopting its intense Red-baiting campaign; and led to a much more liberal Republican Party in the long term. It's interesting to imagine a United States divided, today, between an anti-elitist, know-nothing "populist" Democratic Party anchored in the South (but with support from working-class whites nationwide)... and a business-oriented "progressive" Republican Party drawing support from educated whites and minorities across the country! Basically an extension of the 19th century's voting patterns.
Imagine a 2012 Democratic platform calling for single-payer healthcare
and
constitutional amendments banning abortion and same-se marriage.
That's idiotic and anyone with a basic knowledge of world politics 101 and ideology 101 would know that would never ouccr.
I guess a "basic knowledge of world politics" requires you to ignore everything outside the anglosphere or before 2000.
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