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Author Topic: Vermont  (Read 2955 times)
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Hashemite
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« on: November 01, 2014, 09:31:47 AM »
So, Shumlin will obviously be reelected with no problems, but polls have shown him with a fairly unimpressive margin of victory - +12 or +17 - especially considering that the GOP candidate he's up against is a quasi-nobody. Why isn't he winning in some huge landslide? Is there anything that he's done which makes him less popular?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2014, 10:02:14 AM »
It's probably just because it's going to be bad year for incumbents everywhere (especially Democratic incumbents).
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Vega
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2014, 10:28:26 AM »
Vermont has never lost their affection for Republicans.
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Vosem
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2014, 10:30:27 AM »
Probably all that single-payer ridiculousness. Had we gotten a semi-prominent state Senator (or Scott, or even Dubie again), this would be a race.
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KCDem
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2014, 01:26:04 PM »
Only because there is a progressive candidate on the ballot.
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Ebowed
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2014, 03:16:10 PM »
Vermont has a preference for GOP governors, although Shumlin has managed to overcome it so far.  His first victory against Lt Gov Brian Dubie was 49-47.

Shumlin's final campaign rally was for abortion rights.  Dubie's was for "jobs."
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New_Conservative
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2014, 03:57:44 PM »
The far left Independents are probably hurting him.
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Miles
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2014, 04:14:53 PM »
Quote from: New_Conservative on November 01, 2014, 03:57:44 PM
The far left Independents are probably hurting him.
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morgieb
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2014, 04:36:17 PM »
Well, moderate Republicans still exist, there's a Progressive party here and Shumlin has behaved rather left-wing.
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Ebowed
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2014, 04:44:34 PM »
Quote from: morgieb on November 01, 2014, 04:36:17 PM
Well, moderate Republicans still exist, there's a Progressive party here and Shumlin has behaved rather left-wing.

I also get the impression from his rhetoric that his style is more aggressive than conciliatory, so he may be the sort of figure who alienates non-partisans.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2014, 08:59:41 PM »
Relevant.
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2014, 09:22:50 PM »
If there comes a day when the GOP is not seen as THAT much more socially conservative (or at least if it becomes much less nativist than it is now) than the Democrats, VT, NH and ME will return to the Republican fold.  I've said that a ton of times.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2014, 09:24:46 PM »
Republicans are still doing well in non-federal races throught New England, especially governorships.
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Nhoj
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2014, 09:27:21 PM »
Milne is getting nearly 50% in critterden...
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Kalwejt
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2014, 09:54:54 PM »
When was the last time Governor of Vermont was defeated after serving a single term?
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homelycooking
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« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2014, 09:56:58 PM »
Quote from: Pangloss on November 04, 2014, 09:54:54 PM
When was the last time Governor of Vermont was defeated after serving a single term?

Governors serve two-year terms in Vermont. Shumlin is running for his third.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2014, 09:58:51 PM »
Quote from: homelycooking on November 04, 2014, 09:56:58 PM
Quote from: Pangloss on November 04, 2014, 09:54:54 PM
When was the last time Governor of Vermont was defeated after serving a single term?

Governors serve two-year terms in Vermont. Shumlin is running for his third.

Silly me, for some reason I forgot he was elected for the first time in 2010.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2014, 10:19:31 PM »
Things seem to be reverting to form, but Shumlin continues to underwhelm here.
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